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Coppa Italia · Round of 32 September 15, 2026 18:00
1 – 0
Final score
Johan Vásquez (ast. David Puczka) 87'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genoa a 35% win probability (draw 34%, Sudtirol 30%). The final result was Genoa 1–0 Sudtirol.

Match statistics
27
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
10
Corners
3
33
Tackles
24
Match Events
45'
Giacomo Stabile / Andrea Giorgini ↕
↕ Mario Mitaj / Lorenzo Colombo
61'
↕ Cody Drameh / Stephan El Shaarawy
61'
61'
Kevin Zeroli / Lorenzo Anghele ↕
↕ Tommaso Baldanzi / Junior Messias
68'
73'
Salvatore Molina / Mattia Pellini ↕
73'
Alvin Okoro / Kenny Meddy Mixtur ↕
↕ Sebastian Otoa / Johan Vásquez
80'
↕ Franz-Ethan Meichtry / Hamed Junior Traorè
81'
82'
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason / Davide Veroli ↕
⚽Johan Vásquez · ast. David Puczka
87'
Pre-match prediction
35.75%
Genoa ←
34.13%
X
30.12%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Genoa) 35.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genoa
0.98
—
—
Sudtirol
0.89
—
—
Lineups
Genoa Genoa 3-4-2-1
99 F. Stolz F. Stolz G 6.62
31 D. Puczka D. Puczka 1 👟 D 8.52
34 S. Otoa S. Otoa 80' D 7.35
27 A. Marcandalli A. Marcandalli D 7.85
2 M. Mitaj M. Mitaj 61' M 7.20
4 Alexsandro Amorim Alexsandro Amorim M 7.20
71 S. Wiafe S. Wiafe M 6.54
16 C. Drameh C. Drameh 61' M 6.35
11 E. Meichtry E. Meichtry 81' M 6.66
8 T. Baldanzi T. Baldanzi 68' M 6.88
9 Vítinha Vítinha F 6.47
Bench
39 D. Sommariva D. Sommariva G 0.00
97 D. Sow D. Sow M 0.00
25 H. Traorè H. Traorè 9' M 6.71
1 J. Bijlow J. Bijlow G 0.00
10 Junior Messias Junior Messias 22' F 6.85
22 J. Vásquez J. Vásquez 1 ⚽ 10' D 7.65
3 K. Ehizibue K. Ehizibue D 0.00
29 L. Colombo L. Colombo 29' F 7.50
77 M. Ellertsson M. Ellertsson M 0.00
32 M. Frendrup M. Frendrup M 0.00
18 M. Osmajić M. Osmajić F 0.00
92 S. El Shaarawy S. El Shaarawy 29' F 6.59
20 S. Sabelli S. Sabelli D 0.00
Sudtirol Sudtirol 3-4-2-1
22 A. Plizzari A. Plizzari G 7.60
3 D. Veroli D. Veroli 82' D 6.08
55 A. Giorgini A. Giorgini 45' D 6.63
19 M. Pellini M. Pellini 73' D 6.92
24 S. Davì S. Davì M 6.75
46 D. Brik D. Brik M 7.06
21 F. Tait F. Tait M 6.73
23 F. Davi F. Davi M 6.45
17 L. Anghelè L. Anghelè 61' M 5.94
9 R. Burnete R. Burnete M 5.91
25 K. Mixtur K. Mixtur 73' F 5.95
Bench
90 A. Okoro A. Okoro 17' F 6.24
20 B. Bjarkason B. Bjarkason 8' M 6.42
80 Elias Schroot Elias Schroot M 0.00
10 Fabio Rispoli Fabio Rispoli M 0.00
27 G. Stabile G. Stabile 45' D 6.86
18 Kevin Zeroli Kevin Zeroli 29' M 6.27
39 Marco Iuliano Marco Iuliano D 0.00
12 Rok Vadjunec Rok Vadjunec G 0.00
4 R. Stivanello R. Stivanello D 0.00
79 S. Molina S. Molina 17' M 6.27
5 S. Tronchin S. Tronchin M 0.00
32 T. Laureti T. Laureti G 0.00
11 Vasco Lopes Vasco Lopes F 0.00
Best on the pitch
D. Puczka
D. Puczka
D · Genoa
8.52
1 👟
· 54 pass
A. Marcandalli
A. Marcandalli
D · Genoa
7.85
2 shots · 60 pass
J. Vásquez
J. Vásquez
D · Genoa
7.65
1 ⚽
1 shots
A. Plizzari
A. Plizzari
G · Sudtirol
7.60
· 59 pass
L. Colombo
L. Colombo
F · Genoa
7.50
2 shots · 6 pass
S. Otoa
S. Otoa
D · Genoa
7.35
1 shots · 44 pass
Genoa Genoa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Stolz G 90 6.62 — — 0 34 25% 0 — —
D. Puczka D 90 8.52 — 1 0 54 48% 1 — —
S. Otoa D 80 7.35 — — 1 44 42% 4 — —
A. Marcandalli D 90 7.85 — — 2 60 57% 4 — —
M. Mitaj M 61 7.20 — — 1 46 42% 1 — —
Alexsandro Amorim M 90 7.20 — — 2 84 78% 5 — —
S. Wiafe M 90 6.54 — — 4 46 41% 5 — —
C. Drameh M 61 6.35 — — 1 25 21% 4 — —
E. Meichtry M 81 6.66 — — 2 32 31% 2 — —
T. Baldanzi M 68 6.88 — — 4 31 30% 0 — —
Vítinha F 90 6.47 — — 4 16 12% 4 — —
H. Traorè M 9 6.71 — — 1 1 1% 2 — —
Junior Messias F 22 6.85 — — 2 9 8% 0 — —
J. Vásquez D 10 7.65 1 — 1 0 0% 0 — —
L. Colombo F 29 7.50 — — 2 6 6% 0 — —
S. El Shaarawy F 29 6.59 — — 0 18 16% 1 — —
Sudtirol Sudtirol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Plizzari G 90 7.60 — — 0 59 46% 0 — —
D. Veroli D 82 6.08 — — 0 48 40% 0 — —
A. Giorgini D 45 6.63 — — 0 43 39% 1 — —
M. Pellini D 73 6.92 — — 0 37 33% 4 — —
S. Davì M 90 6.75 — — 0 37 32% 6 — —
D. Brik M 90 7.06 — — 0 52 49% 4 — —
F. Tait M 90 6.73 — — 0 51 48% 3 — —
F. Davi M 90 6.45 — — 1 34 29% 1 — —
L. Anghelè M 61 5.94 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
R. Burnete M 90 5.91 — — 1 19 15% 0 — —
K. Mixtur F 73 5.95 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
A. Okoro F 17 6.24 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
B. Bjarkason M 8 6.42 — — 1 3 3% 0 — —
G. Stabile D 45 6.86 — — 1 44 43% 1 — —
Kevin Zeroli M 29 6.27 — — 0 5 3% 1 — —
S. Molina M 17 6.27 — — 0 12 12% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genoa vs Sudtirol?
The final score was Genoa 1–0 Sudtirol.
What did the model predict before Genoa vs Sudtirol?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Genoa win, 34% to a draw, and 30% to an Sudtirol win.