Genoa - Ascoli
Coppa Italia
August 16, 2026 18:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.63%
Win
Genoa
33.73%
Draw
38.64%
Win
Ascoli
0.9
1.45
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(16.89%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
34%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
72%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
48%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ascoli a 38% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Genoa. Expected goals are 0.9 for Genoa and 1.4 for Ascoli (total 2.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 16.89% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
1L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.0
1.7
Conceded
1.0
4.0
Shots OT
—
4.7
Corners
—
54%
Poss.
—
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
33%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Coppa Italia. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Genoa
Ascoli →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Genoa
Attack
27
Defence
61
Form
48
Ascoli
Attack
43
Defence
76
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Genoa vs Ascoli?
The model gives Genoa a 27% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 38% for an Ascoli win.
How many goals are expected in Genoa vs Ascoli?
Expected goals: Genoa 0.9, Ascoli 1.4 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Genoa vs Ascoli?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.89%.