Skip to main content
← Liga Nacional

Génesis - Estrella Roja

#6 · 11 pts
vs
#8 · 9 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 22.3°C 💨 1 km/h 🌧️ 62% · La Paz
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.55%
Win
Génesis
32.81%
Draw
32.63%
Win
Estrella Roja
0.65
Expected xG
0.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.84%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Génesis a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Estrella Roja. Expected goals are 0.6 for Génesis and 0.3 for Estrella Roja (total 0.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.84% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Génesis Estrella Roja →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 38.8% 11.6% 1.7% 0.2% — —
1 25.1% 7.5% 1.1% 0.1% — —
2 8.1% 2.4% 0.4% — — —
3 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% — — —
4 0.3% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

L CD Olimpia 0–1
D Olancho 0–0
L CD Motagua 1–0
W Juticalpa 0–3
L CD Marathon 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
No data available

Playing profile

Génesis Génesis
Attack
24
Defence
79
Form
46
Estrella Roja Estrella Roja
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 10 23
2 CD Marathon CD Marathon 10 21
3 Real Espana Real Espana 10 21
4 CD Motagua CD Motagua 9 16
5 Olancho Olancho 10 12
6 Génesis Génesis 9 11
7 Atletico Independiente Atletico Independiente 9 10
8 Estrella Roja Estrella Roja 9 9
8 Estrella Roja Estrella Roja 9 9
9 Lobos Upnfm Lobos Upnfm 9 9
10 Platense FC Platense FC 9 8
11 Atlético Choloma Atlético Choloma 9 7
12 Juticalpa Juticalpa 9 6
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
The model gives Génesis a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Estrella Roja win.
How many goals are expected in Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
Expected goals: Génesis 0.6, Estrella Roja 0.3 (total 0.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Génesis vs Estrella Roja?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.84%.