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Gamba Osaka - Port FC

AFC Champions League November 25, 2026 11:00
Gamba Osaka
#3 · 7 pts
vs
Port FC
#15 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.22%
Win
Gamba Osaka
26.98%
Draw
26.8%
Win
Port FC
1.71
Expected xG
0.98

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.4%)
1X2 Result
1 46%
X 27%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 54%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gamba Osaka a 46% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Port FC. Expected goals are 1.7 for Gamba Osaka and 1.0 for Port FC (total 2.7), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.4% probability.

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka
3W 1D 0L
Port FC
0W 0D 3L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
0.7
0.8
Conceded
3.3
6.7
Shots OT
2.0
6.0
Corners
2.7
61%
Poss.
39%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
75%
BTTS
67%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Gamba Osaka
1W 1D 0L · at home
Port FC
0W 0D 2L · away
2.5
gls/g
0.5
1.0
Conceded
4.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Gamba Osaka Port FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.6% 11.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
D Buriram United 1–1
W Newcastle Jets 1–3
W Công An Nhân Dân 4–1
W Gangwon FC 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Port FC Port FC
L Johor Darul Takzim FC 3–0
L Kashiwa Reysol 5–1
L Vissel Kobe 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
Attack
48
Defence
67
Form
54
Port FC Port FC
Attack
45
Defence
55
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

East Region

# Team G Pts
1 Kashima Kashima 3 9
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3 9
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3 7
4 Johor Darul Takzim FC Johor Darul Takzim FC 3 7
5 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3 7
6 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3 4
8 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 3 4
9 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3 4
10 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3 4
11 Công An Nhân Dân Công An Nhân Dân 3 3
12 Buriram United Buriram United 3 2
13 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3 1
14 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3 0
15 Port FC Port FC 3 0
16 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3 0

What's at stake · East Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Gamba Osaka Port FC
Current #3 #15
→ Gamba Osaka #1 #15
→ Draw #3 #14
→ Port FC #3 #12

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Port FC?
The model gives Gamba Osaka a 46% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 26% for an Port FC win.
How many goals are expected in Gamba Osaka vs Port FC?
Expected goals: Gamba Osaka 1.7, Port FC 1.0 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Gamba Osaka vs Port FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.