Ghana - Gambia
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.61%
Win
Ghana
31.89%
Draw
31.5%
Win
Gambia
1.57
1.12
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.9%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ghana a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Gambia. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ghana and 1.1 for Gambia (total 2.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.9% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Ghana
Gambia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Playing profile
Ghana
Attack
14
Defence
59
Form
49
Gambia
Attack
25
Defence
25
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ghana vs Gambia?
The model gives Ghana a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Gambia win.
How many goals are expected in Ghana vs Gambia?
Expected goals: Ghana 1.6, Gambia 1.1 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Ghana vs Gambia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.