✓Model correct — prediction Genk
D. Heymans
3'
H. Murray-Campbell
13'
(og)
R. Durosinmi
(ast. D. Heymans)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Kortrijk 21%). The final result was Genk 3–0 Kortrijk.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
1
1.78
Actual xG
0.65
1
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
4
11
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Heymans
3'
⚽H. Murray-Campbell
(og)
13'
15'
S. Campbell
24'
M. Anderson
49'
S. Campbell
49'
S. Campbell
⚽R. Durosinmi
· ast. D. Heymans
63'
B. Tahirovic
/ J. Erenbjerg
68'
68'
J. van Landschoot
/
A. Phillips
68'
S. Ogbuehi
/
G. Koyalipou
J. Kayembe
69'
R. Durosinmi
/ A. Bibout
76'
J. Kayembe
/ M. Roganovic
77'
J. Ito
/ J. Afriyie
77'
80'
L. De Smet
/
B. Dejaegere
80'
J. Ndjeungoue
/
M. Anderson
80'
M. Fofana
/
R. Kohon
D. Heymans
/ A. De Wannemacker
86'
Pre-match prediction
56.69%
Genk ←
22.15%
X
21.16%
Kortrijk
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Genk)
56.69%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.39
1.78
-1.61
0.88
0.65
-0.23
Genk dominated by xG (1.78 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
Lucca Brughmans
G
Lucca Brughmans
G
18
Joris Kayembe
77'
D
Joris Kayembe
77'
D
44
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D
6
Matte Smets
D
Matte Smets
D
20
Kevin Amaro
D
Kevin Amaro
D
8
Bryan Heynen
M
Bryan Heynen
M
38
D. Heymans
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
D. Heymans
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
4
Benjamin Tahirović
68'
M
Benjamin Tahirović
68'
M
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
F
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
F
17
R. Durosinmi
1 ⚽
76'
F
R. Durosinmi
1 ⚽
76'
F
10
J. Ito
77'
F
J. Ito
77'
F
Bench
23
A. Bibout
14'
F
A. Bibout
14'
F
56
August De Wannemacker
4'
M
August De Wannemacker
4'
M
30
Ayumu Yokoyama
F
Ayumu Yokoyama
F
5
Christiaan Ravych
D
Christiaan Ravych
D
21
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M
11
J. Erenbjerg
22'
M
J. Erenbjerg
22'
M
33
Jerry Afriyie
13'
F
Jerry Afriyie
13'
F
25
Milan Roganović
13'
D
Milan Roganović
13'
D
1
Tobe Leysen
G
Tobe Leysen
G
1
Patrik Sigurdur Gunnarsson
G
Patrik Sigurdur Gunnarsson
G
3
Matthew Anderson
80'
D
Matthew Anderson
80'
D
4
Harrison Murray-Campbell
1 ⚽
D
Harrison Murray-Campbell
1 ⚽
D
21
Axel Drouhin
D
Axel Drouhin
D
36
R. Kohon
80'
D
R. Kohon
80'
D
70
Anthony Philips
68'
M
Anthony Philips
68'
M
35
Boris Lambert
M
Boris Lambert
M
19
Brecht Dejaegere
80'
M
Brecht Dejaegere
80'
M
68
T. Ambrose
F
T. Ambrose
F
10
Goduine Koyalipou
68'
F
Goduine Koyalipou
68'
F
11
S. Campbell
49'
F
S. Campbell
49'
F
Bench
13
Ebbe De Vlaeminck
G
Ebbe De Vlaeminck
G
22
Gilles Ruyssen
D
Gilles Ruyssen
D
5
James Ndjeungoue
10'
D
James Ndjeungoue
10'
D
18
Jellert Van Landschoot
22'
F
Jellert Van Landschoot
22'
F
71
Ken Masui
M
Ken Masui
M
6
Liam De Smet
10'
M
Liam De Smet
10'
M
15
Mohamed Fofana
10'
D
Mohamed Fofana
10'
D
90
Sixtus Ogbuehi
22'
F
Sixtus Ogbuehi
22'
F
7
Suf Podgoreanu
F
Suf Podgoreanu
F
Best on the pitch
D. Heymans
M · Genk
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 49 pass
J. Ito
F · Genk
7.70
1 shots
· 40 pass
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
D · Genk
7.60
1 shots
· 96 pass
Joris Kayembe
D · Genk
7.50
· 68 pass
Matte Smets
D · Genk
7.50
· 94 pass
Kevin Amaro
D · Genk
7.30
· 59 pass
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucca Brughmans | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Joris Kayembe | D | 77 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| Josue Ndenge Kongolo | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 93% | 4 | — | — |
| Matte Smets | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 94 | 88% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Amaro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Heynen | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 49% | — | — | — |
| D. Heymans | M | 86 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamin Tahirović | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Adedeji-Sternberg | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Durosinmi | F | 76 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Ito | F | 77 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| August De Wannemacker | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Erenbjerg | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jerry Afriyie | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Milan Roganović | D | 13 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
Kortrijk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrik Sigurdur Gunnarsson | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Anderson | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Harrison Murray-Campbell | D | 90 | 5.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Axel Drouhin | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Kohon | D | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Philips | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Boris Lambert | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Brecht Dejaegere | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| T. Ambrose | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Goduine Koyalipou | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Campbell | F | 49 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| James Ndjeungoue | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Jellert Van Landschoot | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam De Smet | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Fofana | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Sixtus Ogbuehi | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs Kortrijk?
The final score was Genk 3–0 Kortrijk.
What did the model predict before Genk vs Kortrijk?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Genk win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Kortrijk win.