J. King
(ast. T. Castagne)
23'
G. Garcia
54'
1'
(ast. C. Palmer)
Joao Pedro
41'
(ast. M. Lacroix)
M. Rogers
49'
(ast. Joao Pedro)
C. Palmer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chelsea a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Fulham 32%). The final result was Fulham 2–3 Chelsea. In 2 previous meetings, Fulham have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chelsea.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
6
1.28
Actual xG
1.67
3
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
ast. C. Palmer ·
Joao Pedro⚽
5'
L. Colwill
12'
R. Lavia
⚽J. King
· ast. T. Castagne
23'
41'
ast. M. Lacroix ·
M. Rogers⚽
49'
ast. Joao Pedro ·
C. Palmer⚽
⚽G. Garcia
54'
65'
E. Fernandez
/
R. Lavia
65'
P. Chavarria
/
J. Hato
O. Bobb
/ S. Charles
67'
C. Palacios
/ Kevin
73'
S. Berge
/ R. Sessegnon
73'
75'
R. James
76'
P. Neto
/
M. Gusto
C. Bassey
76'
A. Robinson
/ Rodrigo Muniz
82'
82'
G. Quenda
/
M. Rogers
83'
Estevao
/
C. Palmer
T. Castagne
88'
Pre-match prediction
32.04%
Fulham
31.96%
X
36.0%
Chelsea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea)
36.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.28
+0.19
0.66
1.67
+1.01
Chelsea dominated by xG (1.67 vs 1.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Leno
G
B. Leno
G
33
A. Robinson
82'
D
A. Robinson
82'
D
4
Jorge Cuenca
D
Jorge Cuenca
D
3
C. Bassey
D
C. Bassey
D
21
T. Castagne
1 👟
D
T. Castagne
1 👟
D
17
A. Iwobi
M
A. Iwobi
M
16
S. Berge
73'
M
S. Berge
73'
M
8
César Palacios
73'
M
César Palacios
73'
M
24
Joshua King
1 ⚽
M
Joshua King
1 ⚽
M
14
Oscar Bobb
67'
M
Oscar Bobb
67'
M
7
Gonzalo García
1 ⚽
F
Gonzalo García
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
B. Lecomte
G
B. Lecomte
G
32
E. Smith Rowe
M
E. Smith Rowe
M
6
Harrison Reed
M
Harrison Reed
M
11
Kevin
20'
F
Kevin
20'
F
2
K. Tete
D
K. Tete
D
44
Luc De Fougerolles
D
Luc De Fougerolles
D
9
Rodrigo Muniz
11'
F
Rodrigo Muniz
11'
F
30
R. Sessegnon
20'
M
R. Sessegnon
20'
M
19
S. Charles
26'
M
S. Charles
26'
M
1
Robert Sánchez
G
Robert Sánchez
G
6
L. Colwill
D
L. Colwill
D
5
M. Lacroix
1 👟
D
M. Lacroix
1 👟
D
34
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D
21
J. Hato
65'
M
J. Hato
65'
M
45
R. Lavia
65'
M
R. Lavia
65'
M
24
R. James
M
R. James
M
27
M. Gusto
76'
M
M. Gusto
76'
M
17
M. Rogers
1 ⚽
82'
F
M. Rogers
1 ⚽
82'
F
10
C. Palmer
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
F
C. Palmer
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
F
9
João Pedro
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
João Pedro
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
18
D. Welbeck
F
D. Welbeck
F
8
E. Fernández
28'
M
E. Fernández
28'
M
41
Estêvão
10'
F
Estêvão
10'
F
23
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
11'
M
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
11'
M
11
J. Bynoe-Gittens
F
J. Bynoe-Gittens
F
39
M. Penders
G
M. Penders
G
7
Pedro Neto
17'
F
Pedro Neto
17'
F
29
Pep Chavarría
28'
D
Pep Chavarría
28'
D
4
V. Barco
M
V. Barco
M
Best on the pitch
C. Palmer
F · Chelsea
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 32 pass
M. Rogers
F · Chelsea
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
João Pedro
F · Chelsea
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 21 pass
M. Lacroix
D · Chelsea
7.30
1 👟
· 50 pass
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
D · Chelsea
7.20
· 48 pass
Gonzalo García
F · Fulham
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Fulham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Leno | G | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| A. Robinson | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Jorge Cuenca | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 84 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Bassey | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 80 | 75% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Iwobi | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Berge | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| César Palacios | M | 73 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Sessegnon | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Charles | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Colwill | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| Joshua Kofi Acheampong | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Hato | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. James | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Gusto | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rogers | F | 82 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Palmer | F | 83 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| João Pedro | F | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Estêvão | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Geovany Tcherno Quenda | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Pep Chavarría | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fulham vs Chelsea?
The final score was Fulham 2–3 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Fulham vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Fulham win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Chelsea win.