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#2 · 10 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#3 · 9 pts
Model wrong — prediction Galatasaray, result Draw
L. Sane (ast. I. Jakobs) 30'
72' (ast. T. Bingol) B. Petkovic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Galatasaray a 71% win probability (draw 19%, Kocaelispor 9%). The final result was Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor. In 1 previous meetings, Galatasaray have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kocaelispor.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.25
Actual xG
0.46
2
Saves
5
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
1
10
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
Joseph Nonge
L. Sane · ast. I. Jakobs
30'
46'
M. Haidara / J. Nonge
53'
T. Bingol / M. Susoho
64'
B. Petkovic / S. Dursun
64'
C. Keles / R. Rivas
R. Sallai / N. Lang
66'
S. Boey / W. Singo
67'
72'
ast. T. Bingol · B. Petkovic
L. Torreira / M. Lemina
75'
I. Gundogan / Y. Akgun
76'
Gabriel Sara / M. Icardi
80'
87'
D. Churlinov / D. Agyei
Pre-match prediction
71.34%
Galatasaray
19.05%
X ←
9.61%
Kocaelispor
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Galatasaray
2.43
1.25
-1.18
Kocaelispor
0.76
0.46
-0.3
Galatasaray dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.46). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 5 12
2 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4 10
3 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 4 9
4 Rizespor Rizespor 5 9
5 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 4 7
6 Çorum FK Çorum FK 5 7
7 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 4 7
8 Amed Amed 4 7
9 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 4 7
10 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4 7
11 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4 6
12 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4 6
13 Başakşehir Başakşehir 4 4
14 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5 4
15 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 5 4
16 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 5 3
17 Göztepe Göztepe 4 1
18 Konyaspor Konyaspor 4 0
Lineups
Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır U. Çakır G 6.90
4 I. Jakobs I. Jakobs 1 👟 D 7.20
42 A. Bardakcı A. Bardakcı D 7.30
6 D. Sánchez D. Sánchez D 6.90
93 S. Boey S. Boey 67' D 7.20
20 İ. Gündoğan İ. Gündoğan 76' M 6.90
34 L. Torreira L. Torreira 75' M 7.30
7 R. Sallai R. Sallai 66' M 6.70
8 Gabriel Sara Gabriel Sara 80' M 6.70
10 L. Sané L. Sané 1 ⚽ M 7.90
53 B. Yılmaz B. Yılmaz F 6.30
Bench
17 E. Elmalı E. Elmalı D
23 K. Ayhan K. Ayhan D
9 M. Icardi M. Icardi 10' F 6.30
99 M. Lemina M. Lemina 15' M 6.70
77 N. Lang N. Lang 24' F 6.90
90 W. Singo W. Singo 23' D 6.20
11 Y. Akgün Y. Akgün 14' F 6.70
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 4-3-3
83
G 7.30
99 Rigoberto Rivas Rigoberto Rivas 64' D 6.20
6
D 7.50
2
D 6.90
22 A. Oğuz A. Oğuz D 6.30
8 H. Keïta H. Keïta M 6.60
14 Show Show M 6.20
20 Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho 53' M 6.30
98 J. Nonge Boende J. Nonge Boende 45' F 6.30
19 S. Dursun S. Dursun 64' F 6.50
7 D. Agyei D. Agyei 87' F 6.30
Bench
9
B. Petkovic 1 ⚽ 26' F 7.50
70
C. Keles 26' F 6.50
17 D. Churlinov D. Churlinov 9' F 6.60
10 K. Linetty K. Linetty M
21 M. Haïdara M. Haïdara 45' D 7.00
75 T. Bingöl T. Bingöl 1 👟 37' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Sané
L. Sané
M · Galatasaray
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 50 pass
B. Petkovic
F · Kocaelispor
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
D · Kocaelispor
7.50
1 shots · 42 pass
A. Bardakcı
A. Bardakcı
D · Galatasaray
7.30
1 shots · 98 pass
L. Torreira
L. Torreira
M · Galatasaray
7.30
· 58 pass
G · Kocaelispor
7.30
· 27 pass
Galatasaray Galatasaray — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
U. Çakır G 90 6.90 45 37%
I. Jakobs D 90 7.20 1 1 27 23% 2
A. Bardakcı D 90 7.30 1 98 91%
D. Sánchez D 90 6.90 84 74%
S. Boey D 67 7.20 37 32% 3
İ. Gündoğan M 76 6.90 61 55%
L. Torreira M 75 7.30 58 56% 3
R. Sallai M 66 6.70 33 28%
Gabriel Sara M 80 6.70 2 38 36%
L. Sané M 90 7.90 1 2 50 39%
B. Yılmaz F 90 6.30 16 7%
M. Icardi F 10 6.30 1
M. Lemina M 15 6.70 19 17%
N. Lang F 24 6.90 2 11 9%
W. Singo D 23 6.20 14 10% 1
Y. Akgün F 14 6.70 1 15 13% 1
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 27 19%
Rigoberto Rivas D 64 6.20 17 12% 2
D 90 7.50 1 42 30% 2
D 90 6.90 30 24%
A. Oğuz D 90 6.30 37 28%
H. Keïta M 90 6.60 44 36% 2
Show M 90 6.20 25 20% 1
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho M 53 6.30 9 4%
J. Nonge Boende F 45 6.30 8 5% 1
S. Dursun F 64 6.50 2 8 7%
D. Agyei F 87 6.30 2 4 3%
B. Petkovic F 26 7.50 1 1 8 6%
C. Keles F 26 6.50 1 6 5%
D. Churlinov F 9 6.60 1 1%
M. Haïdara D 45 7.00 13 10%
T. Bingöl D 37 6.90 1 10 7%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
The final score was Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor.
What did the model predict before Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Galatasaray win, 19% to a draw, and 9% to an Kocaelispor win.