✗Model wrong — prediction Union St. Gilloise, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Gent 17%). The final result was Gent 0–0 Union St. Gilloise. In 3 previous meetings, Gent have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Union St. Gilloise.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
8
1.46
Actual xG
1.20
8
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
5
5
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽W. Kanga
(missed pen.)
6'
W. Kanga
41'
H. Goore
/ M. Sonko
53'
M. Skoras
57'
S. Van Der Heyden
57'
62'
M. Fuseini
/
B. Zeneli
62'
Guilherme Smith
/
O. Niang
62'
M. Biondic
/
K. Rodriguez
W. Kanga
/ I. Cisse
71'
82'
L. Patris
/
A. Khalaili
M. Sonko
83'
T. Araujo
/ M. Volckaert
84'
M. Delorge-Knieper
/ Hong Hyun-Seok
84'
86'
89'
R. Florucz
/
A. Ait El Hadj
Pre-match prediction
17.09%
Gent
26.55%
X ←
56.36%
Union
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
1.46
+0.65
1.75
1.20
-0.55
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
D. Roef
G
D. Roef
G
20
Tiago Araújo
84'
D
Tiago Araújo
84'
D
44
S. Van der Heyden
D
S. Van der Heyden
D
4
D. Hashioka
D
D. Hashioka
D
29
J. Duverne
D
J. Duverne
D
17
M. Delorge-Knieper
84'
M
M. Delorge-Knieper
84'
M
27
T. De Vlieger
M
T. De Vlieger
M
22
Leonardo Lopes
M
Leonardo Lopes
M
45
B. Goore
53'
F
B. Goore
53'
F
7
W. Kanga
71'
F
W. Kanga
71'
F
8
M. Skóraś
F
M. Skóraś
F
Bench
15
A. Ito
M
A. Ito
M
37
A. Kadri
M
A. Kadri
M
10
A. Omgba
M
A. Omgba
M
54
Hannes Vernemmen
D
Hannes Vernemmen
D
24
Hong Hyun-Seok
12'
M
Hong Hyun-Seok
12'
M
75
I. Cisse
25'
F
I. Cisse
25'
F
30
K. Peersman
G
K. Peersman
G
11
M. Sonko
43'
F
M. Sonko
43'
F
57
M. Volckaert
12'
D
M. Volckaert
12'
D
37
K. Scherpen
G
K. Scherpen
G
48
Fedde Leysen
D
Fedde Leysen
D
16
C. Burgess
D
C. Burgess
D
5
K. Mac Allister
D
K. Mac Allister
D
22
O. Niang
62'
M
O. Niang
62'
M
8
A. Zorgane
M
A. Zorgane
M
6
K. Van de Perre
M
K. Van de Perre
M
25
A. Khalaili
82'
M
A. Khalaili
82'
M
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
89'
F
Anouar Ait El Hadj
89'
F
23
B. Zeneli
62'
F
B. Zeneli
62'
F
13
K. Rodríguez
62'
F
K. Rodríguez
62'
F
Bench
11
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
34'
M
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
34'
M
14
I. Pavlić
M
I. Pavlić
M
27
L. Patris
14'
D
L. Patris
14'
D
3
M. Barry
D
M. Barry
D
9
M. Biondic
34'
F
M. Biondic
34'
F
7
M. Fuseini
34'
F
29
M. Sylla
D
M. Sylla
D
30
R. Florucz
7'
F
R. Florucz
7'
F
1
V. Chambaere
G
V. Chambaere
G
Best on the pitch
D. Roef
G · Gent
9.30
· 44 pass
K. Scherpen
G · Union
7.70
· 21 pass
Fedde Leysen
D · Union
7.60
1 shots
· 76 pass
Tiago Araújo
D · Gent
7.50
· 43 pass
J. Duverne
D · Gent
7.50
· 49 pass
A. Zorgane
M · Union
7.50
1 shots
· 84 pass
Gent — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Roef | G | 96 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Araújo | D | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| S. Van der Heyden | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Hashioka | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Duverne | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | — | — | — |
| M. Delorge-Knieper | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| T. De Vlieger | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Lopes | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| B. Goore | F | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Kanga | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Skóraś | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Hong Hyun-Seok | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Cisse | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Sonko | F | 43 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Volckaert | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Scherpen | G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Fedde Leysen | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 75% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Burgess | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mac Allister | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Niang | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Zorgane | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Van de Perre | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Khalaili | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| B. Zeneli | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Rodríguez | F | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Patris | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Biondic | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Fuseini | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Florucz | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The final score was Gent 0–0 Union St. Gilloise.
What did the model predict before Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Gent win, 26% to a draw, and 56% to an Union St. Gilloise win.