✓Model correct — prediction Germany
D. Undav
(ast. N. Amiri)
68'
D. Undav
(ast. F. Nmecha)
90'+4
30'
F. Kessie
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Germany a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Ivory Coast 21%). The final result was Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
1.84
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
3
26
Tackles
20
Match Events
30'
F. Kessie⚽
N. Schlotterbeck
/ A. Rudiger
46'
L. Sane
/ J. Leweling
60'
J. Musiala
/ D. Undav
60'
A. Pavlovic
/ N. Amiri
60'
⚽D. Undav
· ast. N. Amiri
68'
75'
E. Guessand
/
A. Bonny
75'
S. Fofana
/
I. Sangare
75'
S. Adingra
/
A. Diallo
82'
G. Doue
/
W. Singo
85'
N. Pepe
/
Y. Diomande
K. Havertz
/ L. Goretzka
85'
⚽D. Undav
· ast. F. Nmecha
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
56.35%
Germany ←
22.25%
X
21.4%
Ivory
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Germany)
56.35%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.63
1.84
-0.79
1.18
1.23
+0.05
Germany dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Neuer
G
M. Neuer
G
18
N. Brown
D
N. Brown
D
15
N. Schlotterbeck
45'
D
N. Schlotterbeck
45'
D
4
J. Tah
D
J. Tah
D
6
J. Kimmich
D
J. Kimmich
D
5
A. Pavlović
60'
M
A. Pavlović
60'
M
23
F. Nmecha
1 👟
M
F. Nmecha
1 👟
M
17
F. Wirtz
M
F. Wirtz
M
10
J. Musiala
60'
M
J. Musiala
60'
M
19
L. Sané
60'
M
L. Sané
60'
M
7
K. Havertz
85'
F
K. Havertz
85'
F
Bench
21
A. Nübel
G
A. Nübel
G
25
A. Ouédraogo
M
A. Ouédraogo
M
2
A. Rüdiger
49'
D
A. Rüdiger
49'
D
16
A. Stiller
M
A. Stiller
M
22
D. Raum
D
D. Raum
D
26
D. Undav
2 ⚽
34'
F
D. Undav
2 ⚽
34'
F
9
J. Leweling
34'
F
J. Leweling
34'
F
8
L. Goretzka
9'
M
L. Goretzka
9'
M
14
M. Beier
F
M. Beier
F
24
M. Thiaw
D
M. Thiaw
D
20
N. Amiri
1 👟
34'
M
N. Amiri
1 👟
34'
M
11
N. Woltemade
F
N. Woltemade
F
12
O. Baumann
G
O. Baumann
G
13
P. Groß
M
P. Groß
M
3
W. Anton
D
W. Anton
D
1
Y. Fofana
G
Y. Fofana
G
3
G. Konan
D
G. Konan
D
20
E. Agbadou
D
E. Agbadou
D
7
O. Kossounou
D
O. Kossounou
D
5
W. Singo
82'
D
W. Singo
82'
D
18
I. Sangaré
75'
M
I. Sangaré
75'
M
11
Y. Diomande
85'
M
Y. Diomande
85'
M
26
C. Inao Oulaï
M
C. Inao Oulaï
M
8
F. Kessié
1 ⚽
M
F. Kessié
1 ⚽
M
15
A. Diallo
75'
M
A. Diallo
75'
M
9
A. Bonny
75'
F
A. Bonny
75'
F
Bench
23
A. Lafont
G
A. Lafont
G
24
B. Touré
F
B. Touré
F
13
C. Operi
D
C. Operi
D
22
E. Guessand
19'
F
E. Guessand
19'
F
21
E. Ndicka
D
E. Ndicka
D
12
E. Wahi
F
E. Wahi
F
17
G. Doué
12'
D
G. Doué
12'
D
4
J. Seri
M
J. Seri
M
16
M. Koné
G
M. Koné
G
19
N. Pépé
9'
F
N. Pépé
9'
F
14
O. Diakité
F
O. Diakité
F
2
O. Diomande
D
O. Diomande
D
25
P. Guiagon
M
P. Guiagon
M
10
S. Adingra
19'
F
S. Adingra
19'
F
6
S. Fofana
19'
M
S. Fofana
19'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Undav
F · Germany
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
Y. Fofana
G · Ivory
8.20
· 35 pass
F. Nmecha
M · Germany
7.50
1 👟
· 63 pass
F. Kessié
M · Ivory
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
J. Tah
D · Germany
7.30
· 91 pass
J. Kimmich
D · Germany
7.30
· 66 pass
Germany — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| N. Brown | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tah | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 91 | 89% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kimmich | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Pavlović | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 64% | — | — | — |
| F. Nmecha | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 58% | 8 | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Musiala | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Sané | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Havertz | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Undav | F | 34 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Leweling | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Goretzka | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| N. Amiri | M | 34 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Ivory Coast — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Fofana | G | 94 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | — | — |
| G. Konan | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Agbadou | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kossounou | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | — | — | — |
| W. Singo | D | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sangaré | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 7 | — | — |
| Y. Diomande | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Inao Oulaï | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Kessié | M | 94 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Diallo | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Guessand | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Doué | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| N. Pépé | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Adingra | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The final score was Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast.
What did the model predict before Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Germany win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Ivory Coast win.