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World Cup · Group Stage - 1 June 14, 2026 19:00
Germany
#1 · 6 pts
7 – 1
Final score
Curaçao
#4 · 1 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Germany
F. Nmecha (ast. F. Wirtz) 6'
N. Schlotterbeck (ast. N. Brown) 38'
K. Havertz 45'+5 (pen.)
J. Musiala (ast. J. Kimmich) 47'
N. Brown (ast. D. Undav) 68'
D. Undav (ast. J. Kimmich) 78'
K. Havertz (ast. D. Undav) 88'
21' L. Comenencia
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Germany a 84% win probability (draw 7%, Curaçao 8%). The final result was Germany 7–1 Curaçao.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
12
Shots on target
2
3.90
Actual xG
0.40
1
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
1
19
Tackles
15
Match Events
⚽F. Nmecha · ast. F. Wirtz
6'
21'
L. Comenencia⚽
⚽N. Schlotterbeck · ast. N. Brown
38'
⚽K. Havertz (pen.)
45'+5
46'
J. Antonisse / S. Hansen ↕
⚽J. Musiala · ast. J. Kimmich
47'
↕ J. Musiala / D. Undav
64'
65'
J. Margaritha / J. Locadia ↕
⚽N. Brown · ast. D. Undav
68'
↕ J. Tah / A. Rudiger
73'
↕ F. Nmecha / L. Goretzka
73'
↕ N. Brown / D. Raum
73'
⚽D. Undav · ast. J. Kimmich
78'
83'
G. Kastaneer / T. Chong ↕
↕ J. Kimmich / W. Anton
83'
⚽K. Havertz · ast. D. Undav
88'
Pre-match prediction
84.4%
Germany ←
7.34%
X
8.26%
Curaçao
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Germany) 84.4% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Germany
4.50
3.90
-0.6
Curaçao
1.16
0.40
-0.76
Germany dominated by xG (3.90 vs 0.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Germany Germany 3 6
2 Ivory Coast Ivory Coast 3 6
3 Ecuador Ecuador 3 4
4 Curaçao Curaçao 3 1
Lineups
Germany Germany 4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer M. Neuer G 6.30
18 N. Brown N. Brown 1 ⚽ 1 👟 73' D 8.00
15 N. Schlotterbeck N. Schlotterbeck 1 ⚽ D 8.20
4 J. Tah J. Tah 73' D 6.90
6 J. Kimmich J. Kimmich 2 👟 83' D 8.20
5 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović M 7.90
23 F. Nmecha F. Nmecha 1 ⚽ 73' M 8.60
17 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 1 👟 M 7.70
10 J. Musiala J. Musiala 1 ⚽ 64' M 8.20
19 Leroy Sané Leroy Sané M 6.50
7 K. Havertz K. Havertz 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
21 A. Nübel A. Nübel G
25 A. Ouédraogo A. Ouédraogo M
2 A. Rüdiger A. Rüdiger 21' D 6.30
16 A. Stiller A. Stiller M
22 D. Raum D. Raum 21' D 6.50
26 D. Undav D. Undav 1 ⚽ 2 👟 30' F 8.90
9 J. Leweling J. Leweling F
8 Leon Goretzka Leon Goretzka 21' M 7.00
14 M. Beier M. Beier F
24 M. Thiaw M. Thiaw D
20 N. Amiri N. Amiri M
11 Nick Woltemade Nick Woltemade F
12 O. Baumann O. Baumann G
13 P. Groß P. Groß M
3 W. Anton W. Anton 11' D 6.60
Curaçao Curaçao 4-3-1-2
1 E. Room E. Room G 4.60
24 Deveron Fonville Deveron Fonville D 5.00
18 A. Obispo A. Obispo D 5.90
23 R. Bazoer R. Bazoer D 5.20
5 S. Floranus S. Floranus D 5.30
7 J. Bacuna J. Bacuna M 6.60
10 L. Bacuna L. Bacuna M 7.00
8 L. Comenencia L. Comenencia 1 ⚽ M 7.30
21 T. Chong T. Chong 83' M 6.30
12 Sontje Hansen Sontje Hansen 45' F 6.70
9 J. Locadia J. Locadia 65' F 6.70
Bench
15 A. Martha A. Martha M
17 B. Kuwas B. Kuwas F
19 G. Kastaneer G. Kastaneer 11' F 6.50
6 G. Roemeratoe G. Roemeratoe M
11 J. Antonisse J. Antonisse 49' F 6.30
20 J. Brenet J. Brenet D
3 J. Gaari J. Gaari D
16 J. Margaritha J. Margaritha 29' F 6.20
22 K. Felida K. Felida M
14 K. Gorré K. Gorré F
4 R. van Eijma R. van Eijma D
2 S. Sambo S. Sambo D
25 T. Bodak T. Bodak G
26 T. Doornbusch T. Doornbusch G
13 T. Noslin T. Noslin M
Best on the pitch
D. Undav
D. Undav
F · Germany
8.90
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
F. Nmecha
F. Nmecha
M · Germany
8.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 40 pass
K. Havertz
K. Havertz
F · Germany
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
J. Musiala
J. Musiala
M · Germany
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
J. Kimmich
J. Kimmich
D · Germany
8.20
2 👟
· 73 pass
N. Schlotterbeck
N. Schlotterbeck
D · Germany
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 85 pass
Germany Germany — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Neuer G 94 6.30 — — — 21 18% — — —
N. Brown D 73 8.00 1 1 1 36 32% 2 — —
N. Schlotterbeck D 94 8.20 1 — 2 85 73% 2 — —
J. Tah D 73 6.90 — — — 71 69% — — —
J. Kimmich D 83 8.20 — 2 — 73 65% — — —
A. Pavlović M 94 7.90 — — 2 73 68% 3 — —
F. Nmecha M 73 8.60 1 — 4 40 38% 3 — —
F. Wirtz M 94 7.70 — 1 1 64 54% 2 — —
J. Musiala M 64 8.20 1 — 1 26 13% 3 — —
Leroy Sané M 94 6.50 — — 3 50 40% 2 — —
K. Havertz F 94 8.20 2 — 2 40 37% — — —
A. Rüdiger D 21 6.30 — — — 15 12% — — —
D. Raum D 21 6.50 — — 1 6 4% — — —
D. Undav F 30 8.90 1 2 1 11 8% — — —
Leon Goretzka M 21 7.00 — — — 13 11% — — —
W. Anton D 11 6.60 — — — 6 6% 2 — —
Curaçao Curaçao — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Room G 94 4.60 — — — 28 14% — — —
Deveron Fonville D 94 5.00 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
A. Obispo D 94 5.90 — — — 40 37% 2 — —
R. Bazoer D 94 5.20 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
S. Floranus D 94 5.30 — — — 33 28% 3 — —
J. Bacuna M 94 6.60 — — 1 32 27% 3 — —
L. Bacuna M 94 7.00 — — 2 53 46% 4 — —
L. Comenencia M 94 7.30 1 — 2 26 21% — — —
T. Chong M 83 6.30 — — 1 19 13% — — —
Sontje Hansen F 45 6.70 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
J. Locadia F 65 6.70 — — — 14 13% — — —
G. Kastaneer F 11 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
J. Antonisse F 49 6.30 — — — 18 15% — — —
J. Margaritha F 29 6.20 — — 1 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Germany vs Curaçao?
The final score was Germany 7–1 Curaçao.
What did the model predict before Germany vs Curaçao?
The model assigned 84% probability to a Germany win, 7% to a draw, and 8% to an Curaçao win.