Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 16:30

FSV Mainz 05

#10 · 37 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Eintracht Frankfurt

#8 · 43 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Eintracht Frankfurt 21%). The final result was FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt. In 1 previous meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

4

1.55

Actual xG

1.23

30%

Possession

70%

5

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

54.45%

FSV ←

24.14%

X

21.42%

Eintracht

we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05) 54.45% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

FSV

1.71

1.55

-0.16

Eintracht

1.08

1.23

+0.15

FSV Mainz 05 dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26