Georgia - Ukraine
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.97%
Win
Georgia
19.75%
Draw
25.28%
Win
Ukraine
2.32
1.49
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.91%)
1X2 Result
1
55%
X
20%
2
25%
Double Chance
1X
75%
X2
45%
12
80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
83%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Georgia a 54% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 25% for Ukraine. Expected goals are 2.3 for Georgia and 1.5 for Ukraine (total 3.8), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.91% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Georgia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Ukraine.
Season Stats
4W
1D
3L
3W
2D
3L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.4
0.9
Conceded
1.5
4.8
Shots OT
4.0
5.5
Corners
4.3
58%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
63%
O 1.5
88%
50%
O 2.5
63%
50%
BTTS
75%
25%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
2W
1D
1L
· at home
1W
1D
2L
· away
2.8
gls/g
1.2
1.0
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
25%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
75%
50%
O 3.5
25%
75%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Georgia
Ukraine →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Georgia
Attack
35
Defence
73
Form
35
Ukraine
Attack
36
Defence
68
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Play-offs B/C
What's at stake · Play-offs B/C
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → Georgia | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #1 | #1 |
| → Ukraine | #1 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Georgia vs Ukraine?
The model gives Georgia a 54% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 25% for an Ukraine win.
How many goals are expected in Georgia vs Ukraine?
Expected goals: Georgia 2.3, Ukraine 1.5 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Georgia vs Ukraine?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.91%.