← Süper Lig
#1 · 77 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#11 · 37 pts
Model wrong — prediction Galatasaray, result Pareggio
L. Sane (ast. I. Jakobs) 30'
72' (ast. T. Bingol) B. Petkovic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Galatasaray a 71% win probability (draw 19%, Kocaelispor 9%). The final result was Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor. In 1 previous meetings, Galatasaray have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kocaelispor.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.25
Actual xG
0.46
2
Saves
5
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
1
10
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
Joseph Nonge
L. Sane · ast. I. Jakobs
30'
46'
M. Haidara / J. Nonge
53'
T. Bingol / M. Susoho
64'
B. Petkovic / S. Dursun
64'
C. Keles / R. Rivas
R. Sallai / N. Lang
66'
S. Boey / W. Singo
67'
72'
ast. T. Bingol · B. Petkovic
L. Torreira / M. Lemina
75'
I. Gundogan / Y. Akgun
76'
Gabriel Sara / M. Icardi
80'
87'
D. Churlinov / D. Agyei
Pre-match prediction
71.34%
Galatasaray
19.05%
X ←
9.61%
Kocaelispor
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Galatasaray
2.43
1.25
-1.18
Kocaelispor
0.76
0.46
-0.3
Galatasaray dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.46). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray 33 77
2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 33 73
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 33 69
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 33 59
5 Göztepe Göztepe 33 55
6 Başakşehir Başakşehir 33 54
7 Samsunspor Samsunspor 33 48
8 Rizespor Rizespor 33 40
9 Konyaspor Konyaspor 33 40
10 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 33 37
11 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 33 37
12 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 33 37
13 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 33 32
14 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 33 32
15 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 31
16 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 33 29
17 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 33 27
18 Kayserispor Kayserispor 33 27
Lineups
Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-2-3-1
1
U. Cakir G 6.90
4
I. Jakobs 1 👟 D 7.20
42
A. Bardakci D 7.30
6
Davinson Sánchez D 6.90
93
S. Boey 67' D 7.20
20
I. Gundogan 76' M 6.90
34
L. Torreira 75' M 7.30
7
Roland Sallai 66' M 6.70
8
Gabriel Sara 80' M 6.70
10
L. Sane 1 ⚽ M 7.90
53
Barış Alper Yılmaz F 6.30
Bench
17
E. Elmali D
23
K. Ayhan D
9
M. Icardi 10' F 6.30
99
M. Lemina 15' M 6.70
77
N. Lang 24' F 6.90
90
W. Singo 23' D 6.20
11
Y. Akgun 14' F 6.70
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 4-3-3
83
G 7.30
99
R. Rivas 64' D 6.20
6
D 7.50
2
D 6.90
22
A. Oguz D 6.30
8
H. Keita M 6.60
14
Show M 6.20
20 Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho 53' M 6.30
98
J. Nonge 45' F 6.30
19
S. Dursun 64' F 6.50
7
D. Agyei 87' F 6.30
Bench
9
B. Petkovic 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.50
70
C. Keles 26' F 6.50
17
D. Churlinov 9' F 6.60
10
K. Linetty M
21
M. Haidara 45' D 7.00
75
T. Bingol 1 👟 37' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Sane
M · Galatasaray
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 50 pass
B. Petkovic
F · Kocaelispor
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
D · Kocaelispor
7.50
1 shots · 42 pass
A. Bardakci
D · Galatasaray
7.30
1 shots · 98 pass
L. Torreira
M · Galatasaray
7.30
· 58 pass
G · Kocaelispor
7.30
· 27 pass
Galatasaray Galatasaray — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
U. Cakir G 90 6.90 45 37%
I. Jakobs D 90 7.20 1 1 27 23% 2
A. Bardakci D 90 7.30 1 98 91%
Davinson Sánchez D 90 6.90 84 74%
S. Boey D 67 7.20 37 32% 3
I. Gundogan M 76 6.90 61 55%
L. Torreira M 75 7.30 58 56% 3
Roland Sallai M 66 6.70 33 28%
Gabriel Sara M 80 6.70 2 38 36%
L. Sane M 90 7.90 1 2 50 39%
Barış Alper Yılmaz F 90 6.30 16 7%
M. Icardi F 10 6.30 1
M. Lemina M 15 6.70 19 17%
N. Lang F 24 6.90 2 11 9%
W. Singo D 23 6.20 14 10% 1
Y. Akgun F 14 6.70 1 15 13% 1
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 27 19%
R. Rivas D 64 6.20 17 12% 2
D 90 7.50 1 42 30% 2
D 90 6.90 30 24%
A. Oguz D 90 6.30 37 28%
H. Keita M 90 6.60 44 36% 2
Show M 90 6.20 25 20% 1
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho M 53 6.30 9 4%
J. Nonge F 45 6.30 8 5% 1
S. Dursun F 64 6.50 2 8 7%
D. Agyei F 87 6.30 2 4 3%
B. Petkovic F 26 7.50 1 1 8 6%
C. Keles F 26 6.50 1 6 5%
D. Churlinov F 9 6.60 1 1%
M. Haidara D 45 7.00 13 10%
T. Bingol D 37 6.90 1 10 7%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
The final score was Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor.
What did the model predict before Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Galatasaray win, 19% to a draw, and 9% to an Kocaelispor win.