Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 29
April 12, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Galatasaray, result Draw
L. Sane
(ast. I. Jakobs)
30'
72'
(ast. T. Bingol)
B. Petkovic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Galatasaray a 71% win probability (draw 19%, Kocaelispor 9%). The final result was Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor. In 1 previous meetings, Galatasaray have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kocaelispor.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.25
Actual xG
0.46
2
Saves
5
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
1
10
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
Joseph Nonge
⚽L. Sane
· ast. I. Jakobs
30'
46'
M. Haidara
/
J. Nonge
53'
T. Bingol
/
M. Susoho
64'
B. Petkovic
/
S. Dursun
64'
C. Keles
/
R. Rivas
R. Sallai
/ N. Lang
66'
S. Boey
/ W. Singo
67'
72'
ast. T. Bingol ·
B. Petkovic⚽
L. Torreira
/ M. Lemina
75'
I. Gundogan
/ Y. Akgun
76'
Gabriel Sara
/ M. Icardi
80'
87'
D. Churlinov
/
D. Agyei
Pre-match prediction
71.34%
Galatasaray
19.05%
X ←
9.61%
Kocaelispor
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.43
1.25
-1.18
0.76
0.46
-0.3
Galatasaray dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
U. Çakır
G
U. Çakır
G
4
I. Jakobs
1 👟
D
I. Jakobs
1 👟
D
42
A. Bardakcı
D
A. Bardakcı
D
6
D. Sánchez
D
D. Sánchez
D
93
S. Boey
67'
D
S. Boey
67'
D
20
İ. Gündoğan
76'
M
İ. Gündoğan
76'
M
34
L. Torreira
75'
M
L. Torreira
75'
M
7
R. Sallai
66'
M
R. Sallai
66'
M
8
Gabriel Sara
80'
M
Gabriel Sara
80'
M
10
L. Sané
1 ⚽
M
L. Sané
1 ⚽
M
53
B. Yılmaz
F
B. Yılmaz
F
Bench
17
E. Elmalı
D
E. Elmalı
D
23
K. Ayhan
D
K. Ayhan
D
9
M. Icardi
10'
F
M. Icardi
10'
F
99
M. Lemina
15'
M
M. Lemina
15'
M
77
N. Lang
24'
F
N. Lang
24'
F
90
W. Singo
23'
D
W. Singo
23'
D
11
Y. Akgün
14'
F
Y. Akgün
14'
F
83
G
99
Rigoberto Rivas
64'
D
Rigoberto Rivas
64'
D
6
D
2
D
22
A. Oğuz
D
A. Oğuz
D
8
H. Keïta
M
H. Keïta
M
14
Show
M
Show
M
20
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho
53'
M
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho
53'
M
98
J. Nonge Boende
45'
F
J. Nonge Boende
45'
F
19
S. Dursun
64'
F
S. Dursun
64'
F
7
D. Agyei
87'
F
D. Agyei
87'
F
Bench
9
B. Petkovic
1 ⚽
26'
F
70
C. Keles
26'
F
17
D. Churlinov
9'
F
D. Churlinov
9'
F
10
K. Linetty
M
K. Linetty
M
21
M. Haïdara
45'
D
M. Haïdara
45'
D
75
T. Bingöl
1 👟
37'
D
T. Bingöl
1 👟
37'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Sané
M · Galatasaray
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 50 pass
B. Petkovic
F · Kocaelispor
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
D · Kocaelispor
7.50
1 shots
· 42 pass
A. Bardakcı
D · Galatasaray
7.30
1 shots
· 98 pass
L. Torreira
M · Galatasaray
7.30
· 58 pass
G · Kocaelispor
7.30
· 27 pass
Galatasaray — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Çakır | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| I. Jakobs | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bardakcı | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 91% | — | — | — |
| D. Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 84 | 74% | — | — | — |
| S. Boey | D | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| İ. Gündoğan | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | — | — | — |
| L. Torreira | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Sallai | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Sara | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| L. Sané | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 39% | — | — | — |
| B. Yılmaz | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Icardi | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemina | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| N. Lang | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| W. Singo | D | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Akgün | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Kocaelispor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Rigoberto Rivas | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| A. Oğuz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| H. Keïta | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Show | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho | M | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Nonge Boende | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Dursun | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Agyei | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| B. Petkovic | F | 26 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Keles | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Churlinov | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Haïdara | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| T. Bingöl | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
The final score was Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor.
What did the model predict before Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Galatasaray win, 19% to a draw, and 9% to an Kocaelispor win.