Virsliga · Regular Season - 31 September 19, 2026 15:00

FS Jelgava

#7 · 32 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Riga

#2 · 73 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Riga

29' (ast. R. Aouani) Iago Siqueira

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 62% win probability (draw 17%, FS Jelgava 20%). The final result was FS Jelgava 0–1 Riga. In 3 previous meetings, FS Jelgava have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Riga.

Match statistics

Match Events

23'

M. Tonisevs

29'

ast. R. Aouani · Iago Siqueira⚽

32'

B. Musah

K. Alekseiciks

47'

63'

Iago Siqueira

67'

Caio Ferreira / R. Aouani ↕

G. Zaleiko

68'

J. Novikovs

71'

↕ T. Rataj / G. Patika

73'

↕ R. Melkis / R. Becers

73'

J. Novikovs

79'

↕ F. Hasek / E. Smaukstelis

82'

↕ M. Pudil / A. Dreimanis

83'

↕ M. Hasek / A. Petersons

83'

83'

S. L. Robalo Pedro / S. Oulad M'Hand ↕

90'+1

A. Taiwo / M. Badamosi ↕

Pre-match prediction

20.15%

FS

17.02%

X

62.83%

Riga ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Riga) 62.83% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FS

1.41

—

—

Riga

2.65

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	74
2	Riga	31	73
3	Auda	31	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	39
6	Super Nova	30	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	32
8	Grobiņa	31	26
9	Tukums	31	24
10	Ogre United	31	18