✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Antwerp 19%). The final result was Genk 0–0 Antwerp. In 4 previous meetings, Genk have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Antwerp.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
7
13
Shots on target
1
2.71
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
12
63%
Possession
37%
11
Corners
3
10
Tackles
24
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Mirisola
/ J. Erabi
46'
61'
A. Valencia
/
G. Hairemans
61'
G. Kerk
/
G. Vandeplas
A. Yokoyama
/ Y. Sor
71'
N. Sattlberger
/ A. De Wannemacker
71'
72'
E. Tuypens
/
T. Somers
72'
S. Renders
/
D. Foulon
75'
Y. Tsunashima
78'
E. Tuypens
81'
M. Fofana
/
E. Tuypens
J. Ito
/ J. Steuckers
90'
M. Smets
/ M. Sadick
90'
Pre-match prediction
60.16%
Genk
19.93%
X ←
19.91%
Antwerp
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
2.71
+0.38
1.31
0.68
-0.63
Genk dominated by xG (2.71 vs 0.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
L. Kiaba Mounganga
G
L. Kiaba Mounganga
G
18
J. Kayembe
D
J. Kayembe
D
44
J. Kongolo
D
J. Kongolo
D
6
M. Smets
89'
D
M. Smets
89'
D
77
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Z. El Ouahdi
D
8
B. Heynen
M
B. Heynen
M
24
Nikolas Sattlberger
71'
M
Nikolas Sattlberger
71'
M
30
A. Yokoyama
71'
M
A. Yokoyama
71'
M
29
R. Mirisola
45'
M
R. Mirisola
45'
M
10
J. Ito
89'
M
J. Ito
89'
M
23
A. Bibout
F
A. Bibout
F
Bench
34
Adrian Palacios
D
Adrian Palacios
D
56
August De Wannemacker
19'
M
August De Wannemacker
19'
M
71
Brent Stevens
G
Brent Stevens
G
99
J. Erabi
45'
F
J. Erabi
45'
F
7
J. Steuckers
1'
F
J. Steuckers
1'
F
86
Kenan Haroun
M
Kenan Haroun
M
27
Ken Nkuba
D
Ken Nkuba
D
3
Mujaid Sadick
1'
D
Mujaid Sadick
1'
D
26
Tobias Lawal
G
Tobias Lawal
G
14
Yira Collins Sor
19'
F
Yira Collins Sor
19'
F
19
Y. Medina
D
Y. Medina
D
41
T. Nozawa
G
T. Nozawa
G
20
R. Van Helden
D
R. Van Helden
D
6
Jules Ahoka
D
Jules Ahoka
D
4
Y. Tsunashima
D
Y. Tsunashima
D
5
D. Foulon
72'
M
D. Foulon
72'
M
78
X. Dierckx
M
X. Dierckx
M
16
M. Benítez
M
M. Benítez
M
24
T. Somers
72'
M
T. Somers
72'
M
30
C. Scott
F
C. Scott
F
11
Geoffry Hairemans
61'
F
Geoffry Hairemans
61'
F
79
Gerard Vandeplas
61'
F
Gerard Vandeplas
61'
F
Bench
14
A. Valencia
29'
F
A. Valencia
29'
F
56
Eran Tuypens
9'
D
Eran Tuypens
9'
D
22
Farouck Adekami
M
Farouck Adekami
M
7
G. Kerk
29'
F
G. Kerk
29'
F
82
Louie Van Gelder
M
Louie Van Gelder
M
70
Luca Schelfhout
D
Luca Schelfhout
D
17
S. Renders
18'
D
S. Renders
18'
D
15
Yannick Thoelen
G
Yannick Thoelen
G
Best on the pitch
T. Nozawa
G · Antwerp
10.00
· 46 pass
B. Heynen
M · Genk
8.60
2 shots
· 57 pass
Jules Ahoka
D · Antwerp
8.30
· 38 pass
Y. Tsunashima
D · Antwerp
8.30
· 31 pass
A. Yokoyama
M · Genk
8.20
2 shots
· 28 pass
R. Van Helden
D · Antwerp
8.20
· 55 pass
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kiaba Mounganga | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Kayembe | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Kongolo | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 84% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Smets | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 78 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| B. Heynen | M | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Nikolas Sattlberger | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Yokoyama | M | 71 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. Mirisola | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Ito | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| August De Wannemacker | M | 19 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Erabi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Steuckers | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Yira Collins Sor | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Antwerp — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nozawa | G | 90 | 10.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Van Helden | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Jules Ahoka | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Tsunashima | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D. Foulon | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| X. Dierckx | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Benítez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Somers | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Scott | F | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Geoffry Hairemans | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Gerard Vandeplas | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Valencia | F | 29 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Eran Tuypens | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Kerk | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Renders | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Antwerp?
The final score was Genk 0–0 Antwerp.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Antwerp?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Genk win, 19% to a draw, and 19% to an Antwerp win.