Genoa - Sudtirol
Coppa Italia
September 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.2%
Win
Genoa
34.87%
Draw
31.93%
Win
Sudtirol
0.95
0.91
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.67%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
35%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
67%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
✓ 84.6% hit rate (26 picks)
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Genoa a 33% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Sudtirol. Expected goals are 0.9 for Genoa and 0.9 for Sudtirol (total 1.9), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.67% probability.
Season Stats
3W
0D
1L
0W
1D
1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.5
1.5
Conceded
2.5
5.5
Shots OT
3.0
5.5
Corners
2.0
50%
Poss.
33%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Coppa Italia. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
84%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
3W
0D
0L
· at home
0W
1D
1L
· away
3.3
gls/g
1.5
0.7
Conceded
2.5
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
67%
O 3.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Genoa
Sudtirol →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.7% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Genoa
Attack
30
Defence
57
Form
43
Sudtirol
Attack
25
Defence
80
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Genoa vs Sudtirol?
The model gives Genoa a 33% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 31% for an Sudtirol win.
How many goals are expected in Genoa vs Sudtirol?
Expected goals: Genoa 0.9, Sudtirol 0.9 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Genoa vs Sudtirol?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.67%.