R. Sessegnon
43'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fulham a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Aston Villa 31%). The final result was Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa. In 1 previous meetings, Fulham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Aston Villa.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
1
1.06
Actual xG
0.71
1
Saves
5
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
5
18
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Sessegnon
43'
T. Castagne
46'
49'
P. Torres
66'
R. Jimenez
/ Rodrigo Muniz
66'
74'
R. Barkley
/
J. McGinn
74'
L. Bailey
/
E. Buendia
74'
J. Sancho
/
Y. Tielemans
74'
Douglas Luiz
/
L. Bogarde
E. Smith Rowe
/ J. King
76'
S. Chukwueze
/ O. Bobb
76'
R. Sessegnon
/ A. Robinson
81'
81'
T. Abraham
/
O. Watkins
H. Wilson
90'+1
90'+4
Douglas Luiz
Pre-match prediction
40.12%
Fulham ←
28.26%
X
31.62%
Aston
we assigned to the actual result (Fulham)
40.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.06
-0.4
1.21
0.71
-0.5
Fulham dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
30
R. Sessegnon
1 ⚽
81'
D
R. Sessegnon
1 ⚽
81'
D
3
D
5
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
21
T. Castagne
D
T. Castagne
D
16
M
20
S. Lukić
M
S. Lukić
M
19
S. Chukwueze
76'
M
S. Chukwueze
76'
M
32
E. Smith Rowe
76'
M
E. Smith Rowe
76'
M
8
H. Wilson
M
H. Wilson
M
7
R. Jiménez
66'
F
R. Jiménez
66'
F
Bench
33
Antonee Robinson
9'
D
Antonee Robinson
9'
D
6
H. Reed
M
H. Reed
M
31
I. Diop
D
I. Diop
D
24
Joshua King
14'
M
Joshua King
14'
M
14
Oscar Bobb
14'
M
Oscar Bobb
14'
M
9
Rodrigo Muniz
24'
F
Rodrigo Muniz
24'
F
10
Tom Cairney
M
Tom Cairney
M
23
E. Martínez
G
E. Martínez
G
12
L. Digne
D
L. Digne
D
14
Pau Torres
D
Pau Torres
D
4
E. Konsa
D
E. Konsa
D
2
M. Cash
D
M. Cash
D
8
Y. Tielemans
74'
M
Y. Tielemans
74'
M
26
L. Bogarde
74'
M
L. Bogarde
74'
M
10
E. Buendía
74'
M
E. Buendía
74'
M
27
M. Rogers
M
M. Rogers
M
7
J. McGinn
74'
M
J. McGinn
74'
M
11
O. Watkins
81'
F
O. Watkins
81'
F
Bench
21
Douglas Luiz
16'
M
Douglas Luiz
16'
M
22
I. Maatsen
D
I. Maatsen
D
19
Jadon Sancho
16'
F
Jadon Sancho
16'
F
6
R. Barkley
16'
M
R. Barkley
16'
M
18
T. Abraham
9'
F
T. Abraham
9'
F
5
T. Mings
D
T. Mings
D
3
V. Lindelöf
D
V. Lindelöf
D
Best on the pitch
J. Andersen
D · Fulham
8.00
· 50 pass
Pau Torres
D · Aston
7.60
· 82 pass
E. Martínez
G · Aston
7.60
· 43 pass
R. Sessegnon
D · Fulham
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
S. Chukwueze
M · Fulham
7.50
1 shots
· 18 pass
M · Fulham
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
Fulham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| R. Sessegnon | D | 81 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Lukić | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Chukwueze | M | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Smith Rowe | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Wilson | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Jiménez | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Torres | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 82 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 102 | 99% | — | — | — |
| M. Cash | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Bogarde | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rogers | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| O. Watkins | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Jadon Sancho | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Barkley | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Abraham | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fulham vs Aston Villa?
The final score was Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before Fulham vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Fulham win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an Aston Villa win.