✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 57% win probability (draw 23%, OH Leuven 19%). The final result was Genk 0–0 OH Leuven. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for OH Leuven.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
0.76
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
6
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Robin Mirisola
42'
R. Mirisola
/ A. Bibout
46'
J. Ito
/ Y. Medina
46'
J. Kongolo
/ J. Kayembe
65'
K. Karetsas
/ J. Steuckers
65'
Jarne Steuckers
67'
69'
T. Verlinden
/
H. Teklab
69'
L. Lakomy
/
W. George
D. Heymans
/ A. Yokoyama
76'
81'
Łukasz Łakomy
82'
M. Maertens
/
Y. Maziz
82'
C. Ikwuemesi
/
S. Kaba
90'+1
Maxence Prévot
90'
Óscar Gil
Pre-match prediction
57.34%
Genk
23.35%
X ←
19.31%
OH
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
0.76
-1.09
1.06
0.62
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (0.76 – 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
6
M. Smets
D
M. Smets
D
3
Mujaid Sadick
D
Mujaid Sadick
D
44
J. Kongolo
65'
D
J. Kongolo
65'
D
77
Z. El Ouahdi
M
Z. El Ouahdi
M
21
I. Bangoura
M
I. Bangoura
M
8
B. Heynen
M
B. Heynen
M
10
J. Ito
45'
M
J. Ito
45'
M
38
D. Heymans
76'
F
D. Heymans
76'
F
20
K. Karetsas
65'
F
K. Karetsas
65'
F
29
R. Mirisola
45'
F
R. Mirisola
45'
F
Bench
23
A. Bibout
45'
F
A. Bibout
45'
F
7
J. Steuckers
25'
F
J. Steuckers
25'
F
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
F
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
F
14
Yira Collins Sor
F
Yira Collins Sor
F
19
Y. Medina
45'
D
Y. Medina
45'
D
16
M. Prévot
G
M. Prévot
G
5
D
34
R. Nyakossi
D
R. Nyakossi
D
28
E. Pletinckx
D
E. Pletinckx
D
30
M
6
W. George
8
S. Schrijvers
M
S. Schrijvers
M
27
Óscar Gil
M
Óscar Gil
M
10
Y. Maziz
82'
F
Y. Maziz
82'
F
39
Sory Kaba
82'
F
Sory Kaba
82'
F
14
H. Teklab
69'
F
H. Teklab
69'
F
Bench
4
B. Verstraete
M
B. Verstraete
M
19
C. Ikwuemesi
8'
F
C. Ikwuemesi
8'
F
17
K. Vaesen
F
K. Vaesen
F
24
Ł. Łakomy
21'
M
Ł. Łakomy
21'
M
33
M. Maertens
8'
M
M. Maertens
8'
M
3
N. Dussenne
D
N. Dussenne
D
7
T. Verlinden
21'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Prévot
G · OH
8.30
· 65 pass
R. Nyakossi
D · OH
7.90
· 44 pass
G · Genk
7.50
· 19 pass
S. Schrijvers
M · OH
7.30
1 shots
· 48 pass
D · OH
7.30
· 50 pass
M. Smets
D · Genk
7.20
· 53 pass
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| M. Smets | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Kongolo | D | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Bangoura | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Heynen | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Ito | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Heymans | F | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Mirisola | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Steuckers | F | 25 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Medina | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
OH Leuven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Prévot | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Nyakossi | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Pletinckx | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 37% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — | |
| W. George | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S. Schrijvers | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Óscar Gil | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Y. Maziz | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Sory Kaba | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Teklab | F | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ikwuemesi | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Ł. Łakomy | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Maertens | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Verlinden | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs OH Leuven?
The final score was Genk 0–0 OH Leuven.
What did the model predict before Genk vs OH Leuven?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Genk win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an OH Leuven win.