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Serie A · Regular Season - 6 October 10, 2026 15:00 Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Genoa
#16 · 7 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Fiorentina
#18 · 4 pts
Milutin Osmajić (ast. Mikael Ellertsson) 7'
Junior Messias (ast. Milutin Osmajić) 15'
(og) 73' Johan Vásquez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fiorentina a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Genoa 31%). The final result was Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina. In 2 previous meetings, Genoa have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
3
1.41
Actual xG
0.96
3
Saves
2
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
4
22
Tackles
19
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Milutin Osmajić · ast. Mikael Ellertsson
7'
15'
Luca Ranieri
⚽Junior Messias · ast. Milutin Osmajić
15'
21'
Christ Inao Oulaï
45'
Alieu Njie / Christ Inao Oulaï ↕
45'
Viery / Luca Ranieri ↕
↕ Junior Messias / Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
57'
↕ Stephan El Shaarawy / Samuel Wiafe
57'
60'
Viery
65'
Mateo Pellegrino / Beto ↕
↕ Sebastian Otoa / Alessandro Marcandalli
66'
73'
(og) Johan Vásquez⚽
Hamed Junior Traorè
74'
80'
Domilson Dodo / Álex Jiménez ↕
81'
Pedro Goncalves / Wilfried Gnonto ↕
↕ Kingsley Ehizibue / David Puczka
81'
↕ Mikael Ellertsson / Stefano Sabelli
82'
Johan Vásquez
84'
Samuel Wiafe
85'
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
90'+1
Stefano Sabelli
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
31.97%
Genoa ←
32.71%
X
35.31%
Fiorentina
we assigned to the actual result (Genoa) 31.97% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genoa
0.76
1.41
+0.65
Fiorentina
0.95
0.96
+0.01
Genoa dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Genoa Genoa 3-4-2-1
1 J. Bijlow J. Bijlow G 6.57
22 J. Vásquez J. Vásquez 1 ⚽ D 5.47
5 L. Østigård L. Østigård D 7.00
34 S. Otoa S. Otoa 66' D 6.48
77 M. Ellertsson M. Ellertsson 1 👟 82' M 7.43
25 H. Traorè H. Traorè M 6.67
32 M. Frendrup M. Frendrup M 6.54
3 K. Ehizibue K. Ehizibue 81' M 6.65
92 S. El Shaarawy S. El Shaarawy 57' M 6.82
10 Junior Messias Junior Messias 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.63
18 M. Osmajić M. Osmajić 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.61
Bench
27 A. Marcandalli A. Marcandalli 24' D 6.63
16 C. Drameh C. Drameh D 0.00
31 D. Puczka D. Puczka 9' D 6.25
39 D. Sommariva D. Sommariva G 0.00
99 F. Stolz F. Stolz G 0.00
75 Gaël Lafont Gaël Lafont M 0.00
2 M. Mitaj M. Mitaj D 0.00
21 Nikita Solodchenko Nikita Solodchenko F 0.00
20 S. Sabelli S. Sabelli 8' D 6.11
71 S. Wiafe S. Wiafe 33' M 6.11
8 T. Baldanzi T. Baldanzi M 0.00
9 Vítinha Vítinha 33' F 6.35
Fiorentina Fiorentina 4-2-3-1
43 David de Gea David de Gea G 6.60
21 Valde Valde D 6.03
6 L. Ranieri L. Ranieri 45' D 6.23
3 R. Drăgușin R. Drăgușin D 5.95
20 Álex Jiménez Álex Jiménez 80' D 5.87
44 N. Fagioli N. Fagioli M 5.73
27 C. Ndour C. Ndour M 6.51
29 W. Gnonto W. Gnonto 81' M 5.82
42 C. Inao Oulaï C. Inao Oulaï 45' M 6.28
30 Franco Mastantuono Franco Mastantuono M 6.48
23 Beto Beto 65' F 6.41
Bench
25 A. Njie A. Njie 45' F 6.67
72 B. Mazzeo B. Mazzeo F 0.00
2 Dodô Dodô 10' D 6.19
17 João Mário João Mário D 0.00
19 L. Lezzerini L. Lezzerini G 0.00
32 Mateo Pellegrino Mateo Pellegrino 25' F 6.73
4 M. Brescianini M. Brescianini M 0.00
5 M. Pongračić M. Pongračić D 0.00
53 O. Christensen O. Christensen G 0.00
28 Pote Pote 9' M 5.99
33 Viery Viery 45' D 6.07
Best on the pitch
M. Osmajić
M. Osmajić
F · Genoa
8.61
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 12 pass
Junior Messias
Junior Messias
M · Genoa
7.63
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
M. Ellertsson
M. Ellertsson
M · Genoa
7.43
1 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
L. Østigård
L. Østigård
D · Genoa
7.00
· 33 pass
S. El Shaarawy
S. El Shaarawy
M · Genoa
6.82
3 shots · 18 pass
Mateo Pellegrino
Mateo Pellegrino
F · Fiorentina
6.73
1 shots · 3 pass
Genoa Genoa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bijlow G 90 6.57 — — 0 37 23% 0 — —
J. Vásquez D 90 5.47 1 — 0 19 15% 1 1 —
L. Østigård D 90 7.00 — — 0 33 29% 2 — —
S. Otoa D 66 6.48 — — 0 26 20% 0 — —
M. Ellertsson M 82 7.43 — 1 1 16 11% 2 — —
H. Traorè M 90 6.67 — — 1 39 37% 4 1 —
M. Frendrup M 90 6.54 — — 0 21 20% 6 — —
K. Ehizibue M 81 6.65 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
S. El Shaarawy M 57 6.82 — — 3 18 11% 0 — —
Junior Messias M 57 7.63 1 — 1 13 6% 3 — —
M. Osmajić F 90 8.61 1 1 2 12 10% 0 — —
A. Marcandalli D 24 6.63 — — 1 5 3% 1 — —
D. Puczka D 9 6.25 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
S. Sabelli D 8 6.11 — — 0 2 1% 0 1 —
S. Wiafe M 33 6.11 — — 0 4 3% 0 1 —
Vítinha F 33 6.35 — — 0 9 4% 1 1 —
Fiorentina Fiorentina — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David de Gea G 90 6.60 — — 0 23 22% 0 — —
Valde D 90 6.03 — — 0 43 36% 0 — —
L. Ranieri D 45 6.23 — — 1 28 27% 0 1 —
R. Drăgușin D 90 5.95 — — 0 48 40% 1 — —
Álex Jiménez D 80 5.87 — — 0 44 31% 1 — —
N. Fagioli M 90 5.73 — — 1 87 73% 2 — —
C. Ndour M 90 6.51 — — 3 42 37% 2 — —
W. Gnonto M 81 5.82 — — 0 30 26% 2 — —
C. Inao Oulaï M 45 6.28 — — 1 20 17% 1 1 —
Franco Mastantuono M 90 6.48 — — 3 30 27% 5 — —
Beto F 65 6.41 — — 1 7 4% 1 — —
A. Njie F 45 6.67 — — 1 20 16% 0 — —
Dodô D 10 6.19 — — 0 9 8% 2 — —
Mateo Pellegrino F 25 6.73 — — 1 3 3% 1 — —
Pote M 9 5.99 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Viery D 45 6.07 — — 0 39 37% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genoa vs Fiorentina?
The final score was Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before Genoa vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Genoa win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Fiorentina win.