Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 15:30 Mewa Arena, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05

#7 · 10 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Eintracht Frankfurt

#14 · 8 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Eintracht Frankfurt 21%). The final result was FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt. In 2 previous meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

4

1.55

Actual xG

1.23

30%

Possession

70%

5

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

54.45%

FSV ←

24.14%

X

21.42%

Eintracht

we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05) 54.45% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FSV

1.71

1.55

-0.16

Eintracht

1.08

1.23

+0.15

FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	6
17	Union Berlin	7	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	3