✓Model correct — prediction Germany
D. Undav
(ast. N. Amiri)
68'
D. Undav
(ast. F. Nmecha)
90'+4
30'
F. Kessie
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Germany a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Ivory Coast 21%). The final result was Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
1.84
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
3
26
Tackles
20
Match Events
30'
F. Kessie⚽
N. Schlotterbeck
/ A. Rudiger
46'
L. Sane
/ J. Leweling
60'
J. Musiala
/ D. Undav
60'
A. Pavlovic
/ N. Amiri
60'
⚽D. Undav
· ast. N. Amiri
68'
75'
E. Guessand
/
A. Bonny
75'
S. Fofana
/
I. Sangare
75'
S. Adingra
/
A. Diallo
82'
G. Doue
/
W. Singo
85'
N. Pepe
/
Y. Diomande
K. Havertz
/ L. Goretzka
85'
⚽D. Undav
· ast. F. Nmecha
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
56.35%
Germany ←
22.25%
X
21.4%
Ivory
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Germany)
56.35%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.63
1.84
-0.79
1.18
1.23
+0.05
Germany dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Manuel Neuer
G
Manuel Neuer
G
18
Nathaniel Brown
D
Nathaniel Brown
D
15
N. Schlotterbeck
45'
D
N. Schlotterbeck
45'
D
4
Jonathan Tah
D
Jonathan Tah
D
6
J. Kimmich
D
J. Kimmich
D
5
A. Pavlović
60'
M
A. Pavlović
60'
M
23
Felix Nmecha
1 👟
M
Felix Nmecha
1 👟
M
17
F. Wirtz
M
F. Wirtz
M
10
J. Musiala
60'
M
J. Musiala
60'
M
19
L. Sané
60'
M
L. Sané
60'
M
7
K. Havertz
85'
F
K. Havertz
85'
F
Bench
21
Alexander Nübel
G
16
Angelo Stiller
M
Angelo Stiller
M
2
A. Rüdiger
49'
D
A. Rüdiger
49'
D
25
Assan Ouédraogo
M
Assan Ouédraogo
M
22
D. Raum
D
D. Raum
D
26
D. Undav
2 ⚽
34'
F
D. Undav
2 ⚽
34'
F
9
J. Leweling
34'
F
J. Leweling
34'
F
8
Leon Goretzka
9'
M
Leon Goretzka
9'
M
24
Malick Thiaw
D
Malick Thiaw
D
14
Maximilian Beier
F
Maximilian Beier
F
20
N. Amiri
1 👟
34'
M
N. Amiri
1 👟
34'
M
11
Nick Woltemade
F
Nick Woltemade
F
12
Oliver Baumann
G
Oliver Baumann
G
13
Pascal Groß
M
Pascal Groß
M
3
Waldemar Anton
D
Waldemar Anton
D
1
Yahia Fofana
G
Yahia Fofana
G
3
Ghislain Konan
D
Ghislain Konan
D
20
E. Agbadou
D
E. Agbadou
D
7
Odilon Kossounou
D
Odilon Kossounou
D
5
Wilfried Singo
82'
D
Wilfried Singo
82'
D
18
Ibrahim Sangaré
75'
M
Ibrahim Sangaré
75'
M
11
Yan Diomande
85'
M
Yan Diomande
85'
M
26
C. Inao Oulaï
M
C. Inao Oulaï
M
8
Franck Kessié
1 ⚽
M
Franck Kessié
1 ⚽
M
15
A. Diallo
75'
M
A. Diallo
75'
M
9
A. Bonny
75'
F
A. Bonny
75'
F
Bench
23
Alban Lafont
G
Alban Lafont
G
24
B. Touré
F
B. Touré
F
13
C. Operi
D
C. Operi
D
12
Elye Wahi
F
Elye Wahi
F
21
Evan Ndicka
D
Evan Ndicka
D
22
Evann Guessand
19'
F
Evann Guessand
19'
F
17
Guéla Doué
12'
D
Guéla Doué
12'
D
4
Jean Michaël Seri
M
Jean Michaël Seri
M
16
Mohamed Koné
G
Mohamed Koné
G
19
Nicolas Pépé
9'
F
Nicolas Pépé
9'
F
14
O. Diakité
F
O. Diakité
F
2
Ousmane Diomande
D
Ousmane Diomande
D
25
Parfait Guiagon
M
Parfait Guiagon
M
6
Seko Fofana
19'
M
Seko Fofana
19'
M
10
Simon Adingra
19'
F
Simon Adingra
19'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Undav
F · Germany
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
Yahia Fofana
G · Ivory
8.20
· 35 pass
Felix Nmecha
M · Germany
7.50
1 👟
· 63 pass
Franck Kessié
M · Ivory
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Jonathan Tah
D · Germany
7.30
· 91 pass
J. Kimmich
D · Germany
7.30
· 66 pass
Germany — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Neuer | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Brown | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Tah | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 91 | 89% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kimmich | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Pavlović | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Felix Nmecha | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 58% | 8 | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Musiala | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Sané | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Havertz | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Undav | F | 34 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Leweling | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Leon Goretzka | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| N. Amiri | M | 34 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Ivory Coast — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahia Fofana | G | 94 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ghislain Konan | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Agbadou | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Wilfried Singo | D | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 7 | — | — |
| Yan Diomande | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Inao Oulaï | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Franck Kessié | M | 94 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Diallo | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Evann Guessand | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Guéla Doué | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Pépé | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Seko Fofana | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Simon Adingra | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The final score was Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast.
What did the model predict before Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Germany win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Ivory Coast win.