Gabon - Niger
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.61%
Win
Gabon
31.38%
Draw
29.01%
Win
Niger
1.42
0.98
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.66%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
31%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
60%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gabon a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Niger. Expected goals are 1.4 for Gabon and 1.0 for Niger (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.66% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Gabon
Niger →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Playing profile
Gabon
Attack
36
Defence
39
Form
36
Niger
Attack
8
Defence
80
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gabon vs Niger?
The model gives Gabon a 39% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 29% for an Niger win.
How many goals are expected in Gabon vs Niger?
Expected goals: Gabon 1.4, Niger 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Gabon vs Niger?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.66%.