Egyptian Premier League
· Relegation Group - 11
May 18, 2026 19:00
Armoosha
(ast. A. Etman)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Ittihad a 36% win probability (draw 36%, Ghazl El Mehalla 27%). The final result was Ghazl El Mehalla 1–0 Al Ittihad. In 1 previous meetings, Ghazl El Mehalla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al Ittihad.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.59
Actual xG
0.40
1
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
6
15
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
25'
31'
A. Mohamed
/
M. Dunga
32'
J. Ebuka
Y. Zakaria
59'
J. Mwanga
/ Armoosha
61'
R. Arfaoui
/ M. Awadalla Ahmed
61'
M. Salah
/ A. Etman
70'
70'
Y. Wahid
/
M. Emad
71'
Mabululu
/
J. Ebuka
K. Saidi
/ M. Ashraf
89'
⚽Armoosha
· ast. A. Etman
90'+1
90'+3
A. Eid
/
A. Magdi
90'+3
F. Farid
/
Afsha
90'+5
A. Mohamed
90'+5
M. Alaa
M. Awadalla Ahmed
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
27.68%
Ghazl ←
36.26%
X
36.06%
Al
we assigned to the actual result (Ghazl El Mehalla)
27.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
0.59
-0.27
1.06
0.40
-0.66
xG dominance was balanced (0.59 – 0.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
Amer Mohamed
G
Amer Mohamed
G
12
Yehia Zakaria
D
Yehia Zakaria
D
4
Ahmed Shousha
D
Ahmed Shousha
D
3
Ahmed El Aash
D
Ahmed El Aash
D
27
Ahmed Gamal
D
Ahmed Gamal
D
39
Moaz Abdel Salam
M
Moaz Abdel Salam
M
20
Mory Touré
M
Mory Touré
M
41
Kibou Saïdi
89'
M
Kibou Saïdi
89'
M
9
Rached Arfaoui
61'
M
Rached Arfaoui
61'
M
42
Mahmoud Salah
70'
M
Mahmoud Salah
70'
M
90
Jimmy Emmanuel Mwanga
61'
F
Jimmy Emmanuel Mwanga
61'
F
Bench
18
Ahmed El Arabi
G
Ahmed El Arabi
G
22
Ahmed Etman
1 👟
20'
M
Ahmed Etman
1 👟
20'
M
44
Ahmed Yasser
M
Ahmed Yasser
M
17
Mahmoud Bolbol Nabil
M
Mahmoud Bolbol Nabil
M
19
Mohamed Armoosha
1 ⚽
29'
M
Mohamed Armoosha
1 ⚽
29'
M
7
Mohamed Ashraf
10'
F
Mohamed Ashraf
10'
F
21
Mohamed Grendo
29'
F
Mohamed Grendo
29'
F
13
Mostafa Medhat Oufa
D
Mostafa Medhat Oufa
D
5
Seif Emam
D
Seif Emam
D
16
Mahmoud Genesh
G
Mahmoud Genesh
G
17
Karim El Deeb
D
Karim El Deeb
D
4
Mahmoud Alaa
D
Mahmoud Alaa
D
5
Mostafa Ibrahim
D
Mostafa Ibrahim
D
2
Khaled Abdelfattah
D
Khaled Abdelfattah
D
13
Mohamed Toni
M
Mohamed Toni
M
26
Mahmoud Dunga
31'
M
Mahmoud Dunga
31'
M
25
Mahmoud Emad
70'
M
Mahmoud Emad
70'
M
27
Abdel Rahman Magdi
89'
M
Abdel Rahman Magdi
89'
M
18
J. Ebuka
71'
F
J. Ebuka
71'
F
10
Mohamed Magdy Afsha
89'
F
Mohamed Magdy Afsha
89'
F
Bench
14
Abdelghani Mohamed
59'
F
Abdelghani Mohamed
59'
F
33
Ahmed Eid
1'
F
Ahmed Eid
1'
F
88
Ahmed Mahmoud
D
Ahmed Mahmoud
D
9
Fady Farid
1'
F
Fady Farid
1'
F
90
Mabululu
19'
F
6
Mahmoud Shabana
D
Mahmoud Shabana
D
34
Moamen Sherif
D
Moamen Sherif
D
1
Sobhy Soliman
G
Sobhy Soliman
G
11
Youssry Wahid
20'
F
Youssry Wahid
20'
F
Best on the pitch
Ahmed Gamal
D · Ghazl
7.90
· 31 pass
Mohamed Armoosha
M · Ghazl
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Ahmed Shousha
D · Ghazl
7.50
· 33 pass
Ahmed El Aash
D · Ghazl
7.30
2 shots
· 46 pass
Ahmed Etman
M · Ghazl
7.30
1 👟
· 14 pass
Mahmoud Genesh
G · Al
7.30
· 11 pass
Ghazl El Mehalla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amer Mohamed | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Yehia Zakaria | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ahmed Shousha | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed El Aash | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Gamal | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Moaz Abdel Salam | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Mory Touré | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Kibou Saïdi | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Rached Arfaoui | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Mahmoud Salah | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Emmanuel Mwanga | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Etman | M | 20 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Armoosha | M | 29 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Ashraf | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Grendo | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
Al Ittihad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Genesh | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Karim El Deeb | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Alaa | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mostafa Ibrahim | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Khaled Abdelfattah | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Toni | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Dunga | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Mahmoud Emad | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdel Rahman Magdi | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ebuka | F | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Magdy Afsha | F | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Abdelghani Mohamed | F | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Ahmed Eid | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fady Farid | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mabululu | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Youssry Wahid | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
The final score was Ghazl El Mehalla 1–0 Al Ittihad.
What did the model predict before Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Ghazl El Mehalla win, 36% to a draw, and 36% to an Al Ittihad win.