Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 3
August 28, 2026 20:30
A. Traore
(ast. O. Diabate)
66'
55'
E. Tozlu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gençlerbirliği S.K. a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Erzurumspor FK 29%). The final result was Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–1 Erzurumspor FK.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
0.80
Actual xG
0.97
3
Saves
3
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
5
13
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
45'+1
M. Yumlu
55'
E. Tozlu⚽
P. Pereira
60'
⚽A. Traore
· ast. O. Diabate
66'
O. Ulgun
68'
71'
M. Cardoso
/
M. Fettahoglu
71'
I. Diabate
/
E. Tozlu
O. Ulgun
/ S. Ucan
71'
S. Koita
/ E. Kemaloglu
80'
82'
E. Owusu
85'
F. Ebosele
/
O. Ovacikli
85'
N. Akhundzade
/
M. Rodriguez
85'
89'
Y. Kirtay
/
G. Giorbelidze
T. Gouveia
/ M. Baltaci
90'+2
O. Diabate
90'+4
90'+6
N. Mujakic
Pre-match prediction
38.36%
Gençlerbirliği
31.74%
X ←
29.9%
Erzurumspor
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
0.80
-0.29
0.46
0.97
+0.51
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.97).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
70
İrfan Can Eğribayat
G
İrfan Can Eğribayat
G
77
Abdurrahim Dursun
D
Abdurrahim Dursun
D
4
Ž. Žužek
D
Ž. Žužek
D
6
Dimitris Goutas
D
Dimitris Goutas
D
13
Pedro Pereira
D
Pedro Pereira
D
10
Franco Tongya
M
Franco Tongya
M
42
Ousmane Diabate
1 👟
M
Ousmane Diabate
1 👟
M
35
Oğulcan Ülgün
71'
M
Oğulcan Ülgün
71'
M
7
Tiago Gouveia
F
Tiago Gouveia
F
20
Sekou Koita
80'
F
Sekou Koita
80'
F
14
Adama Malouda Traoré
1 ⚽
F
Adama Malouda Traoré
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Ensar Kemaloğlu
16'
M
Ensar Kemaloğlu
16'
M
17
Erk Arda Aslan
M
Erk Arda Aslan
M
88
Fıratcan Üzüm
D
Fıratcan Üzüm
D
23
Gökhan Akkan
G
Gökhan Akkan
G
52
Göktug Erdem
M
Göktug Erdem
M
90
Metehan Baltacı
4'
D
Metehan Baltacı
4'
D
45
Prince Martor
F
Prince Martor
F
48
Salih Uçan
25'
M
Salih Uçan
25'
M
2
Thalisson
D
Thalisson
D
3
Yiğit Hamza Aydar
D
Yiğit Hamza Aydar
D
1
Ertuğrul Taşkıran
G
Ertuğrul Taşkıran
G
15
G. Giorbelidze
89'
D
G. Giorbelidze
89'
D
18
Nihad Mujakić
D
Nihad Mujakić
D
22
Mustafa Yumlu
D
Mustafa Yumlu
D
4
Amar Gerxhaliu
D
Amar Gerxhaliu
D
53
Orhan Ovacıklı
85'
D
Orhan Ovacıklı
85'
D
65
Martín Rodríguez
85'
M
Martín Rodríguez
85'
M
6
Brandon Baiye
M
Brandon Baiye
M
42
Elisha Owusu
M
Elisha Owusu
M
99
Mustafa Fettahoglu
71'
M
Mustafa Fettahoglu
71'
M
10
E. Tozlu
1 ⚽
71'
F
E. Tozlu
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
23
Cengizhan Bayrak
D
Cengizhan Bayrak
D
2
Festy Ebosele
11'
D
Festy Ebosele
11'
D
9
G. Kerk
F
G. Kerk
F
19
Ibrahim Diabaté
25'
F
Ibrahim Diabaté
25'
F
31
Matija Orbanić
G
Matija Orbanić
G
20
Miguel Cardoso
25'
F
Miguel Cardoso
25'
F
5
Murat Cem Akpinar
M
Murat Cem Akpinar
M
90
Nariman Akhundzade
11'
F
Nariman Akhundzade
11'
F
8
Sefa Akgün
M
Sefa Akgün
M
3
Yakup Kırtay
7'
D
Yakup Kırtay
7'
D
Best on the pitch
Adama Malouda Traoré
F · Gençlerbirliği
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
E. Tozlu
F · Erzurumspor
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
Amar Gerxhaliu
D · Erzurumspor
7.30
1 shots
· 65 pass
Tiago Gouveia
F · Gençlerbirliği
7.30
3 shots
· 21 pass
Orhan Ovacıklı
D · Erzurumspor
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Ž. Žužek
D · Gençlerbirliği
7.20
· 61 pass
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İrfan Can Eğribayat | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Abdurrahim Dursun | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Ž. Žužek | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Dimitris Goutas | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pereira | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Franco Tongya | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ousmane Diabate | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 3 | 41 | 29% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Oğulcan Ülgün | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tiago Gouveia | F | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Sekou Koita | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Adama Malouda Traoré | F | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Ensar Kemaloğlu | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Metehan Baltacı | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Salih Uçan | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Erzurumspor FK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ertuğrul Taşkıran | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 29% | — | — | — |
| G. Giorbelidze | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Nihad Mujakić | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mustafa Yumlu | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Amar Gerxhaliu | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Orhan Ovacıklı | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Martín Rodríguez | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandon Baiye | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mustafa Fettahoglu | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Tozlu | F | 71 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Festy Ebosele | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cardoso | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yakup Kırtay | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
The final score was Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–1 Erzurumspor FK.
What did the model predict before Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Gençlerbirliği S.K. win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Erzurumspor FK win.