✗Model wrong — prediction Germany, result Greece wins
74'
Dimitrios Kourbelis
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Germany a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Greece 16%). The final result was Germany 0–1 Greece. In 1 previous meetings, Germany have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Greece.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
5
76%
Possession
24%
8
Corners
2
15
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Yann Bisseck
17'
18'
Georgios Vagiannidis
22'
Konstantinos Karetsas
45'
Manolis Saliakas
/
Georgios Vagiannidis
57'
Panagiotis Retsos
59'
Dimitrios Kourbelis
/
Christos Zafeiris
59'
Fotis Ioannidis
/
Andrews Tetteh
Kevin Schade
/ Jonathan Burkardt
65'
Bambasé Conté
/ Florian Wirtz
65'
68'
Dimitrios Kourbelis
74'
Dimitrios Kourbelis⚽
Karim Adeyemi
/ Serge Gnabry
75'
81'
Georgios Masouras
/
Christos Tzolis
Nathaniel Brown
/ Hennes Behrens
84'
Felix Nmecha
/ Anton Stach
84'
89'
Giannis Michailidis
/
Vangelis Pavlidis
Pre-match prediction
60.97%
Germany
22.49%
X
16.54%
Greece ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Greece)
16.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.17
—
—
1.02
—
—
Lineups
21
Alexander Nübel
G
Alexander Nübel
G
18
N. Brown
84'
D
N. Brown
84'
D
4
J. Tah
D
J. Tah
D
2
Y. Bisseck
D
Y. Bisseck
D
14
J. Vagnoman
D
J. Vagnoman
D
6
J. Kimmich
M
J. Kimmich
M
8
F. Nmecha
84'
M
F. Nmecha
84'
M
9
K. Schade
65'
M
K. Schade
65'
M
15
B. Conté
65'
M
B. Conté
65'
M
19
K. Adeyemi
75'
M
K. Adeyemi
75'
M
23
Y. Ebnoutalib
F
Y. Ebnoutalib
F
Bench
16
A. Stach
6'
M
A. Stach
6'
M
7
C. Führich
M
C. Führich
M
12
F. Dahmen
G
F. Dahmen
G
17
F. Wirtz
25'
M
F. Wirtz
25'
M
22
Hennes Behrens
6'
D
Hennes Behrens
6'
D
10
J. Burkardt
25'
F
J. Burkardt
25'
F
3
M. Rosenfelder
D
M. Rosenfelder
D
1
M. ter Stegen
G
M. ter Stegen
G
11
N. Amiri
M
N. Amiri
M
13
P. Treu
D
P. Treu
D
20
S. Gnabry
15'
F
S. Gnabry
15'
F
5
Yannick Engelhardt
M
Yannick Engelhardt
M
12
K. Tzolakis
G
K. Tzolakis
G
21
K. Tsimikas
D
K. Tsimikas
D
5
P. Retsos
D
P. Retsos
D
4
K. Mavropanos
D
K. Mavropanos
D
2
G. Vagiannidis
45'
D
G. Vagiannidis
45'
D
10
C. Tzolis
81'
M
C. Tzolis
81'
M
20
C. Zafeiris
59'
M
C. Zafeiris
59'
M
15
T. Androutsos
M
T. Androutsos
M
19
K. Karetsas
M
K. Karetsas
M
16
A. Tetteh
59'
F
A. Tetteh
59'
F
14
V. Pavlidis
89'
F
V. Pavlidis
89'
F
Bench
3
A. Ntoi
D
A. Ntoi
D
11
C. Kostoulas
F
C. Kostoulas
F
13
C. Mandas
G
C. Mandas
G
23
C. Mouzakitis
M
C. Mouzakitis
M
6
D. Kourbelis
1 ⚽
31'
M
D. Kourbelis
1 ⚽
31'
M
8
F. Ioannidis
31'
F
F. Ioannidis
31'
F
22
G. Kiriakopoulos
D
G. Kiriakopoulos
D
7
G. Masouras
9'
F
G. Masouras
9'
F
18
G. Michailidis
1'
D
G. Michailidis
1'
D
17
M. Saliakas
45'
D
M. Saliakas
45'
D
1
O. Vlachodimos
G
O. Vlachodimos
G
9
T. Douvikas
F
T. Douvikas
F
Best on the pitch
K. Mavropanos
D · Greece
7.72
2 shots
· 23 pass
K. Tzolakis
G · Greece
7.67
· 37 pass
D. Kourbelis
M · Greece
7.53
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
J. Kimmich
M · Germany
7.20
2 shots
· 128 pass
F. Nmecha
M · Germany
6.92
2 shots
· 66 pass
N. Brown
D · Germany
6.83
· 43 pass
Germany — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nübel | G | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Brown | D | 84 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tah | D | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 140 | 130% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Bisseck | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 91% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Vagnoman | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 65 | 60% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Kimmich | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 128 | 118% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Nmecha | M | 84 | 6.92 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 65 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Conté | M | 65 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Adeyemi | M | 75 | 6.69 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Ebnoutalib | F | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Stach | M | 6 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 25 | 6.02 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Hennes Behrens | D | 6 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Burkardt | F | 25 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Gnabry | F | 15 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
Greece — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Tzolakis | G | 90 | 7.67 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Tsimikas | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Retsos | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Mavropanos | D | 90 | 7.72 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 45 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Tzolis | M | 81 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Zafeiris | M | 59 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Androutsos | M | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Tetteh | F | 59 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 89 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Kourbelis | M | 31 | 7.53 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Masouras | F | 9 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Michailidis | D | 1 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Saliakas | D | 45 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Germany vs Greece?
The final score was Germany 0–1 Greece.
What did the model predict before Germany vs Greece?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Germany win, 22% to a draw, and 16% to an Greece win.