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Pro League · Regular Season - 1 August 09, 2026 13:30 Planet Group Arena, Gent
Gent
#1 · 15 pts
2 – 0
Final score
KV Mechelen
#15 · 2 pts
T. Araujo 37'
J. Vergara (ast. M. Sonko) 45'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gent a 34% win probability (draw 32%, KV Mechelen 32%). The final result was Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen. In 4 previous meetings, Gent have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for KV Mechelen.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
1.16
Actual xG
0.34
2
Saves
6
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
1
25
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
28'
K. Corbanie / G. Diouf ↕
⚽T. Araujo
37'
⚽J. Vergara · ast. M. Sonko
45'
↕ C. Burgess / M. Paskotsi
46'
46'
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi / B. Raman ↕
↕ A. Kadri / H. Goore
71'
↕ T. De Vlieger / M. Delorge-Knieper
71'
76'
I. Struyf / J. Marsa ↕
77'
M. Kireev / D. Praet ↕
↕ J. Vergara / I. Cisse
80'
85'
M. Decoene
86'
C. Van Meirvenne / B. Bafdili ↕
Pre-match prediction
34.53%
Gent ←
32.77%
X
32.71%
KV
we assigned to the actual result (Gent) 34.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Gent
0.51
1.16
+0.65
KV
0.40
0.34
-0.06
Gent dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.34). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 5 15
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 5 13
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 5 12
4 Charleroi Charleroi 5 12
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 5 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 5 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 5 8
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Lommel United Lommel United 5 7
12 Antwerp Antwerp 5 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 5 4
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 5 2
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5 0
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
Gent Gent 3-4-2-1
33 D. Roef D. Roef G 7.30
44 S. Van der Heyden S. Van der Heyden D 7.20
16 C. Burgess C. Burgess 45' D 7.00
5 M. Ngom M. Ngom D 7.20
20 Tiago Araújo Tiago Araújo 1 ⚽ M 8.20
22 Leonardo Lopes Leonardo Lopes M 7.20
27 T. De Vlieger T. De Vlieger 71' M 7.50
57 M. Volckaert M. Volckaert M 7.20
11 M. Sonko M. Sonko 1 👟 F 7.50
37 A. Kadri A. Kadri 71' F 6.90
47 J. Y. Vergara Ortega J. Y. Vergara Ortega 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.90
Bench
59 E. Seck E. Seck F
45
Hyllarion Goore 19' F 6.90
75 Ibrahima Cisse Ibrahima Cisse 10' F 6.30
30 K. Peersman K. Peersman G
8 L. Bénes L. Bénes M
56 Mamadou Diallo Mamadou Diallo D
17 M. Delorge-Knieper M. Delorge-Knieper 19' M 7.00
28 Mohammed El Âdfaoui Mohammed El Âdfaoui M
3 M. Paskotši M. Paskotši 45' D 6.90
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 4-2-3-1
13 Nacho Mirás Nacho Mirás G 8.20
23 Moncef Zekri Moncef Zekri D 6.00
3 José Marsà José Marsà 76' D 6.60
4 Gora Diouf Gora Diouf 28' D 7.20
39 M. Decoene M. Decoene D 6.70
8 Dikeni Salifou Dikeni Salifou M 6.20
6 F. Hammar F. Hammar M 6.30
9 M. van Brederode M. van Brederode M 6.50
26 D. Praet D. Praet 77' M 6.60
11 B. Bafdili B. Bafdili 86' M 6.30
14 B. Raman B. Raman 45' F 6.30
Bench
40 Amine Ouahabi Amine Ouahabi M
17 C. Van Meirvenne C. Van Meirvenne 9' F 6.30
18 Ian Struyf Ian Struyf 14' D 6.70
20 K. Corbanie K. Corbanie 62' D 6.20
27 K. Van Rafelghem K. Van Rafelghem F
10 M. Kireev M. Kireev 13' M 6.30
19 M. Lohunanu-Mbasi M. Lohunanu-Mbasi 45' F 6.70
1 O. De Wolf O. De Wolf G
7 T. Koudou T. Koudou M
Best on the pitch
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo
M · Gent
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 54 pass
Nacho Mirás
Nacho Mirás
G · KV
8.20
· 38 pass
J. Y. Vergara Ortega
J. Y. Vergara Ortega
F · Gent
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
T. De Vlieger
T. De Vlieger
M · Gent
7.50
1 shots · 46 pass
M. Sonko
M. Sonko
F · Gent
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 25 pass
D. Roef
D. Roef
G · Gent
7.30
· 30 pass
Gent Gent — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Roef G 90 7.30 — — — 30 24% — — —
S. Van der Heyden D 90 7.20 — — — 74 70% 2 — —
C. Burgess D 45 7.00 — — — 45 42% — — —
M. Ngom D 90 7.20 — — — 56 45% 3 — —
Tiago Araújo M 90 8.20 1 — 2 54 48% — — —
Leonardo Lopes M 90 7.20 — — — 55 47% 5 — —
T. De Vlieger M 71 7.50 — — 1 46 38% 4 — —
M. Volckaert M 90 7.20 — — 1 26 17% 3 — —
M. Sonko F 90 7.50 — 1 2 25 22% 3 — —
A. Kadri F 71 6.90 — — — 36 28% 2 — —
J. Y. Vergara Ortega F 80 7.90 1 — 2 12 9% — — —
Hyllarion Goore F 19 6.90 — — 3 10 7% — — —
Ibrahima Cisse F 10 6.30 — — 1 3 1% — — —
M. Delorge-Knieper M 19 7.00 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
M. Paskotši D 45 6.90 — — — 29 27% 2 — —
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nacho Mirás G 90 8.20 — — — 38 32% — — —
Moncef Zekri D 90 6.00 — — — 52 45% 1 — —
José Marsà D 76 6.60 — — — 63 53% — — —
Gora Diouf D 28 7.20 — — — 6 4% 2 — —
M. Decoene D 90 6.70 — — — 53 49% 1 1 —
Dikeni Salifou M 90 6.20 — — 1 34 24% 2 — —
F. Hammar M 90 6.30 — — — 46 42% — — —
M. van Brederode M 90 6.50 — — — 45 34% 2 — —
D. Praet M 77 6.60 — — — 27 22% 2 — —
B. Bafdili M 86 6.30 — — — 31 24% — — —
B. Raman F 45 6.30 — — 1 5 3% — — —
C. Van Meirvenne F 9 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Ian Struyf D 14 6.70 — — — 12 7% — — —
K. Corbanie D 62 6.20 — — — 32 28% 2 — —
M. Kireev M 13 6.30 — — 1 6 5% — — —
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi F 45 6.70 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gent vs KV Mechelen?
The final score was Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen.
What did the model predict before Gent vs KV Mechelen?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Gent win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an KV Mechelen win.