✗Model wrong — prediction Union St. Gilloise, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 56% win probability (draw 26%, Gent 17%). The final result was Gent 0–0 Union St. Gilloise. In 3 previous meetings, Gent have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Union St. Gilloise.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
8
1.46
Actual xG
1.20
8
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
5
5
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽W. Kanga
(missed pen.)
6'
W. Kanga
41'
H. Goore
/ M. Sonko
53'
M. Skoras
57'
S. Van Der Heyden
57'
62'
M. Fuseini
/
B. Zeneli
62'
Guilherme Smith
/
O. Niang
62'
M. Biondic
/
K. Rodriguez
W. Kanga
/ I. Cisse
71'
82'
L. Patris
/
A. Khalaili
M. Sonko
83'
T. Araujo
/ M. Volckaert
84'
M. Delorge-Knieper
/ Hong Hyun-Seok
84'
86'
89'
R. Florucz
/
A. Ait El Hadj
Pre-match prediction
17.09%
Gent
26.55%
X ←
56.36%
Union
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
1.46
+0.65
1.75
1.20
-0.55
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
Davy Roef
G
Davy Roef
G
20
Tiago Araújo
84'
D
Tiago Araújo
84'
D
44
S. Van der Heyden
D
S. Van der Heyden
D
4
Daiki Hashioka
D
Daiki Hashioka
D
29
J. Duverne
D
J. Duverne
D
17
Mathias Delorge
84'
M
Mathias Delorge
84'
M
27
Tibe De Vlieger
M
Tibe De Vlieger
M
22
Leonardo Lopes
M
Leonardo Lopes
M
45
Hyllarion Goore
53'
F
Hyllarion Goore
53'
F
7
W. Kanga
71'
F
W. Kanga
71'
F
8
M. Skóraś
F
M. Skóraś
F
Bench
10
Aimé Omgba
M
Aimé Omgba
M
37
A. Kadri
M
A. Kadri
M
15
Atsuki Ito
M
Atsuki Ito
M
54
Hannes Vernemmen
D
Hannes Vernemmen
D
24
Hong Hyun-seok
12'
M
Hong Hyun-seok
12'
M
75
Ibrahima Cisse
25'
F
Ibrahima Cisse
25'
F
30
Kjell Peersman
G
Kjell Peersman
G
57
Matties Volckaert
12'
D
Matties Volckaert
12'
D
11
Momodou Sonko
43'
F
Momodou Sonko
43'
F
37
Kjell Scherpen
G
Kjell Scherpen
G
48
Fedde Leysen
D
Fedde Leysen
D
16
C. Burgess
D
C. Burgess
D
5
K. Mac Allister
D
K. Mac Allister
D
22
Ousseynou Niang
62'
M
Ousseynou Niang
62'
M
8
A. Zorgane
M
A. Zorgane
M
6
K. Van de Perre
M
K. Van de Perre
M
25
Anan Khalaili
82'
M
Anan Khalaili
82'
M
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
89'
F
Anouar Ait El Hadj
89'
F
23
B. Zeneli
62'
F
B. Zeneli
62'
F
13
K. Rodríguez
62'
F
K. Rodríguez
62'
F
Bench
11
Guilherme Smith
34'
M
Guilherme Smith
34'
M
14
Ivan Pavlić
M
Ivan Pavlić
M
27
Louis Patris
14'
D
Louis Patris
14'
D
3
Mamadou Barry
D
Mamadou Barry
D
29
Massire Sylla
D
Massire Sylla
D
9
Mateo Biondic
34'
F
Mateo Biondic
34'
F
7
Mohammed Fuseini
34'
F
Mohammed Fuseini
34'
F
30
Raul Florucz
7'
F
Raul Florucz
7'
F
1
Vic Chambaere
G
Vic Chambaere
G
Best on the pitch
Davy Roef
G · Gent
9.30
· 44 pass
Kjell Scherpen
G · Union
7.70
· 21 pass
Fedde Leysen
D · Union
7.60
1 shots
· 76 pass
Tiago Araújo
D · Gent
7.50
· 43 pass
J. Duverne
D · Gent
7.50
· 49 pass
A. Zorgane
M · Union
7.50
1 shots
· 84 pass
Gent — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davy Roef | G | 96 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Araújo | D | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| S. Van der Heyden | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| Daiki Hashioka | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Duverne | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Mathias Delorge | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Tibe De Vlieger | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Lopes | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Hyllarion Goore | F | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Kanga | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Skóraś | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Hong Hyun-seok | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Cisse | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Matties Volckaert | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Momodou Sonko | F | 43 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kjell Scherpen | G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Fedde Leysen | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 75% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Burgess | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mac Allister | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Ousseynou Niang | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Zorgane | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Van de Perre | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Anan Khalaili | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| B. Zeneli | F | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Rodríguez | F | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Smith | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Louis Patris | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Biondic | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Fuseini | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Raul Florucz | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The final score was Gent 0–0 Union St. Gilloise.
What did the model predict before Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Gent win, 26% to a draw, and 56% to an Union St. Gilloise win.