R. Sessegnon
43'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fulham a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Aston Villa 31%). The final result was Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa. In 1 previous meetings, Fulham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Aston Villa.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
1
1.06
Actual xG
0.71
1
Saves
5
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
5
18
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Sessegnon
43'
T. Castagne
46'
49'
P. Torres
66'
R. Jimenez
/ Rodrigo Muniz
66'
74'
R. Barkley
/
J. McGinn
74'
L. Bailey
/
E. Buendia
74'
J. Sancho
/
Y. Tielemans
74'
Douglas Luiz
/
L. Bogarde
E. Smith Rowe
/ J. King
76'
S. Chukwueze
/ O. Bobb
76'
R. Sessegnon
/ A. Robinson
81'
81'
T. Abraham
/
O. Watkins
H. Wilson
90'+1
90'+4
Douglas Luiz
Pre-match prediction
40.12%
Fulham ←
28.26%
X
31.62%
Aston
we assigned to the actual result (Fulham)
40.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.06
-0.4
1.21
0.71
-0.5
Fulham dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
30
Ryan Sessegnon
1 ⚽
81'
D
Ryan Sessegnon
1 ⚽
81'
D
3
D
5
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
21
Timothy Castagne
D
Timothy Castagne
D
16
M
20
Saša Lukić
M
Saša Lukić
M
19
S. Chukwueze
76'
M
S. Chukwueze
76'
M
32
Emile Smith Rowe
76'
M
Emile Smith Rowe
76'
M
8
H. Wilson
M
H. Wilson
M
7
Raúl Jiménez
66'
F
Raúl Jiménez
66'
F
Bench
33
Antonee Robinson
9'
D
Antonee Robinson
9'
D
6
Harrison Reed
M
Harrison Reed
M
31
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
24
Joshua King
14'
M
Joshua King
14'
M
14
Oscar Bobb
14'
M
Oscar Bobb
14'
M
9
Rodrigo Muniz
24'
F
Rodrigo Muniz
24'
F
10
Tom Cairney
M
Tom Cairney
M
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
12
Lucas Digne
D
Lucas Digne
D
14
Pau Torres
D
Pau Torres
D
4
Ezri Konsa
D
Ezri Konsa
D
2
Matty Cash
D
Matty Cash
D
8
Y. Tielemans
74'
M
Y. Tielemans
74'
M
26
Lamare Bogarde
74'
M
Lamare Bogarde
74'
M
10
Emiliano Buendía
74'
M
Emiliano Buendía
74'
M
27
Morgan Rogers
M
Morgan Rogers
M
7
John McGinn
74'
M
John McGinn
74'
M
11
Ollie Watkins
81'
F
Ollie Watkins
81'
F
Bench
21
Douglas Luiz
16'
M
Douglas Luiz
16'
M
22
Ian Maatsen
D
Ian Maatsen
D
19
Jadon Sancho
16'
F
Jadon Sancho
16'
F
6
Ross Barkley
16'
M
Ross Barkley
16'
M
18
Tammy Abraham
9'
F
Tammy Abraham
9'
F
5
Tyrone Mings
D
Tyrone Mings
D
3
Victor Lindelöf
D
Victor Lindelöf
D
Best on the pitch
J. Andersen
D · Fulham
8.00
· 50 pass
Pau Torres
D · Aston
7.60
· 82 pass
E. Martínez
G · Aston
7.60
· 43 pass
Ryan Sessegnon
D · Fulham
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
S. Chukwueze
M · Fulham
7.50
1 shots
· 18 pass
M · Fulham
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
Fulham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Ryan Sessegnon | D | 81 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Timothy Castagne | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| Saša Lukić | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Chukwueze | M | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Emile Smith Rowe | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Wilson | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Raúl Jiménez | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Digne | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Torres | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 82 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 102 | 99% | — | — | — |
| Matty Cash | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Lamare Bogarde | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Emiliano Buendía | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| John McGinn | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Ollie Watkins | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Jadon Sancho | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ross Barkley | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Tammy Abraham | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fulham vs Aston Villa?
The final score was Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before Fulham vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Fulham win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an Aston Villa win.