R. Durosinmi
41'
(pen.)
B. Heynen
(ast. A. Yokoyama)
43'
A. Bibout
79'
6'
(ast. C. Congreve)
D. Ourega
(og)
13'
M. Smets
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 39% win probability (draw 30%, KVC Westerlo 29%). The final result was Genk 3–2 KVC Westerlo. In 4 previous meetings, Genk have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for KVC Westerlo.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
2
4.24
Actual xG
0.85
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
4
Match Events
6'
ast. C. Congreve ·
D. Ourega⚽
R. Durosinmi
8'
13'
(og)
M. Smets⚽
J. Erenbjerg
36'
⚽R. Durosinmi
(pen.)
41'
⚽B. Heynen
· ast. A. Yokoyama
43'
61'
C. Congreve
66'
R. Laalaoui
/
C. Congreve
66'
D. Jochem
/
N. Bassette
R. Durosinmi
/ A. Bibout
70'
71'
L. Flo
/
L. Mbamba-Muanda
74'
R. Laalaoui
J. Erenbjerg
/ K. Haroun
75'
I. Bangoura
/ D. Heymans
76'
77'
D. Jochem
⚽A. Bibout
79'
B. Heynen
/ N. Sattlberger
83'
85'
Yang Min-Hyuk
/
I. Fofana
85'
A. Lapage
/
R. Munz
K. Haroun
87'
Pre-match prediction
39.92%
Genk ←
30.86%
X
29.22%
KVC
we assigned to the actual result (Genk)
39.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
4.24
+2.65
0.63
0.85
+0.22
Genk dominated by xG (4.24 vs 0.85).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs KVC Westerlo?
The final score was Genk 3–2 KVC Westerlo.
What did the model predict before Genk vs KVC Westerlo?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Genk win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an KVC Westerlo win.