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#19 · 2 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#9 · 8 pts
I. Diop 20'
T. Cairney (ast. H. Wilson) 80'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Newcastle a 38% win probability (draw 24%, Fulham 36%). The final result was Fulham 2–0 Newcastle. In 2 previous meetings, Fulham have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Newcastle.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
2
1.70
Actual xG
0.22
2
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
6
14
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽I. Diop
20'
46'
H. Barnes / J. Murphy ↕
↕ Kevin / T. Cairney
60'
64'
Bruno Guimaraes
66'
Y. Wissa / W. Osula ↕
66'
A. Elanga / Bruno Guimaraes ↕
70'
Y. Wissa
↕ Rodrigo Muniz / R. Jimenez
72'
↕ O. Bobb / H. Wilson
72'
↕ E. Smith Rowe / J. King
72'
77'
S. Neave / N. Woltemade ↕
⚽T. Cairney · ast. H. Wilson
80'
84'
A. Murphy / D. Burn ↕
↕ I. Diop / J. Cuenca
87'
A. Robinson
89'
J. Cuenca
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
36.72%
Fulham ←
24.76%
X
38.52%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Fulham) 36.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fulham
1.28
1.70
+0.42
Newcastle
1.38
0.22
-1.17
Fulham dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.22). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Fulham Fulham 4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno B. Leno G 6.60
33 Antonee Robinson Antonee Robinson D 7.30
3 C. Bassey C. Bassey D 6.90
31 I. Diop I. Diop 1 ⚽ 86' D 7.30
21 T. Castagne T. Castagne D 7.60
16 S. Berge S. Berge M 7.00
17 A. Iwobi A. Iwobi M 7.30
22 Kevin Kevin 60' M 6.50
32 E. Smith Rowe E. Smith Rowe 72' M 6.90
14 Oscar Bobb Oscar Bobb 72' M 7.20
9 Rodrigo Muniz Rodrigo Muniz 72' F 6.20
Bench
23 B. Lecomte B. Lecomte G
6 H. Reed H. Reed M
8 H. Wilson H. Wilson 1 👟 23' F 6.70
15 Jorge Cuenca Jorge Cuenca 9' D 6.30
24 Joshua King Joshua King 23' M 6.70
2 K. Tete K. Tete D
7 R. Jiménez R. Jiménez 23' F 6.20
30 R. Sessegnon R. Sessegnon M
10 Tom Cairney Tom Cairney 1 ⚽ 35' M 7.90
Newcastle Newcastle 3-5-2
1 N. Pope N. Pope G 6.60
33 Dan Burn Dan Burn 84' D 6.30
4 S. Botman S. Botman D 7.20
12 M. Thiaw M. Thiaw D 6.50
3 L. Hall L. Hall M 6.30
41 J. Ramsey J. Ramsey M 7.00
39 Bruno Guimarães Bruno Guimarães 66' M 6.70
28 J. Willock J. Willock M 6.50
23 J. Murphy J. Murphy 45' M 6.20
27 N. Woltemade N. Woltemade 77' F 6.60
18 William Osula William Osula 66' F 6.90
Bench
32 Aaron Ramsdale Aaron Ramsdale G
20 A. Elanga A. Elanga 29' F 6.60
10 A. Gordon A. Gordon F
37 A. Murphy A. Murphy 11' D 6.70
11 H. Barnes H. Barnes 50' M 6.30
26 J. Ruddy J. Ruddy G
2 K. Trippier K. Trippier D
62 S. Neave S. Neave 18' F 6.50
9 Y. Wissa Y. Wissa 29' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
Tom Cairney
Tom Cairney
M · Fulham
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
T. Castagne
T. Castagne
D · Fulham
7.60
· 32 pass
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson
D · Fulham
7.30
· 43 pass
I. Diop
I. Diop
D · Fulham
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
A. Iwobi
A. Iwobi
M · Fulham
7.30
4 shots · 53 pass
S. Botman
S. Botman
D · Newcastle
7.20
· 66 pass
Fulham Fulham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Leno G 95 6.60 — — — 33 23% — — —
Antonee Robinson D 95 7.30 — — — 43 37% 3 1 —
C. Bassey D 95 6.90 — — — 50 40% 2 — —
I. Diop D 86 7.30 1 — 1 38 31% — — —
T. Castagne D 95 7.60 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
S. Berge M 95 7.00 — — — 56 50% 1 — —
A. Iwobi M 95 7.30 — — 4 53 42% 1 — —
Kevin M 60 6.50 — — 1 17 11% — — —
E. Smith Rowe M 72 6.90 — — 1 20 19% 2 — —
Oscar Bobb M 72 7.20 — — — 14 13% — — —
Rodrigo Muniz F 72 6.20 — — 2 10 4% 1 — —
H. Wilson F 23 6.70 — 1 1 8 6% — — —
Jorge Cuenca D 9 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Joshua King M 23 6.70 — — 1 5 5% 1 — —
R. Jiménez F 23 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
Tom Cairney M 35 7.90 1 — 3 31 27% 1 — —
Newcastle Newcastle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Pope G 95 6.60 — — — 27 17% — — —
Dan Burn D 84 6.30 — — — 47 42% 2 — —
S. Botman D 95 7.20 — — — 66 61% 1 — —
M. Thiaw D 95 6.50 — — — 66 59% 1 — —
L. Hall M 95 6.30 — — 1 36 31% 1 — —
J. Ramsey M 95 7.00 — — — 49 40% 5 — —
Bruno Guimarães M 66 6.70 — — 1 45 38% — 1 —
J. Willock M 95 6.50 — — 2 53 49% 1 — —
J. Murphy M 45 6.20 — — — 21 17% — — —
N. Woltemade F 77 6.60 — — — 24 22% 1 — —
William Osula F 66 6.90 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
A. Elanga F 29 6.60 — — — 7 4% — — —
A. Murphy D 11 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
H. Barnes M 50 6.30 — — 1 12 12% 1 — —
S. Neave F 18 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Y. Wissa F 29 6.60 — — — 5 5% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fulham vs Newcastle?
The final score was Fulham 2–0 Newcastle.
What did the model predict before Fulham vs Newcastle?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Fulham win, 24% to a draw, and 38% to an Newcastle win.