90'+1
T. Wilson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Galway United 35%). The final result was Galway United 0–1 Dundalk. In 2 previous meetings, Galway United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
5
0.73
Actual xG
1.36
4
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
6
Corners
9
12
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
21'
R. Cornwall
C. McCormack
51'
J. Caulfield
53'
57'
C. Kilduff
L. Devitt
/ F. Pierrot
61'
C. McCormack
/ W. Williams
61'
E. McCarthy
/ A. Piesold
61'
A. Parker
/ A. Kazeem
62'
72'
S. Tracey
/
D. Mullen
72'
K. Buckley
/
D. McDaid
S. Walsh
/ N. Fleuriau Chateau
80'
A. Kazeem
88'
90'+1
T. Wilson⚽
90'+4
H. Groome
/
D. Horgan
Pre-match prediction
35.21%
Galway
22.8%
X
41.99%
Dundalk ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dundalk)
41.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
0.73
-0.8
1.86
1.36
-0.5
Dundalk dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Evan Watts
G
Evan Watts
G
20
Lee Devitt
61'
D
Lee Devitt
61'
D
5
Killian Brouder
D
Killian Brouder
D
12
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
2
Arthur Parker
62'
D
Arthur Parker
62'
D
8
Aaron Bolger
M
Aaron Bolger
M
22
Conor McCormack
61'
M
Conor McCormack
61'
M
24
Edward McCarthy
61'
M
Edward McCarthy
61'
M
10
D. Hurley
M
D. Hurley
M
4
Jimmy Keohane
M
Jimmy Keohane
M
7
Stephen Walsh
80'
F
Stephen Walsh
80'
F
Bench
30
Al-Amin Kazeem
29'
D
Al-Amin Kazeem
29'
D
6
Axel Piesold
30'
M
Axel Piesold
30'
M
23
Frantz Pierrot
30'
F
Frantz Pierrot
30'
F
16
Hugo Cunha
G
Hugo Cunha
G
28
James Morahan
D
James Morahan
D
17
Junior Thiam
M
Junior Thiam
M
14
Matthew Wolfe
M
Matthew Wolfe
M
29
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
11'
F
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
11'
F
15
Wasiri Ola Williams
30'
D
Wasiri Ola Williams
30'
D
1
Enda Minogue
G
Enda Minogue
G
22
Tyreke Wilson
1 ⚽
D
Tyreke Wilson
1 ⚽
D
3
B. Burns
D
B. Burns
D
24
R. Cornwall
D
R. Cornwall
D
31
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
D
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
D
11
Ronan Teahan
M
Ronan Teahan
M
6
A. Dervin
M
A. Dervin
M
7
D. Horgan
M
D. Horgan
M
16
E. Kenny
M
E. Kenny
M
27
D. McDaid
72'
M
D. McDaid
72'
M
21
Danny Mullen
72'
F
Danny Mullen
72'
F
Bench
23
Aaron Keogh
M
Aaron Keogh
M
9
G. Arubi
F
G. Arubi
F
8
Harry Groome
M
Harry Groome
M
18
Keith Buckley
19'
M
Keith Buckley
19'
M
12
Luke Mulligan
D
Luke Mulligan
D
13
Peter Cherrie
G
Peter Cherrie
G
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
17
Shane Tracey
19'
M
Shane Tracey
19'
M
29
TJ Molloy
F
TJ Molloy
F
Best on the pitch
Tyreke Wilson
D · Dundalk
9.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
A. Dervin
M · Dundalk
7.90
· 46 pass
T. Wilson
D · Dundalk
7.30
1 ⚽
· 37 pass
Killian Brouder
D · Galway
7.30
· 25 pass
R. Cornwall
D · Dundalk
7.30
1 shots
· 28 pass
B. Burns
D · Dundalk
7.30
· 37 pass
Galway United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Watts | G | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Lee Devitt | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Killian Brouder | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gianfranco Facchineri | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Parker | D | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Bolger | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Conor McCormack | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Edward McCarthy | M | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Hurley | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jimmy Keohane | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Stephen Walsh | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Al-Amin Kazeem | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Axel Piesold | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Frantz Pierrot | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Wasiri Ola Williams | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enda Minogue | G | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tyreke Wilson | D | 91 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 91 | 7.30 | 1 | — | — | 37 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronan Teahan | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 28% | — | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Danny Mullen | F | 72 | 5.70 | — | — | 6 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Keith Buckley | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Shane Tracey | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Galway United vs Dundalk?
The final score was Galway United 0–1 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before Galway United vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Galway United win, 22% to a draw, and 41% to an Dundalk win.