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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 June 14, 2026 19:00
Germany
#1 · 6 pts
7 – 1
Final score
Curaçao
#4 · 1 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Germany
F. Nmecha (ast. F. Wirtz) 6'
N. Schlotterbeck (ast. N. Brown) 38'
K. Havertz 45'+5 (pen.)
J. Musiala (ast. J. Kimmich) 47'
N. Brown (ast. D. Undav) 68'
D. Undav (ast. J. Kimmich) 78'
K. Havertz (ast. D. Undav) 88'
21' L. Comenencia
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Germany a 84% win probability (draw 7%, Curaçao 8%). The final result was Germany 7–1 Curaçao.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
12
Shots on target
2
3.90
Actual xG
0.40
1
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
1
19
Tackles
15
Match Events
⚽F. Nmecha · ast. F. Wirtz
6'
21'
L. Comenencia⚽
⚽N. Schlotterbeck · ast. N. Brown
38'
⚽K. Havertz (pen.)
45'+5
46'
J. Antonisse / S. Hansen ↕
⚽J. Musiala · ast. J. Kimmich
47'
↕ J. Musiala / D. Undav
64'
65'
J. Margaritha / J. Locadia ↕
⚽N. Brown · ast. D. Undav
68'
↕ J. Tah / A. Rudiger
73'
↕ F. Nmecha / L. Goretzka
73'
↕ N. Brown / D. Raum
73'
⚽D. Undav · ast. J. Kimmich
78'
83'
G. Kastaneer / T. Chong ↕
↕ J. Kimmich / W. Anton
83'
⚽K. Havertz · ast. D. Undav
88'
Pre-match prediction
84.4%
Germany ←
7.34%
X
8.26%
Curaçao
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Germany) 84.4% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Germany
4.50
3.90
-0.6
Curaçao
1.16
0.40
-0.76
Germany dominated by xG (3.90 vs 0.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Germany Germany 3 6
2 Ivory Coast Ivory Coast 3 6
3 Ecuador Ecuador 3 4
4 Curaçao Curaçao 3 1
Lineups
Germany Germany 4-2-3-1
1 Manuel Neuer Manuel Neuer G 6.30
18 Nathaniel Brown Nathaniel Brown 1 ⚽ 1 👟 73' D 8.00
15 N. Schlotterbeck N. Schlotterbeck 1 ⚽ D 8.20
4 Jonathan Tah Jonathan Tah 73' D 6.90
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich 2 👟 83' D 8.20
5 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović M 7.90
23 Felix Nmecha Felix Nmecha 1 ⚽ 73' M 8.60
17 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 1 👟 M 7.70
10 J. Musiala J. Musiala 1 ⚽ 64' M 8.20
19 L. Sané L. Sané M 6.50
7 K. Havertz K. Havertz 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
21
Alexander Nübel G
16 Angelo Stiller Angelo Stiller M
2 A. Rüdiger A. Rüdiger 21' D 6.30
25 Assan Ouédraogo Assan Ouédraogo M
22 D. Raum D. Raum 21' D 6.50
26 D. Undav D. Undav 1 ⚽ 2 👟 30' F 8.90
9 J. Leweling J. Leweling F
8 Leon Goretzka Leon Goretzka 21' M 7.00
24 Malick Thiaw Malick Thiaw D
14 Maximilian Beier Maximilian Beier F
20 N. Amiri N. Amiri M
11 Nick Woltemade Nick Woltemade F
12 Oliver Baumann Oliver Baumann G
13 Pascal Groß Pascal Groß M
3 Waldemar Anton Waldemar Anton 11' D 6.60
Curaçao Curaçao 4-3-1-2
1 E. Room E. Room G 4.60
24 Deveron Fonville Deveron Fonville D 5.00
18 A. Obispo A. Obispo D 5.90
23 R. Bazoer R. Bazoer D 5.20
5 S. Floranus S. Floranus D 5.30
7 J. Bacuna J. Bacuna M 6.60
10 L. Bacuna L. Bacuna M 7.00
8 Livano Comenencia Livano Comenencia 1 ⚽ M 7.30
21 T. Chong T. Chong 83' M 6.30
12 S. Hansen S. Hansen 45' F 6.70
9 J. Locadia J. Locadia 65' F 6.70
Bench
15 A. Martha A. Martha M
17 B. Kuwas B. Kuwas F
19 G. Kastaneer G. Kastaneer 11' F 6.50
6 G. Roemeratoe G. Roemeratoe M
11 J. Antonisse J. Antonisse 49' F 6.30
20 J. Brenet J. Brenet D
3 J. Gaari J. Gaari D
16 J. Margaritha J. Margaritha 29' F 6.20
22 K. Felida K. Felida M
14 K. Gorré K. Gorré F
4 R. van Eijma R. van Eijma D
2 S. Sambo S. Sambo D
25 T. Bodak T. Bodak G
26 T. Doornbusch T. Doornbusch G
13 T. Noslin T. Noslin M
Best on the pitch
D. Undav
D. Undav
F · Germany
8.90
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
Felix Nmecha
Felix Nmecha
M · Germany
8.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 40 pass
K. Havertz
K. Havertz
F · Germany
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
J. Musiala
J. Musiala
M · Germany
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
J. Kimmich
J. Kimmich
D · Germany
8.20
2 👟
· 73 pass
N. Schlotterbeck
N. Schlotterbeck
D · Germany
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 85 pass
Germany Germany — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Manuel Neuer G 94 6.30 — — — 21 18% — — —
Nathaniel Brown D 73 8.00 1 1 1 36 32% 2 — —
N. Schlotterbeck D 94 8.20 1 — 2 85 73% 2 — —
Jonathan Tah D 73 6.90 — — — 71 69% — — —
J. Kimmich D 83 8.20 — 2 — 73 65% — — —
A. Pavlović M 94 7.90 — — 2 73 68% 3 — —
Felix Nmecha M 73 8.60 1 — 4 40 38% 3 — —
F. Wirtz M 94 7.70 — 1 1 64 54% 2 — —
J. Musiala M 64 8.20 1 — 1 26 13% 3 — —
L. Sané M 94 6.50 — — 3 50 40% 2 — —
K. Havertz F 94 8.20 2 — 2 40 37% — — —
A. Rüdiger D 21 6.30 — — — 15 12% — — —
D. Raum D 21 6.50 — — 1 6 4% — — —
D. Undav F 30 8.90 1 2 1 11 8% — — —
Leon Goretzka M 21 7.00 — — — 13 11% — — —
Waldemar Anton D 11 6.60 — — — 6 6% 2 — —
Curaçao Curaçao — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Room G 94 4.60 — — — 28 14% — — —
Deveron Fonville D 94 5.00 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
A. Obispo D 94 5.90 — — — 40 37% 2 — —
R. Bazoer D 94 5.20 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
S. Floranus D 94 5.30 — — — 33 28% 3 — —
J. Bacuna M 94 6.60 — — 1 32 27% 3 — —
L. Bacuna M 94 7.00 — — 2 53 46% 4 — —
Livano Comenencia M 94 7.30 1 — 2 26 21% — — —
T. Chong M 83 6.30 — — 1 19 13% — — —
S. Hansen F 45 6.70 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
J. Locadia F 65 6.70 — — — 14 13% — — —
G. Kastaneer F 11 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
J. Antonisse F 49 6.30 — — — 18 15% — — —
J. Margaritha F 29 6.20 — — 1 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Germany vs Curaçao?
The final score was Germany 7–1 Curaçao.
What did the model predict before Germany vs Curaçao?
The model assigned 84% probability to a Germany win, 7% to a draw, and 8% to an Curaçao win.