Serie A
· Regular Season - 4
September 12, 2026 15:00
J. Vasquez
(ast. D. Sow)
50'
14'
(ast. R. Schmid)
G. Kvernadze
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Frosinone a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Genoa 30%). The final result was Genoa 1–1 Frosinone.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
6
1.86
Actual xG
2.03
5
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
8
Corners
9
18
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
14'
ast. R. Schmid ·
G. Kvernadze⚽
16'
G. Cittadini
⚽L. Colombo
(missed pen.)
45'+1
T. Baldanzi
/ Junior Messias
46'
46'
I. Monterisi
/
G. Cittadini
K. Ehizibue
49'
⚽J. Vasquez
· ast. D. Sow
50'
K. Ehizibue
/ S. El Shaarawy
60'
62'
G. Bracaglia
J. Vasquez
67'
L. Colombo
/ Vitinha
70'
71'
L. Hasa
/
R. Schmid
73'
S. Fini
/
F. Ghedjemis
73'
T. Bobcek
/
A. Raimondo
D. Sow
/ Amorim
79'
M. E. Ellertsson
/ F. Meichtry
80'
J. Vasquez
87'
J. Vasquez
87'
87'
A. Zerbin
/
G. Kvernadze
Pre-match prediction
30.34%
Genoa
27.73%
X ←
41.93%
Frosinone
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.69
1.86
+1.17
4.50
2.03
-2.47
xG dominance was balanced (1.86 – 2.03).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Justin Bijlow
G
Justin Bijlow
G
22
J. Vásquez
1 ⚽
86'
D
J. Vásquez
1 ⚽
86'
D
5
L. Østigård
D
L. Østigård
D
27
Alessandro Marcandalli
D
Alessandro Marcandalli
D
77
Mikael Ellertsson
80'
M
Mikael Ellertsson
80'
M
97
Djibril Sow
1 👟
79'
M
Djibril Sow
1 👟
79'
M
8
Tommaso Baldanzi
45'
M
Tommaso Baldanzi
45'
M
32
Morten Frendrup
M
Morten Frendrup
M
3
Kingsley Ehizibue
60'
M
Kingsley Ehizibue
60'
M
18
M. Osmajić
F
M. Osmajić
F
29
Lorenzo Colombo
70'
F
Lorenzo Colombo
70'
F
Bench
4
Alexsandro Amorim
11'
M
Alexsandro Amorim
11'
M
16
Cody Drameh
D
Cody Drameh
D
39
Daniele Sommariva
G
Daniele Sommariva
G
31
D. Puczka
D
D. Puczka
D
11
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
10'
M
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
10'
M
99
Franz Stolz
G
Franz Stolz
G
25
Hamed Junior Traorè
M
Hamed Junior Traorè
M
10
Junior Messias
45'
F
Junior Messias
45'
F
2
M. Mitaj
D
M. Mitaj
D
71
Samuel Wiafe
M
Samuel Wiafe
M
34
Sebastian Otoa
D
Sebastian Otoa
D
20
Stefano Sabelli
D
Stefano Sabelli
D
92
Stephan El Shaarawy
30'
F
Stephan El Shaarawy
30'
F
9
Vitinha
20'
F
Vitinha
20'
F
22
Lorenzo Palmisani
G
Lorenzo Palmisani
G
79
G. Bracaglia
D
G. Bracaglia
D
2
Giorgio Cittadini
45'
D
Giorgio Cittadini
45'
D
3
G. Calvani
D
G. Calvani
D
20
Anthony Oyono
D
Anthony Oyono
D
73
P. Masini
M
P. Masini
M
14
Giacomo Calò
M
Giacomo Calò
M
17
G. Kvernadze
1 ⚽
87'
M
G. Kvernadze
1 ⚽
87'
M
10
R. Schmid
1 👟
71'
M
R. Schmid
1 👟
71'
M
7
Farès Ghedjemis
72'
M
Farès Ghedjemis
72'
M
9
A. Raimondo
71'
F
A. Raimondo
71'
F
Bench
24
Alessio Zerbin
8'
F
Alessio Zerbin
8'
F
34
Anouar El Azzouzi
M
Anouar El Azzouzi
M
71
A. Terzić
D
A. Terzić
D
11
Daniel Bîrligea
F
Daniel Bîrligea
F
90
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
D
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
D
30
Ilario Monterisi
45'
D
Ilario Monterisi
45'
D
25
K. Akpoguma
D
K. Akpoguma
D
70
Luis Hasa
19'
M
Luis Hasa
19'
M
16
Matteo Cichella
M
Matteo Cichella
M
12
Matteo Pisseri
G
Matteo Pisseri
G
74
Omar Fayed
D
Omar Fayed
D
91
Sebastiano Desplanches
G
Sebastiano Desplanches
G
40
Seydou Fini
18'
F
Seydou Fini
18'
F
89
Tomáš Bobček
19'
F
Tomáš Bobček
19'
F
5
Wisdom Amey
D
Wisdom Amey
D
Best on the pitch
G. Kvernadze
M · Frosinone
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Justin Bijlow
G · Genoa
7.60
· 44 pass
J. Vásquez
D · Genoa
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
Junior Messias
F · Genoa
7.20
1 shots
· 13 pass
Ilario Monterisi
D · Frosinone
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
L. Østigård
D · Genoa
7.20
2 shots
· 25 pass
Genoa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bijlow | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Vásquez | D | 86 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 17% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| L. Østigård | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Alessandro Marcandalli | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Morten Frendrup | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Osmajić | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Colombo | F | 70 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexsandro Amorim | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Junior Messias | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinha | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frosinone — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Palmisani | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Bracaglia | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Giorgio Cittadini | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Calvani | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Anthony Oyono | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| P. Masini | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Giacomo Calò | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 74 | 61% | — | — | — |
| G. Kvernadze | M | 87 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Schmid | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Farès Ghedjemis | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Raimondo | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilario Monterisi | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Hasa | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Seydou Fini | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Bobček | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genoa vs Frosinone?
The final score was Genoa 1–1 Frosinone.
What did the model predict before Genoa vs Frosinone?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Genoa win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Frosinone win.