Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 15:30 Mewa Arena, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05

#10 · 40 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Eintracht Frankfurt

#8 · 44 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Eintracht Frankfurt 21%). The final result was FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt. In 1 previous meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

4

1.55

Actual xG

1.23

30%

Possession

70%

5

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

54.45%

FSV ←

24.14%

X

21.42%

Eintracht

we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05) 54.45% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FSV

1.71

1.55

-0.16

Eintracht

1.08

1.23

+0.15

FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	26