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FSV Mainz 05 II - Freiburg II

Regionalliga - SudWest May 16, 2026 14:00
FSV Mainz 05 II
#7 · 53 pts
vs
Freiburg II
#11 · 45 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 13.4°C 💨 7 km/h · Mainz
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.01%
Win
FSV Mainz 05 II
21.72%
Draw
42.27%
Win
Freiburg II
1.47
Expected xG
1.83

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Freiburg II a 42% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 36% for FSV Mainz 05 II. Expected goals are 1.5 for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.8 for Freiburg II (total 3.3), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FSV Mainz 05 II have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Freiburg II.

Score Matrix
↕ FSV Mainz 05 II Freiburg II →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 6.8% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.4% 9.9% 9.1% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.3% 6.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.9% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —
Recent form
FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II
D FSV Frankfurt 1–1
D SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0–0
W SGV Freiberg 1–2
L SV Sandhausen 1–3
D Balingen 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 30%
Freiburg II Freiburg II
L Kickers Offenbach 1–3
L TSV Steinbach 3–1
W FC Astoria Walldorf 2–3
W Bahlinger SC 4–0
W Hessen Kassel 2–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II
Attack
31
Defence
69
Form
44
Freiburg II Freiburg II
Attack
65
Defence
47
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
FSV Mainz 05 II
0
Draw
1
Freiburg II
L 16 Nov 2025 Regionalliga - SudWest 1–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 33 68
2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 33 61
3 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 33 54
4 SV Sandhausen SV Sandhausen 33 54
5 FC 08 Homburg FC 08 Homburg 33 53
6 TSV Steinbach TSV Steinbach 33 53
7 FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II 33 53
8 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 33 51
9 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers 33 51
10 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 33 49
11 Freiburg II Freiburg II 33 45
12 FC Astoria Walldorf FC Astoria Walldorf 33 44
13 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 33 44
14 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 33 43
15 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 33 26
16 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 33 25
17 Balingen Balingen 33 25
18 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 33 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II?
The model gives FSV Mainz 05 II a 36% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 42% for an Freiburg II win.
How many goals are expected in FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II?
Expected goals: FSV Mainz 05 II 1.5, Freiburg II 1.8 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in FSV Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.