Egyptian Premier League
· Regular Season - 7
October 21, 2026 16:00
Ghazl El Mahalla Stadium, Great Mahale
Ashraf Fattah Abdel Sheta
(ast. Abdel Rahman Osama)
31'
Amr Gomaa
(ast. Mohamed Salem Ekbad)
45'+2
47'
Hossam Hassan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Ittihad a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Ghazl El Mehalla 27%). The final result was Ghazl El Mehalla 2–1 Al Ittihad. In 2 previous meetings, Ghazl El Mehalla have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al Ittihad.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
1.26
Actual xG
0.96
2
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
3
20
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
2'
Momen Awad
⚽Ashraf Fattah Abdel Sheta
· ast. Abdel Rahman Osama
31'
⚽Amr Gomaa
· ast. Mohamed Salem Ekbad
45'+2
45'
Pascal Phiri
/
Joseph Arumala
45'
Mahmoud Emad
/
Mohamed Fakhri
47'
Hossam Hassan⚽
Mohamed Salem Ekbad
/ Abdel Kader Yehia
58'
Ahmed Yasser
63'
Ahmed Yasser
/ Rached Arfaoui
68'
Amr Gomaa
/ Abdel Rahman Emad
68'
74'
Youssry Wahid
/
Nour Alaa
74'
John Okoye Ebuka
/
Mohamed Toni
Ashraf Fattah Abdel Sheta
77'
Ahmed Etman
/ Ahmed Shousha
82'
Yehia Zakaria
/ Moaz Abdel Salam
83'
Pre-match prediction
27.0%
Ghazl ←
34.78%
X
38.22%
Al
we assigned to the actual result (Ghazl El Mehalla)
27.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
1.26
+0.96
0.91
0.96
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (1.26 – 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
Amer Amer
G
Amer Amer
G
12
Yehia Zakaria
83'
D
Yehia Zakaria
83'
D
5
Abdel Fattah Sheta
1 ⚽
D
Abdel Fattah Sheta
1 ⚽
D
3
Ahmed El Aash
D
Ahmed El Aash
D
23
F. Nechat Djabri
D
F. Nechat Djabri
D
17
Abdel Rahman Osama
1 👟
M
Abdel Rahman Osama
1 👟
M
20
M. Touré
M
M. Touré
M
30
Amr Gomaa
1 ⚽
68'
M
Amr Gomaa
1 ⚽
68'
M
44
A. Yasser
68'
M
A. Yasser
68'
M
22
Ahmed Etman
82'
M
Ahmed Etman
82'
M
11
58'
F
Bench
63
Abdel Kader Yehia
32'
F
Abdel Kader Yehia
32'
F
14
Abdel Rahman Emad
22'
M
Abdel Rahman Emad
22'
M
39
A. Emad
D
A. Emad
D
15
Ahmed Gamal
D
Ahmed Gamal
D
4
Ahmed Shousha
8'
D
Ahmed Shousha
8'
D
99
Hazem Mohamed
F
Hazem Mohamed
F
8
Moaz Abdel Salam
7'
M
Moaz Abdel Salam
7'
M
25
Mohamed Koko
G
Mohamed Koko
G
9
R. Arfaoui
22'
F
R. Arfaoui
22'
F
1
Sobhi Soliman
G
Sobhi Soliman
G
30
K. Mosaad
D
K. Mosaad
D
5
Mostafa Ibrahim
D
Mostafa Ibrahim
D
7
Mohamed Mostafa Mido
D
Mohamed Mostafa Mido
D
24
Momen Awad
D
Momen Awad
D
8
Mohamed Toni
74'
M
Mohamed Toni
74'
M
23
I. Saviour
M
I. Saviour
M
14
Mohamed Fakhry
45'
M
Mohamed Fakhry
45'
M
22
Nour Alaa
74'
M
Nour Alaa
74'
M
80
58'
M
10
Hossam Hassan
1 ⚽
F
Hossam Hassan
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Ahmed Hamdi
M
Ahmed Hamdi
M
4
Islam Abdallah
D
Islam Abdallah
D
18
J. Ebuka
16'
F
J. Ebuka
16'
F
44
K. Semakula
D
K. Semakula
D
25
Mahmoud Emad
45'
M
Mahmoud Emad
45'
M
35
Pascal Phiri
45'
F
Pascal Phiri
45'
F
11
Youssry Wahid
16'
F
Youssry Wahid
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Abdel Rahman Osama
M · Ghazl
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 49 pass
Amr Gomaa
M · Ghazl
7.63
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Hossam Hassan
F · Al
7.62
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 15 pass
M · Al
7.50
1 shots
· 15 pass
F · Ghazl
7.50
1 shots
· 15 pass
Abdel Fattah Sheta
D · Ghazl
7.11
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Ghazl El Mehalla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amer Amer | G | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Yehia Zakaria | D | 83 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Abdel Fattah Sheta | D | 90 | 7.11 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ahmed El Aash | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Nechat Djabri | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdel Rahman Osama | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 49 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Touré | M | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Amr Gomaa | M | 68 | 7.63 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Yasser | M | 68 | 6.17 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ahmed Etman | M | 82 | 6.86 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 58 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — | |
| Abdel Kader Yehia | F | 32 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdel Rahman Emad | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Ahmed Shousha | D | 8 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Moaz Abdel Salam | M | 7 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Arfaoui | F | 22 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
Al Ittihad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sobhi Soliman | G | 90 | 5.57 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mosaad | D | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Mostafa Ibrahim | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Mostafa Mido | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Momen Awad | D | 90 | 5.39 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 33% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Mohamed Toni | M | 74 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Saviour | M | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Fakhry | M | 45 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Nour Alaa | M | 74 | 5.97 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 58 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — | |
| Hossam Hassan | F | 90 | 7.62 | 1 | — | 4 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ebuka | F | 16 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Emad | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Pascal Phiri | F | 45 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Youssry Wahid | F | 16 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
The final score was Ghazl El Mehalla 2–1 Al Ittihad.
What did the model predict before Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Ghazl El Mehalla win, 34% to a draw, and 38% to an Al Ittihad win.