Skip to main content
← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 8 October 25, 2026 15:00 Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Genoa
#16 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Venezia
#20 · 3 pts
Mikael Ellertsson (ast. Stephan El Shaarawy) 25'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genoa a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Venezia 31%). The final result was Genoa 1–0 Venezia.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
19
4
Shots on target
5
0.41
Actual xG
1.82
5
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
10
11
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Mikael Ellertsson · ast. Stephan El Shaarawy
25'
Sebastian Otoa
55'
↕ Junior Messias / Morten Frendrup
62'
↕ Stephan El Shaarawy / Lorenzo Colombo
62'
↕ Sebastian Otoa / Alessandro Marcandalli
70'
71'
Pasquale Mazzocchi / Ridgeciano Haps ↕
71'
Matteo Dagasso / Toma Bašić ↕
79'
Albion Rrahmani / Antoine Hainaut ↕
↕ Mario Mitaj / David Puczka
81'
↕ Samuel Wiafe / Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
81'
87'
Lion Lauberbach / Simon Sohm ↕
Pre-match prediction
36.79%
Genoa ←
32.17%
X
31.04%
Venezia
we assigned to the actual result (Genoa) 36.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Genoa
0.88
0.41
-0.47
Venezia
0.78
1.82
+1.04
Venezia dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Genoa Genoa 3-4-2-1
1 J. Bijlow J. Bijlow G 7.78
22 J. Vásquez J. Vásquez D 7.38
5 L. Østigård L. Østigård D 7.36
34 S. Otoa S. Otoa 70' D 6.94
2 M. Mitaj M. Mitaj 81' M 7.20
71 S. Wiafe S. Wiafe 81' M 6.74
25 H. Traorè H. Traorè M 7.15
77 M. Ellertsson M. Ellertsson 1 ⚽ M 8.01
92 S. El Shaarawy S. El Shaarawy 1 👟 62' M 7.60
10 Junior Messias Junior Messias 62' M 6.53
18 M. Osmajić M. Osmajić F 6.49
Bench
4 Alexsandro Amorim Alexsandro Amorim 9' M 6.97
27 A. Marcandalli A. Marcandalli 20' D 6.98
16 C. Drameh C. Drameh D 0.00
31 D. Puczka D. Puczka 9' D 7.06
39 D. Sommariva D. Sommariva G 0.00
11 E. Meichtry E. Meichtry M 0.00
99 F. Stolz F. Stolz G 0.00
29 L. Colombo L. Colombo 28' F 6.65
32 M. Frendrup M. Frendrup 28' M 6.75
21 Nikita Solodchenko Nikita Solodchenko F 0.00
20 S. Sabelli S. Sabelli D 0.00
8 T. Baldanzi T. Baldanzi M 0.00
9 Vítinha Vítinha F 0.00
Venezia Venezia 3-5-2
1 F. Stanković F. Stanković G 6.54
15 Juan Jesus Juan Jesus D 6.77
2 M. Moreno M. Moreno D 7.10
25 R. Halhal R. Halhal D 6.89
5 R. Haps R. Haps 71' M 6.97
26 T. Bašić T. Bašić 71' M 6.64
19 S. Sohm S. Sohm 87' M 6.73
71 Kike Pérez Kike Pérez M 6.64
18 A. Hainaut A. Hainaut 79' M 6.29
45 A. Adams A. Adams F 6.49
10 J. Yeboah J. Yeboah F 6.13
Bench
17 A. Bella-Kotchap A. Bella-Kotchap D 0.00
32 A. Duncan A. Duncan M 0.00
95 A. Gomes A. Gomes D 0.00
7 A. Rrahmani A. Rrahmani 11' F 6.34
6 G. Busio G. Busio M 0.00
3 J. Schingtienne J. Schingtienne D 0.00
56 K. Lisman K. Lisman F 0.00
8 Lamine Dabo Lamine Dabo M 0.00
29 L. Lauberbach L. Lauberbach 3' F 6.36
96 L. Montipò L. Montipò G 0.00
30 M. Dagasso M. Dagasso 19' M 7.20
70 P. Mazzocchi P. Mazzocchi 19' D 6.21
20 R. Sagrado R. Sagrado D 0.00
77 Toni Fernández Toni Fernández M 0.00
21 Þ. Helgason Þ. Helgason M 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Ellertsson
M. Ellertsson
M · Genoa
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
J. Bijlow
J. Bijlow
G · Genoa
7.78
· 31 pass
S. El Shaarawy
S. El Shaarawy
M · Genoa
7.60
1 👟
· 39 pass
J. Vásquez
J. Vásquez
D · Genoa
7.38
· 86 pass
L. Østigård
L. Østigård
D · Genoa
7.36
1 shots · 75 pass
M. Dagasso
M. Dagasso
M · Venezia
7.20
3 shots · 20 pass
Genoa Genoa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bijlow G 90 7.78 — — 0 31 22% 0 — —
J. Vásquez D 90 7.38 — — 0 86 82% 0 — —
L. Østigård D 90 7.36 — — 1 75 68% 2 — —
S. Otoa D 70 6.94 — — 0 31 25% 1 1 —
M. Mitaj M 81 7.20 — — 1 59 53% 0 — —
S. Wiafe M 81 6.74 — — 0 23 20% 1 — —
H. Traorè M 90 7.15 — — 0 57 50% 2 — —
M. Ellertsson M 90 8.01 1 — 1 18 13% 1 — —
S. El Shaarawy M 62 7.60 — 1 0 39 33% 0 — —
Junior Messias M 62 6.53 — — 2 17 10% 1 — —
M. Osmajić F 90 6.49 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
Alexsandro Amorim M 9 6.97 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
A. Marcandalli D 20 6.98 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
D. Puczka D 9 7.06 — — 0 2 0% 2 — —
L. Colombo F 28 6.65 — — 1 5 1% 0 — —
M. Frendrup M 28 6.75 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
Venezia Venezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Stanković G 90 6.54 — — 0 37 27% 0 — —
Juan Jesus D 90 6.77 — — 1 89 79% 1 — —
M. Moreno D 90 7.10 — — 1 68 61% 0 — —
R. Halhal D 90 6.89 — — 1 48 44% 1 — —
R. Haps M 71 6.97 — — 0 34 32% 2 — —
T. Bašić M 71 6.64 — — 2 30 27% 2 — —
S. Sohm M 87 6.73 — — 1 65 60% 1 — —
Kike Pérez M 90 6.64 — — 2 63 53% 2 — —
A. Hainaut M 79 6.29 — — 2 27 24% 1 — —
A. Adams F 90 6.49 — — 2 14 7% 0 — —
J. Yeboah F 90 6.13 — — 3 31 25% 0 — —
A. Rrahmani F 11 6.34 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
L. Lauberbach F 3 6.36 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
M. Dagasso M 19 7.20 — — 3 20 18% 1 — —
P. Mazzocchi D 19 6.21 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Genoa vs Venezia?
The final score was Genoa 1–0 Venezia.
What did the model predict before Genoa vs Venezia?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Genoa win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Venezia win.