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Georgia - Hungary

UEFA Nations League November 14, 2026 18:00 Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Georgia
#4 · 2 pts
vs
Hungary
#2 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.75%
Win
Georgia
45.55%
Draw
29.7%
Win
Hungary
0.54
Expected xG
0.64

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (32.29%)
1X2 Result
1 25%
X 46%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 75%
12 55%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 41%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hungary a 29% win probability, against 45% for a draw and 24% for Georgia. Expected goals are 0.5 for Georgia and 0.6 for Hungary (total 1.2), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 32.29% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Georgia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hungary.

Season Stats

Georgia
4W 3D 5L
Hungary
3W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.7
0.8
Conceded
1.6
4.4
Shots OT
3.8
5.4
Corners
4.5
58%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
42%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
42%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Georgia
2W 2D 2L · at home
Hungary
2W 1D 3L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.8
0.8
Conceded
2.2
33%
Win %
33%
67%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
83%
33%
O 2.5
67%
33%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
33%
17%
Clean Sht
33%
50%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Georgia Hungary →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 30.6% 19.7% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% —
1 16.5% 10.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 4.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% — —
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% — — —
4 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Georgia Georgia
D Northern Ireland 0–0
L Hungary 1–0
D Ukraine 0–0
L Northern Ireland 0–1
W Armenia 6–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Hungary Hungary
W Ukraine 1–2
W Georgia 1–0
D Northern Ireland 0–0
L Ukraine 0–1
L Türkiye 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Georgia Georgia
Attack
26
Defence
72
Form
16
Hungary Hungary
Attack
35
Defence
79
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Georgia
0
Draw
1
Hungary
2 Oct 2026 UEFA Nations League 0–1

League B - Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 4 8
2 Hungary Hungary 4 7
3 Ukraine Ukraine 4 4
4 Georgia Georgia 4 2

What's at stake · League B - Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Georgia Hungary
Current #4 #2
→ Georgia #3 #2
→ Draw #4 #2
→ Hungary #4 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Georgia vs Hungary?
The model gives Georgia a 24% win probability, 45% for a draw, and 29% for an Hungary win.
How many goals are expected in Georgia vs Hungary?
Expected goals: Georgia 0.5, Hungary 0.6 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Georgia vs Hungary?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 32.29%.