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Virsliga · Regular Season - 29 September 05, 2026 16:00
#7 · 32 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#6 · 35 pts
Model wrong — prediction FS Jelgava, result Super Nova wins
84' (ast. E. Emsis) A. Glaudans
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FS Jelgava a 56% win probability (draw 21%, Super Nova 21%). The final result was FS Jelgava 0–1 Super Nova. In 3 previous meetings, FS Jelgava have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Super Nova.

Match statistics
Match Events
67'
G. Bombans / Bamba
F. Hasek / A. Petersons
69'
J. Novikovs / G. Patika
69'
M. Hasek
70'
76'
V. Lizunovs
78'
A. Glaudans / R. Kirss
81'
R. Sitjakovs
84'
ast. E. Emsis · A. Glaudans
90'+1
K. Skadmanis / E. Emsis
90'+1
N. Pathe / V. Lizunovs
R. Melkis / R. Becers
90'
T. Rataj / A. Dreimanis
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.86%
FS
21.36%
X
21.79%
Super ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Super Nova) 21.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FS
2.01
Super
1.09
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 28 70
2 Riga Riga 29 67
3 Auda Auda 29 57
4 FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 30 42
5 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 29 38
6 Super Nova Super Nova 28 35
7 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 30 32
8 Grobiņa Grobiņa 30 25
9 Tukums Tukums 30 23
10 Ogre United Ogre United 29 15
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
The final score was FS Jelgava 0–1 Super Nova.
What did the model predict before FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
The model assigned 56% probability to a FS Jelgava win, 21% to a draw, and 21% to an Super Nova win.