FSV Mainz 05 - Bournemouth
Friendlies Clubs
August 15, 2026 15:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.01%
Win
FSV Mainz 05
32.13%
Draw
32.86%
Win
Bournemouth
3.52
2.29
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.68%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives FSV Mainz 05 a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Bournemouth. Expected goals are 3.5 for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.3 for Bournemouth (total 5.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.68% probability.
Season Stats
4W
0D
0L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
7.0
Goals
4.0
0.2
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
25%
BTTS
100%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ FSV Mainz 05
Bournemouth →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 5 | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Recent form
Playing profile
FSV Mainz 05
Attack
93
Defence
94
Form
91
Bournemouth
Attack
100
Defence
75
Form
81
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bournemouth?
The model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Bournemouth win.
How many goals are expected in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bournemouth?
Expected goals: FSV Mainz 05 3.5, Bournemouth 2.3 (total 5.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bournemouth?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.68%.