90'+1
T. Wilson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 41% win probability (draw 22%, Galway United 35%). The final result was Galway United 0–1 Dundalk. In 3 previous meetings, Galway United have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
5
0.73
Actual xG
1.36
4
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
6
Corners
9
12
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
21'
R. Cornwall
C. McCormack
51'
J. Caulfield
53'
57'
C. Kilduff
L. Devitt
/ F. Pierrot
61'
C. McCormack
/ W. Williams
61'
E. McCarthy
/ A. Piesold
61'
A. Parker
/ A. Kazeem
62'
72'
S. Tracey
/
D. Mullen
72'
K. Buckley
/
D. McDaid
S. Walsh
/ N. Fleuriau Chateau
80'
A. Kazeem
88'
90'+1
T. Wilson⚽
90'+4
H. Groome
/
D. Horgan
Pre-match prediction
35.21%
Galway
22.8%
X
41.99%
Dundalk ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dundalk)
41.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
0.73
-0.8
1.86
1.36
-0.5
Dundalk dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Evan Watts
G
Evan Watts
G
20
M. Zaidan
61'
D
5
Killian Brouder
D
Killian Brouder
D
12
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
Gianfranco Facchineri
D
2
Arthur Parker
62'
D
Arthur Parker
62'
D
8
A. Bolger
M
A. Bolger
M
22
Conor McCormack
61'
M
Conor McCormack
61'
M
24
E. McCarthy
61'
M
E. McCarthy
61'
M
10
D. Hurley
M
D. Hurley
M
4
J. Keohane
M
J. Keohane
M
7
S. Walsh
80'
F
S. Walsh
80'
F
Bench
30
A. Kazeem
29'
D
A. Kazeem
29'
D
6
Axel Piesold
30'
M
Axel Piesold
30'
M
23
F. Pierrot
30'
F
F. Pierrot
30'
F
16
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G
Hugo Alberto Pires da Cunha
G
28
J. Morahan
D
J. Morahan
D
17
Junior Thiam
M
Junior Thiam
M
14
Matthew Wolfe
M
Matthew Wolfe
M
29
N. Fleuriau Chateau
11'
F
N. Fleuriau Chateau
11'
F
15
O. Williams
30'
D
O. Williams
30'
D
1
E. Minogue
G
E. Minogue
G
22
Tyreke Wilson
1 ⚽
D
Tyreke Wilson
1 ⚽
D
3
B. Burns
D
B. Burns
D
24
R. Cornwall
D
R. Cornwall
D
31
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
D
T. Wilson
1 ⚽
D
11
Ronan Teahan
M
Ronan Teahan
M
6
A. Dervin
M
A. Dervin
M
7
D. Horgan
M
D. Horgan
M
16
E. Kenny
M
E. Kenny
M
27
D. McDaid
72'
M
D. McDaid
72'
M
21
Danny Mullen
72'
F
Danny Mullen
72'
F
Bench
23
A. M. Keogh
M
A. M. Keogh
M
9
G. Arubi
F
G. Arubi
F
8
H. Groome
M
H. Groome
M
18
K. Buckley
19'
M
K. Buckley
19'
M
12
L. Mulligan
D
L. Mulligan
D
13
Peter Cherrie
G
Peter Cherrie
G
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
17
S. Tracey
19'
M
S. Tracey
19'
M
29
TJ Molloy
F
TJ Molloy
F
Best on the pitch
Tyreke Wilson
D · Dundalk
9.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
A. Dervin
M · Dundalk
7.90
· 46 pass
T. Wilson
D · Dundalk
7.30
1 ⚽
· 37 pass
Killian Brouder
D · Galway
7.30
· 25 pass
R. Cornwall
D · Dundalk
7.30
1 shots
· 28 pass
B. Burns
D · Dundalk
7.30
· 37 pass
Galway United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Watts | G | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Zaidan | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Killian Brouder | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gianfranco Facchineri | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Parker | D | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bolger | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Conor McCormack | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| E. McCarthy | M | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Hurley | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Keohane | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Walsh | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Kazeem | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Axel Piesold | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pierrot | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fleuriau Chateau | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| O. Williams | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Minogue | G | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tyreke Wilson | D | 91 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 91 | 7.30 | 1 | — | — | 37 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronan Teahan | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 28% | — | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Danny Mullen | F | 72 | 5.70 | — | — | 6 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Galway United vs Dundalk?
The final score was Galway United 0–1 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before Galway United vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Galway United win, 22% to a draw, and 41% to an Dundalk win.