Serie D - Girone I
· Group I - 2
September 13, 2026 17:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CastrumFavara a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Gela 32%). The final result was Gela 2–1 CastrumFavara. In 2 previous meetings, Gela have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for CastrumFavara.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
32.29%
Gela ←
31.85%
X
35.85%
CastrumFavara
we assigned to the actual result (Gela)
32.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
—
—
3.88
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gela vs CastrumFavara?
The final score was Gela 2–1 CastrumFavara.
What did the model predict before Gela vs CastrumFavara?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Gela win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an CastrumFavara win.