The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fulham a 50% win probability (draw 33%, Burnley 16%). The final result was Fulham 3–1 Burnley. In 1 previous meetings, Fulham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Burnley.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
5
3.24
Actual xG
1.24
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
50.39%
Fulham ←
33.26%
X
16.35%
Burnley
we assigned to the actual result (Fulham)
50.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
3.24
+2.05
0.72
1.24
+0.52
Fulham dominated by xG (3.24 vs 1.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fulham vs Burnley?
The final score was Fulham 3–1 Burnley.
What did the model predict before Fulham vs Burnley?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Fulham win, 33% to a draw, and 16% to an Burnley win.