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Virsliga · Regular Season - 34 October 25, 2026 13:00 Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale, Jelgava
FS Jelgava
#7 · 32 pts
0 – 1
Final score
BFC Daugavpils
#4 · 48 pts
78' Kader abdoul traore
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave BFC Daugavpils a 34% win probability (draw 32%, FS Jelgava 33%). The final result was FS Jelgava 0–1 BFC Daugavpils. In 3 previous meetings, FS Jelgava have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for BFC Daugavpils.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
6
1.32
Actual xG
1.80
5
Saves
7
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
8
23
Tackles
4
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
24'
Ziad Ouled-Haj-M'Hand
43'
Gļebs Mihaļcovs
45'+1
eseme william mukwelle
78'
Kader abdoul traore⚽
↕ Ādams Dreimanis / rihards becers
81'
↕ Milos Pudil / Emils Smaukstelis
87'
Pre-match prediction
33.31%
FS
32.09%
X
34.6%
BFC ←
we assigned to the actual result (BFC Daugavpils) 34.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FS
0.84
1.32
+0.48
BFC
0.80
1.80
+1.0
BFC Daugavpils dominated by xG (1.80 vs 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 34 86
2 Riga Riga 34 82
3 Auda Auda 34 67
4 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 34 48
5 FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 34 47
6 Super Nova Super Nova 34 38
7 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 34 32
8 Grobiņa Grobiņa 34 29
9 Tukums Tukums 34 25
10 Ogre United Ogre United 34 18
Lineups
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 5-4-1
1 A. Dvorak A. Dvorak G 7.40
22 M. Pudil M. Pudil 87' M 6.90
4 A. Kangars A. Kangars D 6.50
27
K. Aļekseičiks D
23 Ā. Dreimanis Ā. Dreimanis 81' M 7.00
13 J. Novikovs J. Novikovs D 6.70
24 Filip Hašek Filip Hašek M 7.50
8 R. Meļķis R. Meļķis F 6.50
11 M. Hašek M. Hašek M 7.60
29 G. Žaleiko G. Žaleiko M 6.50
17
T. Rataj F
Bench
28
A. Deklavs M
19 A. Pētersons A. Pētersons D 0.00
7 Arturs Janovskis Arturs Janovskis F 0.00
18
E. Smaukstelis F
21
G. Kačanovs D
20 G. Patika G. Patika F 0.00
9 R. Bečers R. Bečers 9' F 0.00
16 T. Leitis T. Leitis G 0.00
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 4-2-3-1
12 J. Beks J. Beks G 8.80
34
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
20
Ceti Junior Taty Tchibinda M
5
D
37 Gļebs Mihaļcovs Gļebs Mihaļcovs D 6.70
4
W. Mukwelle F
10 E. Ivanovs E. Ivanovs M 6.80
9
A. Traore 1 ⚽ F
19
E. Pinaskins F
11
J. Yakubu M
97 D. Kiwinda D. Kiwinda F 6.90
Bench
3
D. Ayebadiepreye F
33 D. Cucurs D. Cucurs D 0.00
66
K. Bujanovs D
27 M. Kopilovs M. Kopilovs F 0.00
6
Ņ. Barkovskis M
77 R. Aizups R. Aizups D 0.00
8 R. Skrebels R. Skrebels M 0.00
58 Vladislavs Razumejevs Vladislavs Razumejevs G 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Beks
J. Beks
G · BFC
8.80
· 27 pass
M. Hašek
M. Hašek
M · FS
7.60
· 70 pass
Filip Hašek
Filip Hašek
M · FS
7.50
5 shots · 31 pass
A. Dvorak
A. Dvorak
G · FS
7.40
· 30 pass
Ā. Dreimanis
Ā. Dreimanis
M · FS
7.00
· 47 pass
M. Pudil
M. Pudil
M · FS
6.90
2 shots · 35 pass
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Dvorak G 90 7.40 — — 0 30 23% 1 — —
M. Pudil M 87 6.90 — — 2 35 29% 3 — —
A. Kangars D 90 6.50 — — 1 62 47% 0 — —
K. Aļekseičiks D — — — — — — — — — —
Ā. Dreimanis M 81 7.00 — — 0 47 37% 4 — —
J. Novikovs D 90 6.70 — — 0 37 23% 3 — —
Filip Hašek M 90 7.50 — — 5 31 22% 2 — —
R. Meļķis F 90 6.50 — — 0 43 34% 3 — —
M. Hašek M 90 7.60 — — 0 70 49% 5 — —
G. Žaleiko M 90 6.50 — — 2 71 57% 1 — —
T. Rataj F — — — — — — — — — —
R. Bečers F 9 0.00 — — 0 5 5% 1 — —
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Beks G 90 8.80 — — 0 27 13% 0 — —
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand — — — — — — — — — —
Ceti Junior Taty Tchibinda M — — — — — — — — — —
D — — — — — — — — — —
Gļebs Mihaļcovs D 90 6.70 — — 0 40 32% 1 1 —
W. Mukwelle F — — — — — — — — — —
E. Ivanovs M 90 6.80 — — 0 38 22% 3 — —
A. Traore F — — 1 — — — — — — —
E. Pinaskins F — — — — — — — — — —
J. Yakubu M — — — — — — — — — —
D. Kiwinda F 90 6.90 — — 5 22 18% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
The final score was FS Jelgava 0–1 BFC Daugavpils.
What did the model predict before FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
The model assigned 33% probability to a FS Jelgava win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an BFC Daugavpils win.