✗Model wrong — prediction Genk, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genk a 57% win probability (draw 23%, OH Leuven 19%). The final result was Genk 0–0 OH Leuven. In 3 previous meetings, Genk have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for OH Leuven.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
0.76
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
6
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Robin Mirisola
42'
R. Mirisola
/ A. Bibout
46'
J. Ito
/ Y. Medina
46'
J. Kongolo
/ J. Kayembe
65'
K. Karetsas
/ J. Steuckers
65'
Jarne Steuckers
67'
69'
T. Verlinden
/
H. Teklab
69'
L. Lakomy
/
W. George
D. Heymans
/ A. Yokoyama
76'
81'
Łukasz Łakomy
82'
M. Maertens
/
Y. Maziz
82'
C. Ikwuemesi
/
S. Kaba
90'+1
Maxence Prévot
90'
Óscar Gil
Pre-match prediction
57.34%
Genk
23.35%
X ←
19.31%
OH
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
0.76
-1.09
1.06
0.62
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (0.76 – 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
6
Matte Smets
D
Matte Smets
D
3
Mujaid Sadick
D
44
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
65'
D
Josue Ndenge Kongolo
65'
D
77
Z. El Ouahdi
M
Z. El Ouahdi
M
21
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M
8
Bryan Heynen
M
Bryan Heynen
M
10
J. Ito
45'
M
J. Ito
45'
M
38
D. Heymans
76'
F
D. Heymans
76'
F
20
K. Karetsas
65'
F
K. Karetsas
65'
F
29
Robin Mirisola
45'
F
Robin Mirisola
45'
F
Bench
23
A. Bibout
45'
F
A. Bibout
45'
F
7
J. Steuckers
25'
F
J. Steuckers
25'
F
32
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
F
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
F
19
Yaimar Medina
45'
D
Yaimar Medina
45'
D
14
Yira Collins Sor
F
Yira Collins Sor
F
16
M. Prévot
G
M. Prévot
G
5
D
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
D
Roggerio Nyakossi
D
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
D
Ewoud Pletinckx
D
30
M
6
W. George
8
Siebe Schrijvers
M
Siebe Schrijvers
M
27
Óscar Gil
M
Óscar Gil
M
10
Y. Maziz
82'
F
Y. Maziz
82'
F
39
Sory Kaba
82'
F
Sory Kaba
82'
F
14
H. Teklab
69'
F
H. Teklab
69'
F
Bench
4
Birger Verstraete
M
Birger Verstraete
M
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
8'
F
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
8'
F
17
Kyan Vaesen
F
Kyan Vaesen
F
24
Łukasz Łakomy
21'
M
Łukasz Łakomy
21'
M
33
M. Maertens
8'
M
M. Maertens
8'
M
3
Noë Dussenne
D
Noë Dussenne
D
7
T. Verlinden
21'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Prévot
G · OH
8.30
· 65 pass
Roggerio Nyakossi
D · OH
7.90
· 44 pass
G · Genk
7.50
· 19 pass
Siebe Schrijvers
M · OH
7.30
1 shots
· 48 pass
D · OH
7.30
· 50 pass
Matte Smets
D · Genk
7.20
· 53 pass
Genk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Matte Smets | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Josue Ndenge Kongolo | D | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahima Sory Bangoura | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Bryan Heynen | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Ito | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Heymans | F | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Robin Mirisola | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bibout | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Steuckers | F | 25 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yaimar Medina | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
OH Leuven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Prévot | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 1 | — | — | |
| Roggerio Nyakossi | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Ewoud Pletinckx | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 37% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — | |
| W. George | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Siebe Schrijvers | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Óscar Gil | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Y. Maziz | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Sory Kaba | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Teklab | F | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Łukasz Łakomy | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Maertens | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Verlinden | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genk vs OH Leuven?
The final score was Genk 0–0 OH Leuven.
What did the model predict before Genk vs OH Leuven?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Genk win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an OH Leuven win.