Germany - Greece
⚡ Pre-match analysis
89.57%
Win
Germany
5.06%
Draw
5.37%
Win
Greece
4.5
0.78
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Germany
89.57%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
4–0
(9.55%)
1X2 Result
1
90%
X
5%
2
5%
Double Chance
1X
95%
X2
10%
12
95%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
84%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Germany a 89% win probability, against 5% for a draw and 5% for Greece. Expected goals are 4.5 for Germany and 0.8 for Greece (total 5.3), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–0 at 9.55% probability.
Season Stats
5W
3D
2L
6W
0D
2L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
1.8
1.2
Conceded
0.6
6.2
Shots OT
4.4
5.4
Corners
4.6
61%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
90%
O 1.5
88%
70%
O 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
13%
30%
Clean Sht
63%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
29%
BTTS
3W
1D
2L
· at home
4W
0D
0L
· away
2.8
gls/g
2.2
1.2
Conceded
0.2
50%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
83%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
25%
50%
Clean Sht
75%
17%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Germany
Greece →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 1 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Germany
Attack
64
Defence
75
Form
66
Greece
Attack
22
Defence
66
Form
11
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Germany
Injured
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 2
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Germany
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Netherlands
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Serbia
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Greece
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 2
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → Germany | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Greece | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Germany vs Greece?
The model gives Germany a 89% win probability, 5% for a draw, and 5% for an Greece win.
How many goals are expected in Germany vs Greece?
Expected goals: Germany 4.5, Greece 0.8 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Germany vs Greece?
4–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.55%.