Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 15:30 Mewa Arena, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05

#8 · 4 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Eintracht Frankfurt

#9 · 4 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Eintracht Frankfurt 21%). The final result was FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt. In 2 previous meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

4

1.55

Actual xG

1.23

30%

Possession

70%

5

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

54.45%

FSV ←

24.14%

X

21.42%

Eintracht

we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05) 54.45% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FSV

1.71

1.55

-0.16

Eintracht

1.08

1.23

+0.15

FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	3	9
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	9
3	FC Augsburg	3	7
4	Bayern München	3	7
5	RB Leipzig	3	6
6	SV Elversberg	3	6
7	Bayer Leverkusen	3	4
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	4
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	4
10	Werder Bremen	3	4
11	FC Schalke 04	3	4
12	1. FC Köln	3	4
13	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	3
15	SC Paderborn 07	3	1
16	Union Berlin	3	1
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0
18	Hamburger SV	3	0