J. Vasquez
86'
(pen.)
50'
C. Nkunku
81'
(ast. C. Pulisic)
Z. Athekame
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Milan a 32% win probability (draw 35%, Genoa 31%). The final result was Genoa 1–2 AC Milan. In 1 previous meetings, Genoa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AC Milan.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
6
1.35
Actual xG
1.89
4
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
4
16
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
J. Bijlow
48'
50'
(pen.)
C. Nkunku⚽
63'
M. Gabbia
Vitinha
63'
T. Baldanzi
/ J. Ekhator
64'
68'
N. Fullkrug
/
S. Gimenez
68'
S. Ricci
/
Y. Fofana
72'
F. Tomori
76'
K. De Winter
/
F. Tomori
76'
C. Pulisic
/
C. Nkunku
81'
ast. C. Pulisic ·
Z. Athekame⚽
L. Colombo
/ C. Ekuban
85'
85'
R. Loftus-Cheek
/
A. Jashari
86'
S. Ricci
⚽J. Vasquez
86'
Amorim
/ A. Martin
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
31.37%
Genoa
35.68%
X
32.95%
AC ←
we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan)
32.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
1.35
+0.54
0.74
1.89
+1.15
AC Milan dominated by xG (1.89 vs 1.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
Justin Bijlow
G
Justin Bijlow
G
22
Johan Vásquez
1 ⚽
D
Johan Vásquez
1 ⚽
D
34
Sebastian Otoa
D
Sebastian Otoa
D
27
Alessandro Marcandalli
D
Alessandro Marcandalli
D
77
Mikael Ellertsson
D
Mikael Ellertsson
D
17
Ruslan Malinovskyi
M
Ruslan Malinovskyi
M
4
Alexsandro Amorim
89'
M
Alexsandro Amorim
89'
M
32
Morten Frendrup
M
Morten Frendrup
M
9
Vitinha
M
Vitinha
M
8
Tommaso Baldanzi
64'
M
Tommaso Baldanzi
64'
M
29
Lorenzo Colombo
85'
F
Lorenzo Colombo
85'
F
Bench
3
Aarón Martín
10'
D
Aarón Martín
10'
D
18
Caleb Ekuban
16'
F
Caleb Ekuban
16'
F
39
Daniele Sommariva
G
Daniele Sommariva
G
75
Gael Lafont
M
Gael Lafont
M
80
Jacopo Grossi
M
Jacopo Grossi
M
21
Jeff Ekhator
26'
F
Jeff Ekhator
26'
F
40
Lukas Klisys
D
Lukas Klisys
D
74
Mamedi Doucoure
D
Mamedi Doucoure
D
1
Nicola Leali
G
Nicola Leali
G
13
Nils Zätterström
D
Nils Zätterström
D
73
Patrizio Masini
M
Patrizio Masini
M
20
Stefano Sabelli
D
Stefano Sabelli
D
99
Wedtoin Latif Ouedraogo
D
Wedtoin Latif Ouedraogo
D
16
Mike Maignan
G
Mike Maignan
G
31
S. Pavlović
D
S. Pavlović
D
46
Matteo Gabbia
D
Matteo Gabbia
D
23
F. Tomori
76'
D
F. Tomori
76'
D
33
Davide Bartesaghi
M
Davide Bartesaghi
M
12
Adrien Rabiot
M
Adrien Rabiot
M
30
Ardon Jashari
85'
M
Ardon Jashari
85'
M
19
Youssouf Fofana
68'
M
Youssouf Fofana
68'
M
24
Z. Athekame
1 ⚽
M
Z. Athekame
1 ⚽
M
18
Christopher Nkunku
1 ⚽
76'
F
Christopher Nkunku
1 ⚽
76'
F
7
Santiago Giménez
68'
F
Santiago Giménez
68'
F
Bench
25
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien
F
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien
F
11
C. Pulišić
1 👟
14'
M
C. Pulišić
1 👟
14'
M
27
David Odogu
D
David Odogu
D
45
Jacopo Sardo
M
Jacopo Sardo
M
5
Koni De Winter
14'
D
Koni De Winter
14'
D
96
Lorenzo Torriani
G
Lorenzo Torriani
G
14
Luka Modrić
M
Luka Modrić
M
9
N. Füllkrug
22'
F
N. Füllkrug
22'
F
1
Pietro Terracciano
G
Pietro Terracciano
G
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
16'
M
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
16'
M
4
Samuele Ricci
22'
M
Samuele Ricci
22'
M
34
Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov
D
Valeri Ivanov Vladimirov
D
Best on the pitch
Z. Athekame
M · AC
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Johan Vásquez
D · Genoa
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 79 pass
Morten Frendrup
M · Genoa
7.30
· 39 pass
Vitinha
M · Genoa
7.30
2 shots
· 35 pass
Christopher Nkunku
F · AC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Alexsandro Amorim
M · Genoa
7.20
· 48 pass
Genoa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bijlow | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Johan Vásquez | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 79 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Otoa | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 6 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Aarón Martín | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Caleb Ekuban | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeff Ekhator | F | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
AC Milan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Pavlović | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Matteo Gabbia | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Tomori | D | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Davide Bartesaghi | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrien Rabiot | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ardon Jashari | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Youssouf Fofana | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Athekame | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Christopher Nkunku | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Giménez | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Koni De Winter | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Füllkrug | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuele Ricci | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genoa vs AC Milan?
The final score was Genoa 1–2 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Genoa vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Genoa win, 35% to a draw, and 32% to an AC Milan win.