✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Antwerp 19%). The final result was Genk 0–0 Antwerp. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Antwerp.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
7
13
Shots on target
1
2.71
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
12
63%
Possession
37%
11
Corners
3
10
Tackles
24
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Mirisola
/ J. Erabi
46'
61'
A. Valencia
/
G. Hairemans
61'
G. Kerk
/
G. Vandeplas
A. Yokoyama
/ Y. Sor
71'
N. Sattlberger
/ A. De Wannemacker
71'
72'
E. Tuypens
/
T. Somers
72'
S. Renders
/
D. Foulon
75'
Y. Tsunashima
78'
E. Tuypens
81'
M. Fofana
/
E. Tuypens
J. Ito
/ J. Steuckers
90'
M. Smets
/ M. Sadick
90'
Pre-match prediction
60.16%
Genk
19.93%
X ←
19.91%
Antwerp
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
2.71
+0.38
1.31
0.68
-0.63
Genk dominated by xG (2.71 vs 0.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
Lucca Brughmans
G
Lucca Brughmans
G
18
J. Kayembe
D
J. Kayembe
D
44
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D
6
Matte Smets
89'
D
Matte Smets
89'
D
77
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
8
Bryan Heynen
M
Bryan Heynen
M
24
Nikolas Sattlberger
71'
M
Nikolas Sattlberger
71'
M
30
A. Yokoyama
71'
M
A. Yokoyama
71'
M
29
Robin Mirisola
45'
M
Robin Mirisola
45'
M
10
Junya Ito
89'
M
Junya Ito
89'
M
23
A. Bibout
F
A. Bibout
F
Bench
56
A. De Wannemacker
19'
M
A. De Wannemacker
19'
M
34
Adrian Palacios
D
Adrian Palacios
D
71
Brent Stevens
G
Brent Stevens
G
7
J. Steuckers
1'
F
J. Steuckers
1'
F
99
Jusef Erabi
45'
F
Jusef Erabi
45'
F
86
Kenan Haroun
M
Kenan Haroun
M
27
Ken Nkuba
D
Ken Nkuba
D
3
Mujaid Sadick
1'
D
Mujaid Sadick
1'
D
26
Tobias Lawal
G
Tobias Lawal
G
19
Yaimar Medina
D
Yaimar Medina
D
14
Yira Collins Sor
19'
F
Yira Collins Sor
19'
F
41
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
G
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
G
20
Rein Van Helden
D
Rein Van Helden
D
6
Jules Ahoka
D
Jules Ahoka
D
4
Yuto Tsunashima
D
Yuto Tsunashima
D
5
D. Foulon
72'
M
D. Foulon
72'
M
78
Xander Dierckx
M
Xander Dierckx
M
16
Mauricio Benitez
M
Mauricio Benitez
M
24
Thibo Somers
72'
M
Thibo Somers
72'
M
30
Christopher Scott
F
Christopher Scott
F
11
Geoffry Hairemans
61'
F
Geoffry Hairemans
61'
F
79
Gerard Vandeplas
61'
F
Gerard Vandeplas
61'
F
Bench
14
Anthony Valencia
29'
F
Anthony Valencia
29'
F
56
Eran Tuypens
9'
D
Eran Tuypens
9'
D
22
Farouck Adekami
M
Farouck Adekami
M
7
Gyrano Kerk
29'
F
Gyrano Kerk
29'
F
82
Louie Van Gelder
M
Louie Van Gelder
M
70
Luca Schelfhout
D
Luca Schelfhout
D
17
Semm Renders
18'
D
Semm Renders
18'
D
15
Yannick Thoelen
G
Yannick Thoelen
G
Best on the pitch
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
G · Antwerp
10.00
· 46 pass
Bryan Heynen
M · Genk
8.60
2 shots
· 57 pass
Jules Ahoka
D · Antwerp
8.30
· 38 pass
Yuto Tsunashima
D · Antwerp
8.30
· 31 pass
A. Yokoyama
M · Genk
8.20
2 shots
· 28 pass
Rein Van Helden
D · Antwerp
8.20
· 55 pass
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucca Brughmans | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Kayembe | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 4 | — | — |
| Josue Ndenge Kongolo | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 84% | 3 | — | — |
| Matte Smets | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 78 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Zakaria El Ouahdi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Heynen | M | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Nikolas Sattlberger | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Yokoyama | M | 71 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Robin Mirisola | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Junya Ito | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. De Wannemacker | M | 19 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Steuckers | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jusef Erabi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Yira Collins Sor | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Antwerp — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taishi Brandon Nozawa | G | 90 | 10.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Rein Van Helden | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Jules Ahoka | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuto Tsunashima | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D. Foulon | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Xander Dierckx | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| Mauricio Benitez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Thibo Somers | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Christopher Scott | F | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Geoffry Hairemans | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Gerard Vandeplas | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Valencia | F | 29 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Eran Tuypens | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Gyrano Kerk | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Semm Renders | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Antwerp?
The final score was Genk 0–0 Antwerp.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Antwerp?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Genk win, 19% to a draw, and 19% to an Antwerp win.