Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 3
August 28, 2026 20:30
A. Traore
(ast. O. Diabate)
66'
55'
E. Tozlu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gençlerbirliği S.K. a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Erzurumspor FK 29%). The final result was Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–1 Erzurumspor FK.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
0.80
Actual xG
0.97
3
Saves
3
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
5
13
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
45'+1
M. Yumlu
55'
E. Tozlu⚽
P. Pereira
60'
⚽A. Traore
· ast. O. Diabate
66'
O. Ulgun
68'
71'
M. Cardoso
/
M. Fettahoglu
71'
I. Diabate
/
E. Tozlu
O. Ulgun
/ S. Ucan
71'
S. Koita
/ E. Kemaloglu
80'
82'
E. Owusu
85'
F. Ebosele
/
O. Ovacikli
85'
N. Akhundzade
/
M. Rodriguez
85'
89'
Y. Kirtay
/
G. Giorbelidze
T. Gouveia
/ M. Baltaci
90'+2
O. Diabate
90'+4
90'+6
N. Mujakic
Pre-match prediction
38.36%
Gençlerbirliği
31.74%
X ←
29.9%
Erzurumspor
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
0.80
-0.29
0.46
0.97
+0.51
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.97).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
70
İ. Eğribayat
G
İ. Eğribayat
G
77
A. Dursun
D
A. Dursun
D
4
Žan Žužek
D
Žan Žužek
D
6
D. Goutas
D
D. Goutas
D
13
Pedro Pereira
D
Pedro Pereira
D
10
F. Tongya
M
F. Tongya
M
42
Ousmane Diabate
1 👟
M
Ousmane Diabate
1 👟
M
35
O. Ülgün
71'
M
O. Ülgün
71'
M
7
Tiago Gouveia
F
Tiago Gouveia
F
20
S. Koïta
80'
F
S. Koïta
80'
F
14
Adama Malouda Traoré
1 ⚽
F
Adama Malouda Traoré
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
Arda Aslan Erk
M
Arda Aslan Erk
M
8
Ensar Kemaloğlu
16'
M
Ensar Kemaloğlu
16'
M
88
F. Üzüm
D
F. Üzüm
D
23
G. Akkan
G
G. Akkan
G
52
Göktug Erdem
M
Göktug Erdem
M
90
M. Baltacı
4'
D
M. Baltacı
4'
D
45
Prince Martor
F
Prince Martor
F
48
S. Uçan
25'
M
S. Uçan
25'
M
2
Thalisson Kelven
D
Thalisson Kelven
D
3
Yiğit Hamza Aydar
D
Yiğit Hamza Aydar
D
1
E. Taşkıran
G
E. Taşkıran
G
15
G. Giorbelidze
89'
D
G. Giorbelidze
89'
D
18
N. Mujakić
D
N. Mujakić
D
22
M. Yumlu
D
M. Yumlu
D
4
A. Gerxhaliu
D
A. Gerxhaliu
D
53
O. Ovacıklı
85'
D
O. Ovacıklı
85'
D
65
M. Rodríguez
85'
M
M. Rodríguez
85'
M
6
B. Baiye
M
B. Baiye
M
42
E. Owusu
M
E. Owusu
M
99
M. Fettahoğlu
71'
M
M. Fettahoğlu
71'
M
10
E. Tozlu
1 ⚽
71'
F
E. Tozlu
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
23
C. Bayrak
D
C. Bayrak
D
2
F. Ebosele
11'
D
F. Ebosele
11'
D
9
G. Kerk
F
G. Kerk
F
19
I. Diabate
25'
F
I. Diabate
25'
F
20
Miguel Cardoso
25'
F
Miguel Cardoso
25'
F
31
M. Orbanić
G
M. Orbanić
G
5
Murat Cem Akpinar
M
Murat Cem Akpinar
M
90
N. Axundzadə
11'
F
N. Axundzadə
11'
F
8
S. Akgün
M
S. Akgün
M
3
Y. Kırtay
7'
D
Y. Kırtay
7'
D
Best on the pitch
Adama Malouda Traoré
F · Gençlerbirliği
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
E. Tozlu
F · Erzurumspor
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
A. Gerxhaliu
D · Erzurumspor
7.30
1 shots
· 65 pass
Tiago Gouveia
F · Gençlerbirliği
7.30
3 shots
· 21 pass
O. Ovacıklı
D · Erzurumspor
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Žan Žužek
D · Gençlerbirliği
7.20
· 61 pass
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İ. Eğribayat | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Dursun | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Žan Žužek | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Goutas | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pereira | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Tongya | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ousmane Diabate | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 3 | 41 | 29% | 5 | 1 | — |
| O. Ülgün | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tiago Gouveia | F | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Koïta | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Adama Malouda Traoré | F | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Ensar Kemaloğlu | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Baltacı | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Uçan | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Erzurumspor FK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Taşkıran | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 29% | — | — | — |
| G. Giorbelidze | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mujakić | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Yumlu | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Gerxhaliu | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 57% | — | — | — |
| O. Ovacıklı | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Rodríguez | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Baiye | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Owusu | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Fettahoğlu | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Tozlu | F | 71 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ebosele | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| I. Diabate | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cardoso | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Axundzadə | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Y. Kırtay | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
The final score was Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–1 Erzurumspor FK.
What did the model predict before Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Gençlerbirliği S.K. win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Erzurumspor FK win.