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Galatasaray - Barcelona

Champions League October 13, 2026 21:00
#30 · 0 pts
vs
#3 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.89%
Win
Galatasaray
31.57%
Draw
36.54%
Win
Barcelona
0.87
Expected xG
1.06

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.63%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 32%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 68%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Barcelona a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Galatasaray. Expected goals are 0.9 for Galatasaray and 1.1 for Barcelona (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.63% probability.

Season Stats

Galatasaray
5W 1D 7L
Barcelona
8W 2D 3L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.8
1.8
Conceded
1.6
4.8
Shots OT
7.2
4.0
Corners
4.8
51%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
69%
O 1.5
100%
54%
O 2.5
85%
46%
BTTS
85%
23%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Galatasaray
4W 1D 1L · at home
Barcelona
3W 2D 1L · away
1.8
gls/g
2.0
0.8
Conceded
1.8
67%
Win %
50%
83%
Win or Draw
83%
50%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
83%
33%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
83%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
17%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Galatasaray Barcelona →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6% 15.4% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

L Sporting CP 3–1
L Liverpool 4–0
W Liverpool 1–0
L Juventus 3–2
W Juventus 5–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
W Feyenoord 5–1
W Atletico Madrid 1–2
L Atletico Madrid 0–2
W Newcastle 7–2
D Newcastle 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Galatasaray Galatasaray
Attack
53
Defence
54
Form
51
Barcelona Barcelona
Attack
69
Defence
79
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
The model gives Galatasaray a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Barcelona win.
How many goals are expected in Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
Expected goals: Galatasaray 0.9, Barcelona 1.1 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Galatasaray vs Barcelona?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.63%.