Skip to main content
← National League

Gateshead - Tamworth

National League November 07, 2026 16:00
Gateshead
#24 · 4 pts
vs
Tamworth
#20 · 17 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
19.6%
Win
Gateshead
22.7%
Draw
57.7%
Win
Tamworth
0.56
Expected xG
2.33
Most likely outcome
Tamworth
57.7%
Probability
69.4%
1X2 accuracy · 36 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–2 (15.13%)
1X2 Result
1 20%
X 23%
2 58%
Double Chance
1X 42%
X2 80%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 62%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tamworth a 57% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Gateshead. Expected goals are 0.6 for Gateshead and 2.3 for Tamworth (total 2.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 15.13% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Gateshead have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tamworth.

Season Stats

Gateshead
1W 1D 13L
Tamworth
5W 2D 8L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.7
2.3
Conceded
2.1
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
60%
O 2.5
80%
47%
BTTS
80%
7%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Gateshead
4W 1D 5L · at home
Tamworth
2W 3D 5L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.4
1.6
Conceded
2.4
40%
Win %
20%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Gateshead Tamworth →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 13.0% 15.1% 11.7% 6.8% 3.2%
1 3.1% 7.3% 8.5% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8%
2 0.9% 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 — 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Gateshead Gateshead
L Aldershot Town 1–0
L Boston United 2–1
L FC Halifax Town 4–1
L Worthing 1–2
L Altrincham 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 17%
Tamworth Tamworth
L Woking 0–1
W Scunthorpe 4–1
L Barrow 1–2
W Hartlepool 0–1
W Sutton Utd 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Gateshead Gateshead
Attack
13
Defence
42
Form
19
Tamworth Tamworth
Attack
38
Defence
64
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Gateshead
0
Draw
1
Tamworth
3 Jan 2026 National League 1–3
23 Aug 2025 National League 2–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 16 44
2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 16 32
3 Southend Southend 16 29
4 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 16 29
5 Yeovil Town Yeovil Town 16 28
6 Worthing Worthing 16 28
7 Altrincham Altrincham 16 28
8 Carlisle Carlisle 16 26
9 Barrow Barrow 15 25
10 FC Halifax Town FC Halifax Town 16 24
11 Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 16 24
12 Woking Woking 16 21
13 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 16 21
14 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 16 21
15 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 16 21
16 Forest Green Forest Green 14 19
17 Eastleigh Eastleigh 16 19
18 Wealdstone Wealdstone 16 18
19 Boston United Boston United 16 18
20 Tamworth Tamworth 15 17
21 Hartlepool Hartlepool 16 15
22 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 16 13
23 Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 15 10
24 Gateshead Gateshead 15 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Gateshead vs Tamworth?
The model gives Gateshead a 19% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 57% for an Tamworth win.
How many goals are expected in Gateshead vs Tamworth?
Expected goals: Gateshead 0.6, Tamworth 2.3 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Gateshead vs Tamworth?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.13%.