Anthony Caci
33'
Anthony Caci
(ast. Nadiem Amiri)
42'
Benedict Hollerbach
90'+2
5'
Robert Andrich
9'
(ast. Aleix García)
Patrik Schick
55'
Jarell Quansah
65'
(ast. Afonso Moreira)
Moussa Diaby
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen 31%). The final result was FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen. In 2 previous meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
7
2.91
Actual xG
1.71
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
3
18
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
Robert Andrich⚽
9'
ast. Aleix García ·
Patrik Schick⚽
Phillip Tietz
20'
⚽Anthony Caci
33'
Sheraldo Becker
35'
⚽Anthony Caci
· ast. Nadiem Amiri
42'
55'
Jarell Quansah⚽
65'
ast. Afonso Moreira ·
Moussa Diaby⚽
66'
Martin Terrier
/
Ibrahim Maza
Eric Martel
/ Lee Jae-Sung
70'
Anthony Caci
/ Danny da Costa
70'
Kacper Potulski
/ Ransford Konigsdorffer
70'
75'
Nathan Tella
/
Afonso Moreira
75'
Malik Tillman
/
Moussa Diaby
Lee Jae-Sung
76'
Sheraldo Becker
/ Benedict Hollerbach
77'
Kaishu Sano
/ Lennard Maloney
81'
83'
Jonas Hofmann
/
Patrik Schick
84'
Equi Fernández
/
Aleix García
⚽Benedict Hollerbach
90'+2
90'+3
Jarell Quansah
Pre-match prediction
39.28%
FSV
28.84%
X
31.89%
Bayer ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bayer Leverkusen)
31.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.90
2.91
+0.01
1.82
1.71
-0.11
FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (2.91 vs 1.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
A. Schwolow
G
A. Schwolow
G
48
K. Potulski
70'
D
K. Potulski
70'
D
3
F. Gruber
D
F. Gruber
D
4
S. Posch
D
S. Posch
D
2
P. Mwene
M
P. Mwene
M
10
N. Amiri
1 👟
M
N. Amiri
1 👟
M
6
K. Sano
81'
M
K. Sano
81'
M
5
E. Martel
70'
M
E. Martel
70'
M
19
A. Caci
2 ⚽
70'
M
A. Caci
2 ⚽
70'
M
23
S. Becker
77'
F
S. Becker
77'
F
9
P. Tietz
F
P. Tietz
F
Bench
17
B. Hollerbach
1 ⚽
13'
F
B. Hollerbach
1 ⚽
13'
F
21
D. da Costa
20'
D
D. da Costa
20'
D
7
Lee Jae-Sung
20'
M
Lee Jae-Sung
20'
M
15
L. Maloney
9'
M
L. Maloney
9'
M
40
M. Kinzig
G
M. Kinzig
G
11
R. Königsdörffer
20'
F
R. Königsdörffer
20'
F
47
R. Nakuzola
D
R. Nakuzola
D
16
S. Bell
D
S. Bell
D
24
S. Kawasaki
M
S. Kawasaki
M
1
M. Flekken
G
M. Flekken
G
3
Miguel Gutiérrez
D
Miguel Gutiérrez
D
2
F. Medina
D
F. Medina
D
12
E. Tapsoba
D
E. Tapsoba
D
4
J. Quansah
1 ⚽
D
J. Quansah
1 ⚽
D
24
Aleix García
1 👟
84'
M
Aleix García
1 👟
84'
M
8
R. Andrich
1 ⚽
M
R. Andrich
1 ⚽
M
9
Afonso Moreira
1 👟
75'
M
Afonso Moreira
1 👟
75'
M
30
I. Maza
66'
M
I. Maza
66'
M
19
M. Diaby
1 ⚽
75'
M
M. Diaby
1 ⚽
75'
M
14
P. Schick
1 ⚽
83'
F
P. Schick
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
6
E. Fernández
6'
M
E. Fernández
6'
M
28
J. Blaswich
G
J. Blaswich
G
7
J. Hofmann
7'
M
J. Hofmann
7'
M
5
L. Badé
D
L. Badé
D
17
Lucas Vázquez
D
Lucas Vázquez
D
11
M. Terrier
24'
F
M. Terrier
24'
F
10
M. Tillman
15'
M
M. Tillman
15'
M
23
N. Tella
15'
F
N. Tella
15'
F
22
V. Boniface
F
V. Boniface
F
Best on the pitch
A. Caci
M · FSV
9.07
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
P. Schick
F · Bayer
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Aleix García
M · Bayer
7.70
1 👟
· 87 pass
R. Andrich
M · Bayer
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
N. Amiri
M · FSV
7.52
1 👟
3 shots
· 67 pass
M. Diaby
M · Bayer
7.31
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schwolow | G | 90 | 5.52 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Potulski | D | 70 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Gruber | D | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Posch | D | 90 | 5.79 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mwene | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Amiri | M | 90 | 7.52 | — | 1 | 3 | 67 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 81 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Martel | M | 70 | 6.05 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Caci | M | 70 | 9.07 | 2 | — | 3 | 29 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Becker | F | 77 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Tietz | F | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 5 | 19 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Hollerbach | F | 13 | 7.16 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| D. da Costa | D | 20 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Jae-Sung | M | 20 | 5.62 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Maloney | M | 9 | 5.91 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Königsdörffer | F | 20 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Flekken | G | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Medina | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quansah | D | 90 | 5.98 | 1 | — | 2 | 51 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Aleix García | M | 84 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 87 | 80% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Andrich | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| Afonso Moreira | M | 75 | 6.32 | — | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Maza | M | 66 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Diaby | M | 75 | 7.31 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Schick | F | 83 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 6 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Hofmann | M | 7 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Terrier | F | 24 | 6.71 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 15 | 5.87 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Tella | F | 15 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The final score was FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen.
What did the model predict before FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model assigned 39% probability to a FSV Mainz 05 win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an Bayer Leverkusen win.