Skip to main content
← UEFA Nations League

FYR Macedonia - Scotland

UEFA Nations League October 03, 2026 20:45 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
FYR Macedonia
#4 · 0 pts
vs
Scotland
#1 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
13.14%
Win
FYR Macedonia
13.27%
Draw
73.59%
Win
Scotland
0.79
Expected xG
2.8
Most likely outcome
Scotland
73.59%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–2 (10.97%)
1X2 Result
1 13%
X 13%
2 74%
Double Chance
1X 26%
X2 87%
12 87%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 82%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Scotland a 73% win probability, against 13% for a draw and 13% for FYR Macedonia. Expected goals are 0.8 for FYR Macedonia and 2.8 for Scotland (total 3.6), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 10.97% probability.

Season Stats

FYR Macedonia
5W 1D 0L
Scotland
3W 1D 4L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.0
0.2
Conceded
1.4
4.7
Shots OT
3.1
3.5
Corners
3.5
55%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
63%
17%
O 2.5
63%
17%
BTTS
50%
83%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
FYR Macedonia
3W 0D 0L · at home
Scotland
2W 0D 2L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.2
0.0
Conceded
1.2
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
33%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
75%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ FYR Macedonia Scotland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8% 7.8% 10.9% 10.1% 7.1% 4.0%
1 2.2% 6.1% 8.5% 8.0% 5.6% 3.1%
2 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
4 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
W Faroe Islands 1–0
W Latvia 1–0
W Armenia 0–2
W Latvia 0–3
W Armenia 2–0
Scotland Scotland
L Greece 0–3
W Greece 0–1
W Poland 1–2
W Croatia 1–0
D Portugal 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 45%

Playing profile

FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
Attack
12
Defence
48
Form
3
Scotland Scotland
Attack
42
Defence
63
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 1

# Team G Pts
1 Scotland Scotland 0 0
2 Switzerland Switzerland 0 0
3 Slovenia Slovenia 0 0
4 FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 1

Top 2 advance to the next round

FYR Macedonia Scotland
Current #4 #1
→ FYR Macedonia #1 #2
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Scotland #4 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FYR Macedonia vs Scotland?
The model gives FYR Macedonia a 13% win probability, 13% for a draw, and 73% for an Scotland win.
How many goals are expected in FYR Macedonia vs Scotland?
Expected goals: FYR Macedonia 0.8, Scotland 2.8 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in FYR Macedonia vs Scotland?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.97%.