J. Vasquez
86'
(pen.)
50'
C. Nkunku
81'
(ast. C. Pulisic)
Z. Athekame
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 32% win probability (draw 35%, Genoa 31%). The final result was Genoa 1–2 AC Milan. In 1 previous meetings, Genoa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AC Milan.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
6
1.35
Actual xG
1.89
4
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
4
16
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
J. Bijlow
48'
50'
(pen.)
C. Nkunku⚽
63'
M. Gabbia
Vitinha
63'
T. Baldanzi
/ J. Ekhator
64'
68'
N. Fullkrug
/
S. Gimenez
68'
S. Ricci
/
Y. Fofana
72'
F. Tomori
76'
K. De Winter
/
F. Tomori
76'
C. Pulisic
/
C. Nkunku
81'
ast. C. Pulisic ·
Z. Athekame⚽
L. Colombo
/ C. Ekuban
85'
85'
R. Loftus-Cheek
/
A. Jashari
86'
S. Ricci
⚽J. Vasquez
86'
Amorim
/ A. Martin
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
31.37%
Genoa
35.68%
X
32.95%
AC ←
we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan)
32.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
1.35
+0.54
0.74
1.89
+1.15
AC Milan dominated by xG (1.89 vs 1.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
Justin Bijlow
G
Justin Bijlow
G
22
J. Vásquez
1 ⚽
D
J. Vásquez
1 ⚽
D
34
Sebastian Otoa
D
Sebastian Otoa
D
27
Alessandro Marcandalli
D
Alessandro Marcandalli
D
77
M. Ellertsson
D
M. Ellertsson
D
17
R. Malinovskyi
M
R. Malinovskyi
M
4
Alexsandro Amorim
89'
M
Alexsandro Amorim
89'
M
32
Morten Frendrup
M
Morten Frendrup
M
9
Vitinha
M
Vitinha
M
8
Tommaso Baldanzi
64'
M
Tommaso Baldanzi
64'
M
29
L. Colombo
85'
F
L. Colombo
85'
F
Bench
3
A. Martin
10'
D
A. Martin
10'
D
18
Caleb Ekuban
16'
F
Caleb Ekuban
16'
F
39
Daniele Sommariva
G
Daniele Sommariva
G
75
Gael Lafont
M
Gael Lafont
M
80
Jacopo Grossi
M
Jacopo Grossi
M
21
J. Ekhator
26'
F
J. Ekhator
26'
F
40
Lukas Klisys
D
Lukas Klisys
D
74
Mamedi Doucoure
D
Mamedi Doucoure
D
1
N. Leali
G
N. Leali
G
13
N. Zätterström
D
N. Zätterström
D
73
P. Masini
M
P. Masini
M
20
Stefano Sabelli
D
Stefano Sabelli
D
99
W. L. Ouedraogo
D
W. L. Ouedraogo
D
16
M. Maignan
G
M. Maignan
G
31
S. Pavlović
D
S. Pavlović
D
46
Matteo Gabbia
D
Matteo Gabbia
D
23
F. Tomori
76'
D
F. Tomori
76'
D
33
Davide Bartesaghi
M
Davide Bartesaghi
M
12
A. Rabiot
M
A. Rabiot
M
30
A. Jashari
85'
M
A. Jashari
85'
M
19
Y. Fofana
68'
M
Y. Fofana
68'
M
24
Z. Athekame
1 ⚽
M
Z. Athekame
1 ⚽
M
18
C. Nkunku
1 ⚽
76'
F
C. Nkunku
1 ⚽
76'
F
7
Santiago Giménez
68'
F
Santiago Giménez
68'
F
Bench
25
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien
F
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien
F
11
C. Pulišić
1 👟
14'
M
C. Pulišić
1 👟
14'
M
27
D. Odogu
D
D. Odogu
D
45
Jacopo Sardo
M
Jacopo Sardo
M
5
K. De Winter
14'
D
K. De Winter
14'
D
14
L. Modrić
M
L. Modrić
M
96
Lorenzo Torriani
G
Lorenzo Torriani
G
9
N. Füllkrug
22'
F
N. Füllkrug
22'
F
1
Pietro Terracciano
G
Pietro Terracciano
G
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
16'
M
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
16'
M
4
Samuele Ricci
22'
M
Samuele Ricci
22'
M
34
Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov
D
Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov
D
Best on the pitch
Z. Athekame
M · AC
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
J. Vásquez
D · Genoa
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 79 pass
Morten Frendrup
M · Genoa
7.30
· 39 pass
Vitinha
M · Genoa
7.30
2 shots
· 35 pass
C. Nkunku
F · AC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Alexsandro Amorim
M · Genoa
7.20
· 48 pass
Genoa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bijlow | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Vásquez | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 79 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Otoa | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ellertsson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Malinovskyi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 6 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Colombo | F | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Martin | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Caleb Ekuban | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ekhator | F | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Pavlović | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Matteo Gabbia | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Tomori | D | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Davide Bartesaghi | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Jashari | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Fofana | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Athekame | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Nkunku | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Giménez | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. De Winter | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Füllkrug | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuele Ricci | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genoa vs AC Milan?
The final score was Genoa 1–2 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Genoa vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Genoa win, 35% to a draw, and 32% to an AC Milan win.