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FSV Mainz 05 II - Thionville Lusitanos

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 15:00
FSV Mainz 05 II
vs
Thionville Lusitanos
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.43%
Win
FSV Mainz 05 II
30.9%
Draw
35.68%
Win
Thionville Lusitanos
1.46
Expected xG
1.93

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.85%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 31%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 67%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Thionville Lusitanos a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 33% for FSV Mainz 05 II. Expected goals are 1.5 for FSV Mainz 05 II and 1.9 for Thionville Lusitanos (total 3.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.85% probability.

Season Stats

FSV Mainz 05 II
7W 2D 1L
Thionville Lusitanos
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
3.7
0.6
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
40%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
72%
O 3.5
29%
BTTS
FSV Mainz 05 II
5W 2D 0L · at home
Thionville Lusitanos
2W 0D 0L · away
2.6
gls/g
4.5
0.7
Conceded
0.0
71%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
71%
O 1.5
100%
57%
O 2.5
100%
43%
O 3.5
100%
57%
BTTS
0%
43%
Clean Sht
100%
14%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FSV Mainz 05 II Thionville Lusitanos →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 6.5% 6.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
1 4.9% 9.5% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.4% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II
W Kreuzlingen 2–1
W FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0–3
W Gau-Odernheim 0–2
W Progres Niederkorn 1–0
D FC Astoria Walldorf 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
D Nancy 2–2
W Progres Niederkorn 0–5
W RM Hamm Benfica 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 42%

Playing profile

FSV Mainz 05 II FSV Mainz 05 II
Attack
45
Defence
92
Form
74
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
Attack
83
Defence
83
Form
81
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs Thionville Lusitanos?
The model gives FSV Mainz 05 II a 33% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 35% for an Thionville Lusitanos win.
How many goals are expected in FSV Mainz 05 II vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Expected goals: FSV Mainz 05 II 1.5, Thionville Lusitanos 1.9 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in FSV Mainz 05 II vs Thionville Lusitanos?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.85%.