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#5 · 16 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#3 · 18 pts
M. Stone 27'
(pen.) 58' S. Bradley
71' Z. Clarke
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GAP Connah S Quay FC a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Caernarfon Town 30%). The final result was GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–2 Caernarfon Town. In 4 previous meetings, GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Caernarfon Town.

Match statistics
Match Events
M. Stone
27'
58'
(pen.) S. Bradley
63'
D. Gosset
H. Mehasseb / M. Woodcock
66'
70'
B. Nash
71'
Z. Clarke
76'
P. Mendes / O. Evans
76'
M. Jones / C. Marriott
A. Hughes / D. Stephenson
82'
M. Stone / F. Deane
82'
A. Sharif / F. Redshaw
82'
86'
J. Canavan / D. Gosset
90'+2
N. Edwards
90'+3
P. Mooney / A. Cieslewicz
Pre-match prediction
43.01%
GAP
26.78%
X
30.22%
Caernarfon ←
we assigned to the actual result (Caernarfon Town) 30.22% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
GAP
1.85
Caernarfon
1.52
League Table
#Team GPts
1 The New Saints The New Saints 8 22
2 Barry Town Barry Town 8 21
3 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 8 18
4 Penybont Penybont 8 18
5 GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 7 16
6 Llandudno Llandudno 8 15
7 Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 8 14
8 Airbus UK Airbus UK 8 12
9 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 8 12
10 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 7 10
11 Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 8 7
12 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 8 7
13 Flint Town United Flint Town United 8 2
14 Trefelin Trefelin 8 2
15 Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 8 2
16 Holywell Holywell 8 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
The final score was GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–2 Caernarfon Town.
What did the model predict before GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
The model assigned 43% probability to a GAP Connah S Quay FC win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Caernarfon Town win.