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← Serie A

Genoa - Juventus

Serie A October 28, 2026 20:45 Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Genoa
#16 · 7 pts
vs
Juventus
#7 · 14 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 15.2°C 💨 14 km/h · Genoa
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.16%
Win
Genoa
32.58%
Draw
43.26%
Win
Juventus
0.47
Expected xG
0.97

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.95%)
1X2 Result
1 24%
X 33%
2 43%
Double Chance
1X 57%
X2 76%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
✓ 85.5% hit rate (83 picks)
Over 2.5 51%
✓ 60.3% hit rate (73 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Juventus a 43% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Genoa. Expected goals are 0.5 for Genoa and 1.0 for Juventus (total 1.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.95% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Genoa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Juventus.

Season Stats

Genoa
4W 3D 8L
Juventus
7W 5D 3L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.2
1.3
Conceded
0.9
3.0
Shots OT
5.2
3.9
Corners
6.7
49%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
20%
47%
BTTS
33%
20%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Genoa
4W 1D 5L · at home
Juventus
5W 4D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.4
1.6
Conceded
0.9
40%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
90%
90%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
30%
10%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
10%
Clean Sht
60%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Genoa Juventus →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 23.7% 23.1% 11.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.0% 10.7% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Genoa Genoa
W Venezia 1–0
L AS Roma 2–0
W Fiorentina 2–1
L Parma 2–1
D Frosinone 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Juventus Juventus
W Lecce 0–2
L Lazio 0–3
D Cagliari 1–1
W Atalanta 2–0
L Sassuolo 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 47%

Playing profile

Genoa Genoa
Attack
25
Defence
59
Form
33
Juventus Juventus
Attack
42
Defence
76
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Genoa
0
Draw
2
Juventus
6 Apr 2026 Serie A 0–2
31 Aug 2025 Serie A 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
The model gives Genoa a 24% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 43% for an Juventus win.
How many goals are expected in Genoa vs Juventus?
Expected goals: Genoa 0.5, Juventus 1.0 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Genoa vs Juventus?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.95%.