Georgia - Northern Ireland
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
28.9°C
💨 21 km/h
🌧️ 59%
· Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
73.26%
Win
Georgia
14.74%
Draw
12.0%
Win
Northern Ireland
2.7
0.9
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Georgia
73.26%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–0
(10.03%)
1X2 Result
1
73%
X
15%
2
12%
Double Chance
1X
88%
X2
27%
12
85%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
82%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Georgia a 73% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 12% for Northern Ireland. Expected goals are 2.7 for Georgia and 0.9 for Northern Ireland (total 3.6), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.03% probability.
Season Stats
4W
1D
3L
3W
2D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.8
0.9
Conceded
0.5
4.8
Shots OT
4.7
5.5
Corners
6.7
58%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
63%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
33%
50%
BTTS
17%
25%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
2W
1D
1L
· at home
0W
2D
1L
· away
2.8
gls/g
0.7
1.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
75%
Win or Draw
67%
75%
O 1.5
33%
50%
O 2.5
33%
50%
O 3.5
33%
75%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
25%
Failed to Score
67%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Georgia
Northern Ireland →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — |
| 3 | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Georgia
Attack
35
Defence
73
Form
35
Northern Ireland
Attack
25
Defence
59
Form
23
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Play-offs B/C
What's at stake · Play-offs B/C
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → Georgia | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #1 | #1 |
| → Northern Ireland | #1 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
The model gives Georgia a 73% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 12% for an Northern Ireland win.
How many goals are expected in Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
Expected goals: Georgia 2.7, Northern Ireland 0.9 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Georgia vs Northern Ireland?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.03%.