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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 09:00 Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita
Gamba Osaka
#15 · 11 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Kyoto Sanga
#16 · 10 pts
Takashi Usami 31'
Issam Jebali 65'
39' (ast. Shimpei Fukuoka) Haruki Arai
90'+2 Takumi Kato
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gamba Osaka a 34% win probability (draw 38%, Kyoto Sanga 27%). The final result was Gamba Osaka 2–2 Kyoto Sanga. In 2 previous meetings, Gamba Osaka have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kyoto Sanga.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
7
Shots on target
3
1.44
Actual xG
1.35
1
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
2
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Takashi Usami
31'
32'
Kyo Sato
39'
ast. Shimpei Fukuoka · Haruki Arai⚽
45'
Takumi Kato / Weverton Silva de Andrade ↕
Jun Ichimori
53'
↕ Koshiro Sumi / Masaaki Higashiguchi
57'
⚽Issam Jebali
65'
↕ Takashi Usami / Shogo Sasaki
66'
↕ Tokuma Suzuki / Shuto Abe
66'
69'
Fuchi Honda / Alex Souza ↕
69'
Rafael Papagaio / Hiroto Morooka ↕
75'
Marco Túlio / Yusuke Ishida ↕
80'
Ryosuke Yamanaka / Kyo Sato ↕
↕ Ryoya Yamashita / Ryotaro Meshino
90'+1
90'+2
Takumi Kato⚽
Issam Jebali
90'+7
↕ Rin Mito / Ryo Hatsuse
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.18%
Gamba
38.05%
X ←
27.77%
Kyoto
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 38.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gamba
0.63
1.44
+0.81
Kyoto
0.55
1.35
+0.8
xG dominance was balanced (1.44 – 1.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
22 J. Ichimori J. Ichimori 53' G 4.40
47 S. Nakano S. Nakano D 5.66
2 S. Fukuoka S. Fukuoka D 6.14
4 S. Nakatani S. Nakatani D 6.01
15 T. Kishimoto T. Kishimoto D 6.56
27 R. Mito R. Mito 89' M 6.52
16 T. Suzuki T. Suzuki 66' M 6.44
39 K. Sumi K. Sumi 57' M 5.81
7 T. Usami T. Usami 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.61
17 R. Yamashita R. Yamashita 89' M 6.30
11 I. Jebali I. Jebali 1 ⚽ F 8.07
Bench
20 E. Adams E. Adams M 0.00
1 M. Higashiguchi M. Higashiguchi 33' G 5.03
21 R. Hatsuse R. Hatsuse 1' D 0.00
8 R. Meshino R. Meshino 1' F 0.00
13 S. Abe S. Abe 24' M 5.90
28 S. Fujiwara S. Fujiwara M 0.00
67 S. Sasaki S. Sasaki 24' D 6.06
97 Welton Felipe Welton Felipe F 0.00
41 Y. Toshida Y. Toshida F 0.00
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4-2-1
90 Halls Halls G 6.69
15 K. Nagata K. Nagata D 6.45
50 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki D 6.31
43 Weverton Weverton 45' D 6.15
44 K. Sato K. Sato 80' M 6.10
24 H. Morooka H. Morooka 69' M 5.94
10 S. Fukuoka S. Fukuoka 1 👟 M 6.80
40 Y. Ishida Y. Ishida 75' M 6.41
77 H. Arai H. Arai 1 ⚽ M 6.90
48 R. Nakano R. Nakano M 6.61
17 Alex Negueba Alex Negueba 69' F 6.26
Bench
99 F. Honda F. Honda 21' M 5.95
1 G. Ota G. Ota G 0.00
5 H. Tawiah H. Tawiah D 0.00
11 Marco Túlio Marco Túlio 15' F 6.73
9 Rafael Elias Rafael Elias 21' F 6.78
60 R. Yamanaka R. Yamanaka 10' M 6.17
23 T. Kato T. Kato 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
62 T. Shichi T. Shichi D 0.00
25 Yoon Sung-Jun Yoon Sung-Jun M 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Kato
T. Kato
F · Kyoto
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
I. Jebali
I. Jebali
F · Gamba
8.07
1 ⚽
5 shots · 20 pass
T. Usami
T. Usami
M · Gamba
7.61
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
H. Arai
H. Arai
M · Kyoto
6.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 26 pass
S. Fukuoka
S. Fukuoka
M · Kyoto
6.80
1 👟
· 74 pass
Rafael Elias
Rafael Elias
F · Kyoto
6.78
4 shots · 9 pass
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Ichimori G 53 4.40 — — 0 16 9% 0 — 1
S. Nakano D 90 5.66 — — 1 31 21% 3 — —
S. Fukuoka D 90 6.14 — — 0 47 34% 0 — —
S. Nakatani D 90 6.01 — — 0 53 38% 0 — —
T. Kishimoto D 90 6.56 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
R. Mito M 89 6.52 — — 2 22 20% 0 — —
T. Suzuki M 66 6.44 — — 0 54 43% 3 — —
K. Sumi M 57 5.81 — — 1 19 17% 0 — —
T. Usami M 66 7.61 1 — 1 34 26% 1 — —
R. Yamashita M 89 6.30 — — 1 14 11% 3 — —
I. Jebali F 90 8.07 1 — 5 20 14% 3 1 —
M. Higashiguchi G 33 5.03 — — 0 21 7% 0 — —
R. Hatsuse D 1 0.00 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
R. Meshino F 1 0.00 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
S. Abe M 24 5.90 — — 0 8 4% 0 — —
S. Sasaki D 24 6.06 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Halls G 90 6.69 — — 0 34 15% 0 — —
K. Nagata D 90 6.45 — — 0 59 48% 1 — —
Y. Suzuki D 90 6.31 — — 0 54 44% 0 — —
Weverton D 45 6.15 — — 0 17 11% 1 — —
K. Sato M 80 6.10 — — 0 22 17% 0 1 —
H. Morooka M 69 5.94 — — 0 25 21% 5 — —
S. Fukuoka M 90 6.80 — 1 0 74 62% 2 — —
Y. Ishida M 75 6.41 — — 0 27 23% 0 — —
H. Arai M 90 6.90 1 — 4 26 15% 1 — —
R. Nakano M 90 6.61 — — 1 36 28% 1 — —
Alex Negueba F 69 6.26 — — 0 13 8% 2 — —
F. Honda M 21 5.95 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
Marco Túlio F 15 6.73 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
Rafael Elias F 21 6.78 — — 4 9 8% 0 — —
R. Yamanaka M 10 6.17 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
T. Kato F 45 8.20 1 — 3 13 10% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?
The final score was Gamba Osaka 2–2 Kyoto Sanga.
What did the model predict before Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Gamba Osaka win, 38% to a draw, and 27% to an Kyoto Sanga win.