Getafe 2–5 FC Lugano — pre-match prediction — Conference League — October 22, 2026

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Conference League · League Stage - 2 October 22, 2026 18:45

Getafe

#30 · 1 pts

2 – 5

Final score

FC Lugano

#2 · 6 pts

I. Azon 2'

B. Mayoral 74'

3' (ast. D. Dos Santos) A. Ajeti

7' Y. Cimignani

26' (ast. D. Moncada) A. Ajeti

50' (ast. M. Zanotti) U. Bislimi

90'+2 K. Behrens

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Lugano a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Getafe 23%). The final result was Getafe 2–5 FC Lugano.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.04

Actual xG

1.75

Saves

57%

Possession

43%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽I. Azon

ast. D. Dos Santos · A. Ajeti⚽

Y. Cimignani⚽

13'

Y. Cimignani

20'

U. Bislimi

B. Mayoral

23'

26'

ast. D. Moncada · A. Ajeti⚽

↕ A. Risco / N. Gudelj

46'

↕ Davinchi / J. Mojica

46'

↕ A. Abqar / R. Terrats

46'

↕ Kiko Femenia / M. Satriano

46'

50'

ast. M. Zanotti · U. Bislimi⚽

57'

D. Moncada

59'

E. Pihlstrom / D. Moncada ↕

59'

M. Marques / Y. Cimignani ↕

↕ I. Azon / E. Unal

66'

K. Behrens / A. Ajeti ↕

70'

L. Mai

73'

M. Zanotti

⚽B. Mayoral

74'

75'

B. Karimov / D. Dos Santos ↕

75'

E. Alioski / M. Zanotti ↕

90'+2

K. Behrens⚽

Pre-match prediction

23.34%

Getafe

27.77%

48.89%

FC ←

we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 48.89% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Getafe

0.58

2.04

+1.46

1.43

1.75

+0.32

xG dominance was balanced (2.04 – 1.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	6
2	FC Lugano	2	6
3	Brann	2	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	6
5	Twente	2	6
6	Monaco	2	6
7	St. Truiden	2	6
8	HNK Hajduk Split	2	6
9	Brighton	2	4
10	FC Copenhagen	2	4
11	Universitatea Craiova	2	4
12	Mjallby AIF	2	4
13	Ajax	2	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	3
15	Atalanta	2	3
16	SC Braga	2	3
17	Gent	2	3
18	SC Freiburg	2	3
19	FC Nordsjaelland	2	2
20	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2	2
21	Riga	2	2
22	FK Crvena Zvezda	2	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	1
24	FK Jablonec	2	1
25	FC Midtjylland	2	1
26	Aarhus	2	1
27	Pafos	2	1
28	Heart Of Midlothian	2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	2	1
30	Getafe	2	1
31	Kairat Almaty	2	1
32	FC Thun	2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps FC	2	0
34	KuPS	2	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	2	0

Lineups

Getafe 4-4-2

David Soria 82' G 4.90

Davinchi 45' D 5.60

J. Valou 82' D 6.50

A. Abqar 45' D 6.30

Kiko Femenía 45' D 6.20

Alberto Risco 45' M 6.70

Francho Serrano 82' M 6.50

D. Dakonam 82' M 6.90

Andrés García 82' M 7.20

Iván Azón 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.20

Borja Mayoral 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.30

Bench

Diego Ferrer G

E. Ünal 16' F 6.30

J. Letáček G

J. Mojica 37' D 6.90

Mario Martín M

M. Satriano 37' F 6.60

N. Gudelj 37' M 6.60

Ramón Terrats 37' M 6.90

S. Boselli D

S. Sazonov D

FC Lugano 3-5-2

D. von Ballmoos 82' G 6.50

H. Delcroix 82' D 6.00

L. Mai 82' D 7.00

A. Papadopoulos 82' D 6.20

Y. Cimignani 1 ⚽ 59' M 7.20

Daniel Dos Santos 1 👟 75' M 7.50

A. Grgić 82' M 6.30

U. Bislimi 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.30

M. Zanotti 1 👟 75' M 7.20

A. Ajeti 2 ⚽ 66' F 8.20

D. Moncada 1 👟 59' F 6.60

Bench

A. Kendouci M

B. Castro F

B. Karimov 7' D

Diego Mina G

D. Kelvin D

E. Alioski 7' D

E. Pihlström 23' F 6.20

F. Gebhardt G

K. Behrens 1 ⚽ 16' F 6.50

Martim Marques 23' D 6.00

Best on the pitch

A. Ajeti

F · FC

8.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 10 pass

Daniel Dos Santos

M · FC

7.50

1 👟

· 16 pass

U. Bislimi

M · FC

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 49 pass

Borja Mayoral

F · Getafe

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

M. Zanotti

M · FC

7.20

1 👟

· 15 pass

Y. Cimignani

M · FC

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 29 pass

Getafe — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
David Soria	G	82	4.90	—	—	—	18	9%	—	—	—
Davinchi	D	45	5.60	—	—	2	15	11%	—	—	—
J. Valou	D	82	6.50	—	—	1	59	52%	1	—	—
A. Abqar	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	19	19%	—	—	—
Kiko Femenía	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	41	37%	—	—	—
Alberto Risco	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—
Francho Serrano	M	82	6.50	—	—	1	41	36%	—	—	—
D. Dakonam	M	82	6.90	—	—	—	60	56%	—	—	—
Andrés García	M	82	7.20	—	—	2	45	37%	—	—	—
Iván Azón	F	66	7.20	1	—	4	8	5%	—	—	—
Borja Mayoral	F	82	7.30	1	—	1	22	16%	1	1	—
E. Ünal	F	16	6.30	—	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
J. Mojica	D	37	6.90	—	—	—	31	24%	—	—	—
M. Satriano	F	37	6.60	—	—	4	10	9%	—	—	—
N. Gudelj	M	37	6.60	—	—	2	29	26%	—	—	—
Ramón Terrats	M	37	6.90	—	—	1	20	18%	—	—	—

FC Lugano — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. von Ballmoos	G	82	6.50	—	—	—	36	27%	—	—	—
H. Delcroix	D	82	6.00	—	—	—	43	37%	—	—	—
L. Mai	D	82	7.00	—	—	—	58	52%	2	1	—
A. Papadopoulos	D	82	6.20	—	—	—	30	22%	1	—	—
Y. Cimignani	M	59	7.20	1	—	1	29	24%	1	1	—
Daniel Dos Santos	M	75	7.50	—	1	—	16	15%	1	—	—
A. Grgić	M	82	6.30	—	—	—	39	33%	1	—	—
U. Bislimi	M	82	7.30	1	—	1	49	42%	1	1	—
M. Zanotti	M	75	7.20	—	1	—	15	11%	—	1	—
A. Ajeti	F	66	8.20	2	—	3	10	8%	1	—	—
D. Moncada	F	59	6.60	—	1	1	6	5%	—	1	—
B. Karimov	D	7	—	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
E. Alioski	D	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
E. Pihlström	F	23	6.20	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
K. Behrens	F	16	6.50	1	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
Martim Marques	D	23	6.00	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Getafe vs FC Lugano?

The final score was Getafe 2–5 FC Lugano.

What did the model predict before Getafe vs FC Lugano?

The model assigned 23% probability to a Getafe win, 27% to a draw, and 48% to an FC Lugano win.