← Regionalliga - Nordost

FSV Zwickau - BSG Chemie Leipzig

Regionalliga - Nordost May 16, 2026 14:00
#4 · 61 pts
vs
#11 · 40 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 12.0°C 💨 7 km/h · Zwickau
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.82%
Win
FSV Zwickau
22.07%
Draw
42.1%
Win
BSG Chemie Leipzig
1.57
Expected xG
1.94

The ForzaPitch prediction gives BSG Chemie Leipzig a 42% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 35% for FSV Zwickau. Expected goals are 1.6 for FSV Zwickau and 1.9 for BSG Chemie Leipzig (total 3.5), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, FSV Zwickau have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for BSG Chemie Leipzig.

Score Matrix
↕ FSV Zwickau BSG Chemie Leipzig →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.7% 9.1% 8.8% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8%
3 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Recent form
L Chemnitzer FC 3–2
W FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2–1
W Luckenwalde 0–1
W BFC Preussen 1–0
W Greifswalder FC 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
W Eilenburg 3–2
W ZFC Meuselwitz 0–4
W Hertha Zehlendorf 4–2
W Hertha BSC II 0–1
W Lokomotive Leipzig 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau
Attack
41
Defence
65
Form
61
BSG Chemie Leipzig BSG Chemie Leipzig
Attack
59
Defence
73
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
FSV Zwickau
0
Draw
0
BSG Chemie Leipzig
W 29 Nov 2025 Regionalliga - Nordost 2–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 33 69
2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena FC Carl Zeiss Jena 33 69
3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 33 61
4 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 33 61
5 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 33 60
6 Altglienicke Altglienicke 33 50
7 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 33 50
8 BFC Preussen BFC Preussen 33 50
9 Magdeburg II Magdeburg II 33 49
10 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 33 42
11 BSG Chemie Leipzig BSG Chemie Leipzig 33 40
13 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 33 39
14 SV Babelsberg 03 SV Babelsberg 03 33 38
15 Greifswalder FC Greifswalder FC 33 35
16 ZFC Meuselwitz ZFC Meuselwitz 33 32
17 Eilenburg Eilenburg 33 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf Hertha Zehlendorf 33 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
The model gives FSV Zwickau a 35% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 42% for an BSG Chemie Leipzig win.
How many goals are expected in FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
Expected goals: FSV Zwickau 1.6, BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.9 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.1%.