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#15 · 8 pts
2 – 3
Final score
#5 · 13 pts
J. King (ast. T. Castagne) 23'
G. Garcia 54'
1' (ast. C. Palmer) Joao Pedro
41' (ast. M. Lacroix) M. Rogers
49' (ast. Joao Pedro) C. Palmer
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Fulham 32%). The final result was Fulham 2–3 Chelsea. In 2 previous meetings, Fulham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chelsea.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
6
1.28
Actual xG
1.67
3
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
ast. C. Palmer · Joao Pedro⚽
5'
L. Colwill
12'
R. Lavia
⚽J. King · ast. T. Castagne
23'
41'
ast. M. Lacroix · M. Rogers⚽
49'
ast. Joao Pedro · C. Palmer⚽
⚽G. Garcia
54'
65'
E. Fernandez / R. Lavia ↕
65'
P. Chavarria / J. Hato ↕
↕ O. Bobb / S. Charles
67'
↕ C. Palacios / Kevin
73'
↕ S. Berge / R. Sessegnon
73'
75'
R. James
76'
P. Neto / M. Gusto ↕
C. Bassey
76'
↕ A. Robinson / Rodrigo Muniz
82'
82'
G. Quenda / M. Rogers ↕
83'
Estevao / C. Palmer ↕
T. Castagne
88'
Pre-match prediction
32.04%
Fulham
31.96%
X
36.0%
Chelsea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea) 36.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fulham
1.09
1.28
+0.19
Chelsea
0.66
1.67
+1.01
Chelsea dominated by xG (1.67 vs 1.28). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Fulham Fulham 4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno B. Leno G 5.90
33 A. Robinson A. Robinson 82' D 6.20
4 Jorge Cuenca Jorge Cuenca D 6.90
3 C. Bassey C. Bassey D 6.30
21 T. Castagne T. Castagne 1 👟 D 6.90
17 A. Iwobi A. Iwobi M 6.90
16 S. Berge S. Berge 73' M 6.70
8 César Palacios César Palacios 73' M 6.00
24 Joshua King Joshua King 1 ⚽ M 7.20
14 Oscar Bobb Oscar Bobb 67' M 6.90
7 Gonzalo García Gonzalo García 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
23 B. Lecomte B. Lecomte G
32 E. Smith Rowe E. Smith Rowe M
6 H. Reed H. Reed M
11 Kevin Kevin 20' F 6.90
2 K. Tete K. Tete D
44 L. De Fougerolles L. De Fougerolles D
9 Rodrigo Muniz Rodrigo Muniz 11' F 6.70
30 R. Sessegnon R. Sessegnon 20' M 6.70
19 S. Charles S. Charles 26' M 6.70
Chelsea Chelsea 3-4-2-1
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez G 6.20
6 L. Colwill L. Colwill D 6.00
5 M. Lacroix M. Lacroix 1 👟 D 7.30
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 7.20
21 J. Hato J. Hato 65' M 6.30
45 R. Lavia R. Lavia 65' M 6.90
24 R. James R. James M 6.60
27 M. Gusto M. Gusto 76' M 6.50
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers 1 ⚽ 82' F 8.50
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' F 8.90
9 João Pedro João Pedro 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.90
Bench
18 D. Welbeck D. Welbeck F
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández 28' M 6.90
41 Estêvão Estêvão 10' F 6.30
23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda 11' M 6.30
11 J. Bynoe-Gittens J. Bynoe-Gittens F
39 M. Penders M. Penders G
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 17' F 6.90
29 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría 28' D 6.20
4 V. Barco V. Barco M
Best on the pitch
C. Palmer
C. Palmer
F · Chelsea
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 32 pass
M. Rogers
M. Rogers
F · Chelsea
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
João Pedro
João Pedro
F · Chelsea
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 21 pass
M. Lacroix
M. Lacroix
D · Chelsea
7.30
1 👟
· 50 pass
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D · Chelsea
7.20
· 48 pass
Gonzalo García
Gonzalo García
F · Fulham
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
Fulham Fulham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Leno G 93 5.90 — — — 40 33% — — —
A. Robinson D 82 6.20 — — 1 48 36% 3 — —
Jorge Cuenca D 93 6.90 — — — 84 71% 1 — —
C. Bassey D 93 6.30 — — — 80 75% 1 1 —
T. Castagne D 93 6.90 — 1 1 37 31% 1 1 —
A. Iwobi M 93 6.90 — — — 86 79% 1 — —
S. Berge M 73 6.70 — — — 61 57% 1 — —
César Palacios M 73 6.00 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
Joshua King M 93 7.20 1 — 3 34 27% 2 — —
Oscar Bobb M 67 6.90 — — — 25 23% 3 — —
Gonzalo García F 93 7.20 1 — 1 25 21% 1 — —
Kevin F 20 6.90 — — — 9 9% 4 — —
Rodrigo Muniz F 11 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
R. Sessegnon M 20 6.70 — — 1 6 4% — — —
S. Charles M 26 6.70 — — — 23 21% 1 — —
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 93 6.20 — — — 27 10% — — —
L. Colwill D 93 6.00 — — — 29 27% 2 1 —
M. Lacroix D 93 7.30 — 1 — 50 47% 5 — —
Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 93 7.20 — — — 48 38% 4 — —
J. Hato M 65 6.30 — — — 22 18% 2 — —
R. Lavia M 65 6.90 — — 1 22 21% 3 1 —
R. James M 93 6.60 — — 1 51 45% — 1 —
M. Gusto M 76 6.50 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
M. Rogers F 82 8.50 1 — 1 22 15% 2 — —
C. Palmer F 83 8.90 1 1 4 32 28% 2 — —
João Pedro F 93 7.90 1 1 3 21 16% — — —
E. Fernández M 28 6.90 — — — 19 18% — — —
Estêvão F 10 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 11 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Pedro Neto F 17 6.90 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Pep Chavarría D 28 6.20 — — — 8 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fulham vs Chelsea?
The final score was Fulham 2–3 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Fulham vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Fulham win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Chelsea win.