Germany - Paraguay
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
24.1°C
💨 9 km/h
· Boston
⚡ Pre-match analysis
77.43%
Win
Germany
14.39%
Draw
8.18%
Win
Paraguay
3.12
0.77
Expected xG
Most likely result
3–0
(10.4%)
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
74%
Model prediction
Germany
77.43%
Probability
82.6%
1X2 accuracy · 23 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Germany a 77% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Paraguay. Expected goals are 3.1 for Germany and 0.8 for Paraguay (total 3.9), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 10.4% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
1L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
3.3
Goals
0.7
1.3
Conceded
1.3
7.3
Shots OT
1.7
6.0
Corners
0.7
62%
Poss.
33%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
33%
100%
O 2.5
33%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in World Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 1.5
75%
O 2.5
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
2W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
4.5
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Germany
Paraguay →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 10.4% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Germany
Attack
68
Defence
75
Form
76
Paraguay
Attack
35
Defence
71
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Germany
Injured
Injured
Paraguay
Injured
Injured
Group E
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Germany
|
3 | 6 |
| 2 |
Ivory Coast
|
3 | 6 |
| 3 |
Ecuador
|
3 | 4 |
| 4 |
Curaçao
|
3 | 1 |
What's at stake · Group E
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #1 |
| → Germany | #1 | #1 |
| → Draw | #1 | #1 |
| → Paraguay | #1 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Germany vs Paraguay?
The model gives Germany a 77% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 8% for an Paraguay win.
How many goals are expected in Germany vs Paraguay?
Expected goals: Germany 3.1, Paraguay 0.8 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Germany vs Paraguay?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.4%.