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UEFA Nations League · League A - 3 October 01, 2026 20:45 Allianz Arena, Munich
Germany
#3 · 5 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Serbia
#4 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Germany
Tom Bischof 39'
Florian Wirtz (ast. Maximilian Mittelstädt) 61'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Germany a 80% win probability (draw 13%, Serbia 5%). The final result was Germany 2–0 Serbia.

Match statistics
32
Total shots
1
8
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
6
74%
Possession
26%
12
Corners
1
17
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Tom Bischof
39'
↕ Serge Gnabry / Said El Mala
45'
⚽Florian Wirtz · ast. Maximilian Mittelstädt
61'
66'
Lazar Samardzic / Andrija Živković ↕
67'
Strahinja Pavlovic / Strahinja Erakovic ↕
67'
Mihajlo Cvetkovic / Stefan Džodić ↕
67'
Saša Lukić / Dušan Tadić ↕
73'
Nemanja Gudelj
↕ Nick Woltemade / Jonathan Burkardt
77'
↕ Derry Lionel Scherhant / Bambasé Conté
77'
↕ Tom Bischof / Mika Baur
77'
79'
Nemanja Maksimović
79'
Veljko Paunovic
↕ Aleksandar Pavlović / Vitaly Janelt
88'
88'
Vasilije Kostov / Nemanja Maksimović ↕
Pre-match prediction
80.54%
Germany ←
13.93%
X
5.53%
Serbia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Germany) 80.54% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Germany
2.79
—
—
Serbia
0.51
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Netherlands Netherlands 4 8
2 Greece Greece 4 8
3 Germany Germany 4 5
4 Serbia Serbia 4 0
Lineups
Germany Germany 4-4-2
1 J. Urbig J. Urbig G 6.66
18 M. Mittelstädt M. Mittelstädt 1 👟 D 7.41
2 M. Thiaw M. Thiaw D 7.54
3 W. Anton W. Anton D 7.35
13 P. Treu P. Treu D 7.50
9 D. Scherhant D. Scherhant 77' M 7.20
8 T. Bischof T. Bischof 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
5 A. Pavlović A. Pavlović 88' M 7.20
20 S. Gnabry S. Gnabry 45' M 7.60
17 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 1 ⚽ F 8.20
11 N. Woltemade N. Woltemade 77' F 6.43
Bench
19 B. Conté B. Conté 13' M 6.76
22 D. Raum D. Raum D 0.00
12 F. Dahmen F. Dahmen G 0.00
4 Finn Jeltsch Finn Jeltsch D 0.00
10 J. Burkardt J. Burkardt 13' F 6.46
15 L. Karl L. Karl M 0.00
14 M. Baur M. Baur 13' M 6.88
21 N. Atubolu N. Atubolu G 0.00
16 R. Baku R. Baku D 0.00
7 S. El Mala S. El Mala 45' M 6.66
23 V. Janelt V. Janelt 2' M 6.60
6 Yannick Engelhardt Yannick Engelhardt M 0.00
Serbia Serbia 5-4-1
1 Đ. Petrović Đ. Petrović G 7.06
11 F. Kostić F. Kostić D 6.38
15 S. Babić S. Babić D 5.53
6 N. Gudelj N. Gudelj D 6.11
16 Strahinja Eraković Strahinja Eraković 67' D 6.16
2 K. Nedeljković K. Nedeljković D 5.88
10 D. Tadić D. Tadić 67' M 5.88
19 S. Džodić S. Džodić 67' M 5.64
5 N. Maksimović N. Maksimović 88' M 6.41
14 A. Živković A. Živković 66' M 6.08
8 L. Jović L. Jović F 6.22
Bench
7 A. Stanković A. Stanković M 0.00
17 A. Terzić A. Terzić D 0.00
9 D. Joveljić D. Joveljić F 0.00
12 F. Stanković F. Stanković G 0.00
21 L. Samardžić L. Samardžić 24' M 6.57
18 Mihajlo Cvetković Mihajlo Cvetković 23' F 6.29
13 N. Simić N. Simić D 0.00
4 O. Mimović O. Mimović D 0.00
22 S. Lukić S. Lukić 23' M 5.78
3 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović 23' D 5.98
20 V. Kostov V. Kostov 2' M 5.97
23 V. Milinković-Savić V. Milinković-Savić G 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Bischof
T. Bischof
M · Germany
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 67 pass
F. Wirtz
F. Wirtz
F · Germany
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 79 pass
S. Gnabry
S. Gnabry
M · Germany
7.60
3 shots · 20 pass
M. Thiaw
M. Thiaw
D · Germany
7.54
3 shots · 96 pass
P. Treu
P. Treu
D · Germany
7.50
· 69 pass
M. Mittelstädt
M. Mittelstädt
D · Germany
7.41
1 👟
2 shots · 72 pass
Germany Germany — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Urbig G 90 6.66 — — 0 30 24% 0 — —
M. Mittelstädt D 90 7.41 — 1 2 72 66% 1 — —
M. Thiaw D 90 7.54 — — 3 96 92% 0 — —
W. Anton D 90 7.35 — — 1 77 70% 0 — —
P. Treu D 90 7.50 — — 0 69 65% 3 — —
D. Scherhant M 77 7.20 — — 5 25 23% 2 — —
T. Bischof M 77 8.20 1 — 4 67 60% 3 — —
A. Pavlović M 88 7.20 — — 2 132 123% 2 — —
S. Gnabry M 45 7.60 — — 3 20 17% 1 — —
F. Wirtz F 90 8.20 1 — 3 79 74% 0 — —
N. Woltemade F 77 6.43 — — 3 22 21% 2 — —
B. Conté M 13 6.76 — — 2 6 4% 0 — —
J. Burkardt F 13 6.46 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
M. Baur M 13 6.88 — — 0 15 12% 1 — —
S. El Mala M 45 6.66 — — 4 17 14% 2 — —
V. Janelt M 2 6.60 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Serbia Serbia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Đ. Petrović G 90 7.06 — — 0 50 26% 0 — —
F. Kostić D 90 6.38 — — 1 18 10% 3 — —
S. Babić D 90 5.53 — — 0 39 32% 1 — —
N. Gudelj D 90 6.11 — — 0 26 23% 1 1 —
Strahinja Eraković D 67 6.16 — — 0 19 13% 1 — —
K. Nedeljković D 90 5.88 — — 0 9 8% 3 — —
D. Tadić M 67 5.88 — — 0 14 6% 1 — —
S. Džodić M 67 5.64 — — 0 13 10% 1 — —
N. Maksimović M 88 6.41 — — 0 25 23% 0 1 —
A. Živković M 66 6.08 — — 0 16 11% 3 — —
L. Jović F 90 6.22 — — 0 15 8% 0 — —
L. Samardžić M 24 6.57 — — 0 5 5% 3 — —
Mihajlo Cvetković F 23 6.29 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
S. Lukić M 23 5.78 — — 0 9 8% 2 — —
S. Pavlović D 23 5.98 — — 0 8 5% 2 — —
V. Kostov M 2 5.97 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Germany vs Serbia?
The final score was Germany 2–0 Serbia.
What did the model predict before Germany vs Serbia?
The model assigned 80% probability to a Germany win, 13% to a draw, and 5% to an Serbia win.